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3457 Shenandoah Dr
C Composite 56.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.8/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$84,500

3457 Shenandoah Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA 31204
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,189 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 59 Days on market
Built 1953 7,840 sqft lot $71/sqft · 16% above area Est $73k · 16% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this all-brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home located in the heart of Macon, GA. Perfect for a first time home or as a lucrative investment property This property boasts a unique blend of classic and modern features, with refinished original hardwood floor adding a touch of timeless elegance, while newer laminet floors throughout ensure durability and easy maintenance. The homes layout is designed for conveinence, with a carport that leads directly into the kitchen, making grocery unloading a breeze. The kitchen also comes with a brand-new stov, ready for all of your culinary adventures. One of the stand out features of this property of this property is the huge fenced-in back yard, offering a private outdoor space for a variety of activities. This home is a perfect blend of comfort and functionality, waiting for you to make it your own.

Key facts

  • Newer laminet floors
  • All-brick home
  • Brand-new stove

Tags

ALL-BRICK HOMENEWER LAMINET FLOORSCARPORT LEADS INTO KITCHENBRAND-NEW STOVEHUGE FENCED-IN BACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $69k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $81,965 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.23%
Cap rate
10.31%
Cash-on-cash
14.34%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$72,631
List price
$84,500
Delta
16.34%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3529 Thorpe St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,132 (-5%) 1mo $42,000 $37 72
3565 Log Cabin Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,300 (+9%) 4mo $53,000 $41 60
3789 Del Park 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,023 (-14%) 4mo $31,000 $30 56
1025 Mimosa Dr 0.47mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,274 (+7%) 4mo $97,000 $76 54
3669 Earl St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,128 (-5%) 7mo $75,000 $66 52
1201 Sherbrooke Dr 0.52mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,080 (-9%) 4mo $65,000 $60 52
1076 Carlisle Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (-14%) 4mo $104,000 $101 52
3178 Napier Ave 0.51mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,294 (+9%) 5mo $50,000 $39 50
3584 Log Cabin Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,025 (-14%) 6mo $130,000 $127 49
1247 Carlisle Ave 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,050 (-12%) 2mo $151,000 $144 44
1305 Edna Pl 0.70mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,310 (+10%) 7mo $65,000 $50 40
3837 Blossfield Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-11%) 4mo $42,000 $40 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$6,024
Equity at exit
$12,599
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
2.51×
Total profit
$35,673
Equity at exit
$7,306

Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31204

Rents YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,043 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$443
Tax from tax record
$63 /mo · $752/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$283

Break-even live

Break-even rent $685
Max offer price $84,500
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,125
Closing costs
$2,535
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1299 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 0.28mi
1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1025 $1,065 $1.04 21d 1 0.32mi
3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 754 $900 $1.19 13d 1 0.34mi
3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1094 $895 $0.82 21d 1 0.34mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,125 $0.94 21d 1 0.45mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $850 $0.85 13d 1 0.45mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,000 $0.83 21d 1 0.45mi
1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,060 $1.06 21d 1 0.45mi
3634 Dawn St Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 999 $850 $0.85 43d 1 0.56mi
1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 21d 1 0.56mi
3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $799 $0.76 21d 1 0.57mi
3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1048 $875 $0.83 43d 1 0.57mi
1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 850 $889 $1.05 43d 1 0.66mi
3775 Grand Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1240 $1,175 $0.95 13d 1 0.67mi
3834 Mercer St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1000 $875 $0.88 43d 1 0.75mi
3840 Napier Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1365 $1,350 $0.99 13d 1 0.75mi
4145 Forest Ave W Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1285 $1,195 $0.93 43d 1 0.75mi
3808 Fairmont Ave Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 793 $595 $0.75 43d 1 0.85mi
3324 Vineville Ave Unit 63B Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1125 $1,050 $0.93 21d 1 0.89mi
3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57C Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 914 $1,050 $1.15 13d 1 0.89mi
3016 Ridge Ave Unit A Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 43d 1 0.95mi
3330 Ridge Ave Unit D4 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1056 $1,050 $0.99 13d 1 0.97mi
4033 N Napier Ave Unit 6 Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1000 $850 $0.85 43d 1 0.99mi
3034 Churchill St Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 872 $900 $1.03 21d 1 1.00mi
3413 Vineville Ave Unit 3419 Macon, GA 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,200 $1.00 21d 1 1.00mi
3576 Vineville Ave Unit 3550-D-LT Macon, GA 2.0 2.0 863 $995 $1.15 13d 1 1.03mi
1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 960 $825 $0.86 43d 1 1.05mi
133 Auburn Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 880 $895 $1.02 43d 1 1.07mi
4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 950 $749 $0.79 21d 1 1.10mi
1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,000 $0.89 21d 1 1.14mi
2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA 1.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 43d 1 1.16mi
4126 Ayers Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 900 $750 $0.83 13d 1 1.16mi
2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 43d 1 1.17mi
1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 960 $950 $0.99 43d 1 1.18mi
4250 Ayers Rd Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 1008 $1,100 $1.09 13d 1 1.22mi
1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA 3.0 1.0 1117 $895 $0.80 13d 1 1.22mi
4357 Azalea Dr Unit 4357 Macon, GA 2.0 1.0 750 $750 $1.00 43d 1 1.28mi
1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,250 $1.09 21d 1 1.30mi
4342 Barrington Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1092 $950 $0.87 21d 1 1.35mi
4353 Barrington Pl Macon, GA 2.0 1.5 1108 $1,000 $0.90 13d 1 1.37mi

Listing history 31 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $84,500 Active 59 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $84,500 Active 58 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $84,500 Active 57 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $84,500 Active 56 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $84,500 Active 55 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $84,500 Active 53 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $84,500 Active 52 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $84,500 Active 50 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $84,500 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    statusdays on market $84,500 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $84,500 Price Change 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,500 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,500 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,500 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,500 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,500 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-04-21
    listed $89,500 New 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    Welcome to this all-brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home located in the heart of Macon, GA. Perfect for a first time home or as a lucrative investment property This property boasts a unique blend of classic and modern features, with refinished original hardwood floor adding a touch of timeless elegance, while newer laminet floors throughout ensure durability and easy maintenance. The homes layout is designed for conveinence, with a carport that leads directly into the kitchen, making grocery unloading a breeze. The kitchen also comes with a brand-new stov, ready for all of your culinary adventures. One of the stand out features of this property of this property is the huge fenced-in back yard, offering a private outdoor space for a variety of activities. This home is a perfect blend of comfort and functionality, waiting for you to make it your own.

  18. 2026-03-31
    historical
  19. 2025-12-09
    status Back On Market
  20. 2025-12-02
    status Under Contract
  21. 2025-11-05
    listed $89,500 New
  22. 2024-01-15
    historical $925
  23. 2023-11-09
    listed $925
  24. 2023-08-04
    soldstatus $69,000
  25. 2023-07-31
    soldstatus $69,000 Sold
  26. 2023-06-20
    status Under Contract
  27. 2023-05-24
    price $79,500
  28. 2023-05-18
    listed $89,500 New
  29. 2022-06-17
    soldstatus $56,000
  30. 2022-06-15
    soldstatus $56,000
  31. 2022-05-24
    listed $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$752 · $63/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$777 · $65/mo
Expected delta
+$25/yr (+$2/mo · 3.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,513
− Mortgage interest
−$4,733
− Property taxes
−$752
− Insurance
−$422
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,001
− Management
−$1,001
− Depreciation
−$2,458
Taxable income
$2,145
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$515
After-tax cash flow
$2,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bibb County
NCES district ID
1300420
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$37,426
Composite
12.13/100
National rank
#9654
State rank
#161 of 174 in GA

Livability — Macon-Bibb County

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Macon-Bibb County, GA
County
Bibb County · 164,332 people
City population
143,186
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
Population (ZIP)
32,421
Household income
$38,784
Rent vs Own
57.5% rent · 42.5% own
Severe rent burden
2674.0

Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
148,772 people
By 2030
145,904 · -1.9%
By 2040
139,404 · -6.3%
By 2050
131,603 · -11.5%
By 2075
111,050 · -25.4%
By 2100
83,346 · -44.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (65%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bibb

2024 margin
Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
2008→2024 swing
+4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.44%
Current HPI
194.5459
Rent YoY
▲ 4.61%
Metro
Macon-Bibb County, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.8% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-21 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Pending GAMLS
  • 2025-11-05 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
  • 2024-01-15 Rental Removed $925 GAMLS
  • 2023-11-09 Listed for Rent $925 GAMLS
  • 2023-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
  • 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) $69,000 GAMLS
  • 2023-06-20 Pending GAMLS
  • 2023-05-24 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
  • 2023-05-18 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
  • 2022-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $56,000 MGMLS
  • 2022-05-24 Listed $56,000 MGMLS

Property tax history

+15.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $752 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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