3457 Shenandoah Dr · Macon-Bibb County, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.1/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this all-brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home located in the heart of Macon, GA. Perfect for a first time home or as a lucrative investment property This property boasts a unique blend of classic and modern features, with refinished original hardwood floor adding a touch of timeless elegance, while newer laminet floors throughout ensure durability and easy maintenance. The homes layout is designed for conveinence, with a carport that leads directly into the kitchen, making grocery unloading a breeze. The kitchen also comes with a brand-new stov, ready for all of your culinary adventures. One of the stand out features of this property of this property is the huge fenced-in back yard, offering a private outdoor space for a variety of activities. This home is a perfect blend of comfort and functionality, waiting for you to make it your own.
Key facts
- Newer laminet floors
- All-brick home
- Brand-new stove
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.4% in Macon-Bibb County — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Bibb County (urban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #161 of 174 in GA (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 255 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 154 units permitted in Bibb County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $584 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Bibb County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $69k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.34%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $72,631
- List price
- $84,500
- Delta
- 16.34%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3529 Thorpe St | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,132 (-5%) | 1mo | $42,000 | $37 | 72 |
| 3565 Log Cabin Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+9%) | 4mo | $53,000 | $41 | 60 |
| 3789 Del Park | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,023 (-14%) | 4mo | $31,000 | $30 | 56 |
| 1025 Mimosa Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,274 (+7%) | 4mo | $97,000 | $76 | 54 |
| 3669 Earl St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (-5%) | 7mo | $75,000 | $66 | 52 |
| 1201 Sherbrooke Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,080 (-9%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $60 | 52 |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-14%) | 4mo | $104,000 | $101 | 52 |
| 3178 Napier Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,294 (+9%) | 5mo | $50,000 | $39 | 50 |
| 3584 Log Cabin Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-14%) | 6mo | $130,000 | $127 | 49 |
| 1247 Carlisle Ave | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,050 (-12%) | 2mo | $151,000 | $144 | 44 |
| 1305 Edna Pl | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,310 (+10%) | 7mo | $65,000 | $50 | 40 |
| 3837 Blossfield Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-11%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $40 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.61% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,024
- Equity at exit
- $12,599
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.51×
- Total profit
- $35,673
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
Cash invested: $23,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31204
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 255
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$443
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $752/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,125
- Closing costs
- $2,535
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1097 Edna Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1299 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1076 Carlisle Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,065 | $1.04 | 21d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 3307 Guthrie Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 754 | $900 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 3346 Shaw Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1094 | $895 | $0.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0503 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,125 | $0.94 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1208 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 13d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-0501 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,000 | $0.83 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1187 Edna Pl Unit S-1206 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,060 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3634 Dawn St Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 999 | $850 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1196 Mimosa Dr Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $799 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 3495 Charleston Cir Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $875 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 1020 Radio Dr Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $889 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 3775 Grand Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,175 | $0.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3834 Mercer St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3840 Napier Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1365 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 4145 Forest Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1285 | $1,195 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 3808 Fairmont Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 793 | $595 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 63B Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1125 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3324 Vineville Ave Unit 57C Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 914 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 3016 Ridge Ave Unit A Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3330 Ridge Ave Unit D4 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4033 N Napier Ave Unit 6 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $850 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3034 Churchill St Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $900 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3413 Vineville Ave Unit 3419 Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3576 Vineville Ave Unit 3550-D-LT Macon, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 863 | $995 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1208 Fourth Ave W Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $825 | $0.86 | 43d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 133 Auburn Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 4053 Log Cabin Dr Unit B3 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $749 | $0.79 | 21d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1528 Wellworth Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 21d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2763 Vineville Ave Macon, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4126 Ayers Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $750 | $0.83 | 13d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 2755 Vineville Ave Unit B Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1463 Bankston Ave Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $950 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 4250 Ayers Rd Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1008 | $1,100 | $1.09 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1596 Burton Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1117 | $895 | $0.80 | 13d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4357 Azalea Dr Unit 4357 Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $750 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1460 Brentwood Ave Macon, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1148 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4342 Barrington Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $950 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 4353 Barrington Pl Macon, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1108 | $1,000 | $0.90 | 13d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $84,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $84,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $84,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09statusdays on market $84,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $84,500 Price Change 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-21$89,500 New 851-char remark
Show marketing remark (851 chars)
Welcome to this all-brick 3 bedroom 1 bath home located in the heart of Macon, GA. Perfect for a first time home or as a lucrative investment property This property boasts a unique blend of classic and modern features, with refinished original hardwood floor adding a touch of timeless elegance, while newer laminet floors throughout ensure durability and easy maintenance. The homes layout is designed for conveinence, with a carport that leads directly into the kitchen, making grocery unloading a breeze. The kitchen also comes with a brand-new stov, ready for all of your culinary adventures. One of the stand out features of this property of this property is the huge fenced-in back yard, offering a private outdoor space for a variety of activities. This home is a perfect blend of comfort and functionality, waiting for you to make it your own.
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2025-12-09status Back On Market
-
2025-12-02status Under Contract
-
2025-11-05$89,500 New
-
2024-01-15historical $925
-
2023-11-09$925
-
2023-08-04soldstatus $69,000
-
2023-07-31soldstatus $69,000 Sold
-
2023-06-20status Under Contract
-
2023-05-24price $79,500
-
2023-05-18$89,500 New
-
2022-06-17soldstatus $56,000
-
2022-06-15soldstatus $56,000
-
2022-05-24$56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $777 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$25/yr (+$2/mo · 3.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,513
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,733
- − Property taxes
- −$752
- − Insurance
- −$422
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,001
- − Management
- −$1,001
- − Depreciation
- −$2,458
- Taxable income
- $2,145
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$515
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bibb County
- NCES district ID
- 1300420
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,426
- Composite
- 12.13/100
- National rank
- #9654
- State rank
- #161 of 174 in GA
Livability — Macon-Bibb County
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- County
- Bibb County · 164,332 people
- City population
- 143,186
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,421
- Household income
- $38,784
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2674.0
Population outlook (Bibb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 148,772 people
- By 2030
- 145,904 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 139,404 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 131,603 · -11.5%
- By 2075
- 111,050 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 83,346 · -44.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 65% White 28% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bibb
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+22.4) · D 61.0% · R 38.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.4pp toward D · 2008: 18.0pp · 2024: 22.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+22.4 2020: D+23.8 2016: D+20.2 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+18.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -135.44%
- Current HPI
- 194.5459
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.61%
- Metro
- Macon-Bibb County, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+59.8% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-21 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2025-12-02 Pending — GAMLS
- 2025-11-05 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
- 2024-01-15 Rental Removed $925 GAMLS
- 2023-11-09 Listed for Rent $925 GAMLS
- 2023-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $69,000 Public Records
- 2023-07-31 Sold (MLS) $69,000 GAMLS
- 2023-06-20 Pending — GAMLS
- 2023-05-24 Price Changed $79,500 GAMLS
- 2023-05-18 Listed $89,500 GAMLS
- 2022-06-17 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-15 Sold (MLS) $56,000 MGMLS
- 2022-05-24 Listed $56,000 MGMLS
Property tax history
+15.6%/yrLatest (2025): $752 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…