6430 Girard Ave N · Brooklyn Center, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$270,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Recently renovated 5 bedroom home in Brooklyn Center boasts 3 bedrooms on 1 level. Easy access to the freeway and many restaurants and activities in the area. With a good sized back yard just waiting for someone to create a great Minnesota outdoor experience
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Asphalt driveway; Attached garage (1 car, approximately 12 x 20)
- Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas service
- Home design: Residential property; One level (main living on one level with lower level/basement); Pitched asphalt roof (over 8 years old)
- Construction: Block foundation; Built with vinyl siding; Pitched asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Light tree coverage; Public transit within six blocks; City street frontage with paved streets; No pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Five bedrooms total (three main-level bedrooms; additional bedrooms on lower level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on main floor; One three-quarter bathroom in basement
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Finished full basement with block foundation; Eat-in kitchen and combined living/dining area; Family room in lower level; Three bedrooms on one level (main floor); Main floor bedroom
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $270k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $270k).
- Recommended offer: $262k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.0% in Brooklyn Center — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#253 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Brooklyn Center School District (suburban): math 14% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #425 of 467 in MN (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,895/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 659% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $205k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.62%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $335,637
- List price
- $270,000
- Delta
- -19.56%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6139 Colfax Ave N | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,978 (+6%) | 21mo | $319,000 | $161 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-33,035
- Equity at exit
- $40,258
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-14,410
- Equity at exit
- $23,345
Cash invested: $75,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55430
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,895 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,416
- Tax from tax record
- −$593 /mo · $7,120/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$608
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $318 | -5% $242 | +0% $165 | +5% $89 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-64 | -5% $51 | +0% $165 | +5% $279 | +10% $394 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $301 | -0.5pp $234 | base $165 | +0.5pp $95 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,500
- Closing costs
- $8,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1506 71st Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2109 | $2,999 | $1.42 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5700 Colfax Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1425 | $2,375 | $1.67 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 3119 67th Ave N Minneapolis, MN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2056 | $3,000 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $270,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $270,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $270,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $270,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $270,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $270,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $270,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $270,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $270,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $270,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $280,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $280,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $280,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $280,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-05-07$280,000 Active 365-char remark
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2018-12-17soldstatus $205,000
-
2018-11-30soldstatus $205,000 Sold 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Recently renovated 5 bedroom home in Brooklyn Center boasts 3 bedrooms on 1 level. Easy access to the freeway and many restaurants and activities in the area. With a good sized back yard just waiting for someone to create a great Minnesota outdoor experience
-
2018-10-19status Pending 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Recently renovated 5 bedroom home in Brooklyn Center boasts 3 bedrooms on 1 level. Easy access to the freeway and many restaurants and activities in the area. With a good sized back yard just waiting for someone to create a great Minnesota outdoor experience
-
2018-10-10historical Contingent - Inspection 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Recently renovated 5 bedroom home in Brooklyn Center boasts 3 bedrooms on 1 level. Easy access to the freeway and many restaurants and activities in the area. With a good sized back yard just waiting for someone to create a great Minnesota outdoor experience
-
2018-10-05$184,900 Active 258-char remark
Show marketing remark (258 chars)
Recently renovated 5 bedroom home in Brooklyn Center boasts 3 bedrooms on 1 level. Easy access to the freeway and many restaurants and activities in the area. With a good sized back yard just waiting for someone to create a great Minnesota outdoor experience
-
2016-01-25soldstatus $92,500
-
2008-12-31soldstatus $55,000
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Home has 5 legal bedrooms, garage is 2-car with 1 door. Convenient to city and shopping.
-
2008-12-16historical
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Home has 5 legal bedrooms, garage is 2-car with 1 door. Convenient to city and shopping.
-
2008-12-02$60,000
Show marketing remark (88 chars)
Home has 5 legal bedrooms, garage is 2-car with 1 door. Convenient to city and shopping.
-
2008-11-30historical
-
2008-10-06$75,000
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2008-10-02historical
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2008-06-25$105,000
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2005-06-20soldstatus $205,000
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2005-06-10soldstatus $205,000
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2005-05-17historical
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2005-05-02$199,900
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2005-02-20historical
-
2005-01-03$199,900
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2005-01-03historical
-
2004-09-13$209,900
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2004-09-13historical
-
2004-08-13$209,900
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2002-08-07soldstatus $169,900
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2002-06-28soldstatus $169,900
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2002-05-08historical
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2002-05-06$159,900
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1989-08-16soldstatus $77,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $7,120 · $593/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,120 · $593/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,737
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,124
- − Property taxes
- −$7,120
- − Insurance
- −$1,350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,779
- − Management
- −$2,779
- − Depreciation
- −$7,855
- Taxable loss
- −$2,270
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$545
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,526/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brooklyn Center School District
- NCES district ID
- 2706240
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,797
- Composite
- 19.07/100
- National rank
- #13976
- State rank
- #425 of 467 in MN
Livability — Brooklyn Center
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #253
- US rank
- #5422
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brooklyn Center, MN
- County
- Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
- City population
- 22,749
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,749
- Household income
- $75,716
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 659.0
Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,405,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,492,650 · +6.2%
- By 2040
- 1,660,157 · +18.1%
- By 2050
- 1,823,498 · +29.8%
- By 2075
- 2,221,283 · +58.1%
- By 2100
- 2,509,976 · +78.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.75)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 33% Black 29% Asian 16% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 6% Swiss 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 70% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 10% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -163.41%
- Current HPI
- 280.4391
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+246.6% since first listed30 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $270,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $280,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-30 Sold (MLS) $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-19 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-10 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-05 Listed $184,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records
- 2008-12-31 Sold (MLS) $55,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-16 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-12-02 Listed $60,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-11-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-06 Listed $75,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-10-02 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-25 Listed $105,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
- 2005-06-10 Sold (MLS) $205,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-05-02 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-20 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-03 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-01-03 Listed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-09-13 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-08-13 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $169,900 Public Records
- 2002-06-28 Sold (MLS) $169,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-08 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-05-06 Listed $159,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1989-08-16 Sold (Public Records) $77,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $7,120 · +51.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…