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1166 Zephyr St
D Composite 44.22
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$241,000

1166 Zephyr St · Ypsilanti, MI 48198
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,649 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market
Built 1955 6,534 sqft lot Est $241k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Situated on a quiet corner, 1166 Zephyr St features all stainless steel appliances, a fenced in backyard, a patio, a storage shed, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement. The property layout consists of neutral surfaces and functional utility areas throughout the structure. Exterior components provide access to the parcel perimeter. This residence maintains a standard build and utilitarian design throughout. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

Key facts

  • Neutral surfaces
  • Fenced in backyard
  • Storage shed

Tags

STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFENCED IN BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDFRESH INTERIOR PAINTPARTIAL FLOORING REPLACEMENTNEUTRAL SURFACES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $241k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $99 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (20.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $192k (20.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Ypsilanti — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#71 in MI, #1,539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Van Buren Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #228 of 540 in MI (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Rawsonville Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,110 of 1,397 statewide, top 81%, 315 students, 80% FRL); Mcbride Middle School (math 28% / reading 47%, grade F, #243 of 493 statewide, top 50%, 581 students, 64% FRL); Belleville High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #264 of 713 statewide, top 41%, 1,770 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 49% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 166 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 996 units permitted in Washtenaw County in 2024 (492 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washtenaw County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $207k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $192,291 (20.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.78%
Cash-on-cash
1.76%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,754
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1166 Zephyr St 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,649 (0%) 1mo $241,000 $146 99
1324 Woodglen Ave 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,680 (+2%) 8mo $250,000 $149 76
1649 Smith St 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,642 (-0%) 2mo $240,000 $146 74
1033 Nash Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,776 (+8%) 5mo $220,000 $124 71
1476 Foley Ave 0.55mi 3/1.0 1,650 (+0%) 1mo $230,000 $139 70
1815 Heatherridge St 0.32mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,570 (-5%) 7mo $230,000 $146 66
1441 Harry St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,812 (+10%) 5mo $225,000 $124 66
1586 Foley Ave 0.45mi 3/1.5 1,748 (+6%) 3mo $222,500 $127 64
1237 Lester Ave 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,677 (+2%) 2mo $255,900 $153 59
2022 George Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,850 (+12%) 8mo $227,000 $123 51
1211 Evelyn Ave 0.66mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,440 (-13%) 0mo $285,000 $198 41
1445 Evelyn Ave 0.71mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,840 (+12%) 5mo $265,000 $144 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.38% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.2%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-30,178
Equity at exit
$35,934
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.89×
Total profit
$-7,251
Equity at exit
$20,837

Cash invested: $67,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48198

Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,923 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,264
Tax from tax record
$56 /mo · $673/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$99

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,798
Max offer price $241,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $167 +0% $99 +5% $31 +10% $-38
Rent -10% $-53 -5% $23 +0% $99 +5% $175 +10% $251
Rate -1.0pp $220 -0.5pp $160 base $99 +0.5pp $36 +1.0pp $-27

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,250
Closing costs
$7,230
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1311 Nash Ave Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 19d 1 0.27mi
719 Oswego Ave Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 22d 1 0.31mi
2355 Briardale Ct Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 45d 1 0.35mi
677 Onandaga Ave Ypsilanti, MI 4.0 2.0 1412 $2,300 $1.63 0d 1 0.41mi
1428 Village Ln Ypsilanti, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 860 $1,550 $1.80 45d 1 0.50mi
590 Olds St Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0 1188 $1,600 $1.35 26d 1 0.71mi
144 Ohio St Ypsilanti, MI 4.0 2.0 1914 $2,300 $1.20 0d 1 0.90mi
8753 Spinnaker Way Ypsilanti, MI 3.0 1.0–2.0 893 $2,010 $2.25 1d 15 1.40mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-03-31
    status Pending 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Situated on a quiet corner, 1166 Zephyr St features all stainless steel appliances, a fenced in backyard, a patio, a storage shed, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement. The property layout consists of neutral surfaces and functional utility areas throughout the structure. Exterior components provide access to the parcel perimeter. This residence maintains a standard build and utilitarian design throughout. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  2. 2026-03-31
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Situated on a quiet corner, 1166 Zephyr St features all stainless steel appliances, a fenced in backyard, a patio, a storage shed, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement. The property layout consists of neutral surfaces and functional utility areas throughout the structure. Exterior components provide access to the parcel perimeter. This residence maintains a standard build and utilitarian design throughout. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  3. 2026-03-23
    listed $241,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Situated on a quiet corner, 1166 Zephyr St features all stainless steel appliances, a fenced in backyard, a patio, a storage shed, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement. The property layout consists of neutral surfaces and functional utility areas throughout the structure. Exterior components provide access to the parcel perimeter. This residence maintains a standard build and utilitarian design throughout. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  4. 2026-03-23
    listed $241,000 Active 480-char remark
    Show marketing remark (480 chars)

    Situated on a quiet corner, 1166 Zephyr St features all stainless steel appliances, a fenced in backyard, a patio, a storage shed, fresh interior paint, and partial flooring replacement. The property layout consists of neutral surfaces and functional utility areas throughout the structure. Exterior components provide access to the parcel perimeter. This residence maintains a standard build and utilitarian design throughout. Included 100-Day Home Warranty with buyer activation

  5. 2026-02-25
    soldstatus $207,000
  6. 1999-09-03
    soldstatus $74,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$673 · $56/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,192 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$1,519/yr (+$127/mo · 225.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,075
− Mortgage interest
−$13,500
− Property taxes
−$673
− Insurance
−$1,205
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,846
− Management
−$1,846
− Depreciation
−$7,011
Taxable loss
−$3,006
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$721
After-tax cash flow
$1,906/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Van Buren Public Schools
NCES district ID
2634560
Math proficiency
33% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$54,166
Composite
33.2/100
National rank
#5533
State rank
#228 of 540 in MI

Livability — Ypsilanti

Score
81/100
State rank
#71
US rank
#1539

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Washtenaw County · 306,860 people
City population
105,769
Metro
Ann Arbor, MI
Population (ZIP)
39,244
Household income
$63,326
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
1998.0

Population outlook (Washtenaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
402,878 people
By 2030
424,104 · +5.3%
By 2040
464,633 · +15.3%
By 2050
504,728 · +25.3%
By 2075
614,463 · +52.5%
By 2100
676,181 · +67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 32% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Washtenaw

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.4) · D 71.0% · R 26.6% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 41.0pp · 2024: 44.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.4 2020: D+46.6 2016: D+41.5 2012: D+36.0 2008: D+41.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -224.96%
Current HPI
204.1228
Rent YoY
▲ 4.38%
Metro
Ann Arbor, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+223.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-31 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $241,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listed $241,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $207,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-03 Sold (Public Records) $74,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $673 · -43.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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