47 Forest Ave · Cincinnati, OH
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
Key facts
- Cincinnati location
- New construction
- Centrally located
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Residential zoning
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Natural gas; Sewer at street
- Home design: Traditional single-family home; One story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Membrane roof; Built on a 0.074-acre lot
- Exterior features: Aluminum double-pane windows; Less than 0.5 acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with unspecified/other features
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Primary bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
- Interior features: Four total rooms; Full basement with concrete floor and unfinished space; Busline nearby
- Laundry & utility: Basement utility space (unfinished)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $493 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $41k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 20.3% vs local median 3.9% in Cincinnati — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in OH, #1,856 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Cincinnati Public Schools (urban): math 25% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #581 of 656 in OH (top 89%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 36 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $325 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.4% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($41k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $40k; 18% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 20.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- 50.03%
- DSCR
- 3.23
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,328
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3549 Lossing St | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 722 (-15%) | 18mo | $113,500 | $157 | 53 |
| 3537 Vinecrest Pl | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 941 (+11%) | 23mo | $61,000 | $65 | 50 |
| 517 Glenwood Ave | 0.65mi | 2/1.5 | 956 (+13%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $136 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $20,991
- Equity at exit
- $7,008
- IRR
- 43.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.63×
- Total profit
- $47,825
- Equity at exit
- $4,064
Cash invested: $13,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45220
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,126 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$246
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $895/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $493
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $520 | -5% $506 | +0% $493 | +5% $480 | +10% $466 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $404 | -5% $449 | +0% $493 | +5% $538 | +10% $582 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $517 | -0.5pp $505 | base $493 | +0.5pp $481 | +1.0pp $469 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,750
- Closing costs
- $1,410
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3571 Vine St Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $725 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 262 Irwin Pl Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,420 | $1.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 216 Rockdale Ave Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $925 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 145 Glenridge Pl Unit D Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $825 | $1.18 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 39 Glen Este Pl Fl 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 3583 Alaska Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 839 | $1,120 | $1.33 | 4d | 32 | 0.50mi |
| 118 Glenridge Pl Unit D Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 633 | $795 | $1.26 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 132 Louis Ave Apt C Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,000 | $0.95 | 24d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 3872 Vine St Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 5d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 249 Senator Pl Unit 249-12 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,095 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 310 Bryant Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $995 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3545 Harvey Ave Unit 2100 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $1,050 | $1.59 | 15d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3549 Harvey Ave Apt 2085 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3549 Harvey Ave Unit 2089 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $995 | $1.24 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 353 McAlpin Ave Unit 353-05 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 670 | $895 | $1.34 | 4d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 562 Glenwood Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,160 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 566 Glenwood Ave Unit 5 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 4d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 3239 Bishop St Unit 3239-11 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $995 | $1.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 3227 Jefferson Ave Unit 3227-01 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $1,345 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 564 Glenwood Ave Unit 24 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 811 | $895 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 332 Ludlow Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 579 | $1,095 | $1.89 | 5d | 10 | 0.72mi |
| 3227 Bishop St Unit 3227-02 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 718 | $1,495 | $2.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3227 Bishop St Unit 3227-06 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 718 | $1,595 | $2.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 532 Rockdale Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 658 | $1,095 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 3420 Middleton Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3970 Vine St Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $750 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 116 Clinton Springs Ave Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 22d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5 E Mitchell Ave Unit 4 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $825 | $0.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 3404 Whitfield Ave Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1291 | $1,595 | $1.23 | 5d | 55 | 0.84mi |
| 458 Wood Ave Unit 458-05 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $895 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3141 Bishop St Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 24d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 440 Ludlow Ave Unit 440-11 Cincinnati, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 655 | $1,195 | $1.82 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3566 Estes Pl Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $980 | $1.32 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3566 Estes Pl Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $980 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 4237 Vine St Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $825 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 4237 Vine St Unit 2 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 724 | $925 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 518 Clinton Springs Ave Unit 3 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $850 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 500 Lafayette Ave Unit 500-202 Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,595 | $2.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 638 Greenwood Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $795 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3346 Sherlock Ave Cincinnati, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,275 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $47,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $47,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $47,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $47,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $47,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $47,000 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $47,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $47,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,000 Active 103 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $47,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $47,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-02-18$47,000 Active
-
2025-09-30historical 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2025-08-21status Active 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2025-08-08historical Contingency Pending 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2025-06-17status Active 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2025-05-27historical Contingency Pending 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2025-05-08$48,000 Active 41-char remark
Show marketing remark (41 chars)
Investor Special! Full Rehab Opportunity!
-
2024-05-31historical 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Motivated seller has investment property centrally located in the heart of the city. Property located across from the new construction at the Cincinnati Zoo. Newer electric, property needs additional renovations. MLS info believed to be accurate but not guaranteed. Property sold as is, where is.
-
2023-11-13$60,000 Active 296-char remark
Show marketing remark (296 chars)
Motivated seller has investment property centrally located in the heart of the city. Property located across from the new construction at the Cincinnati Zoo. Newer electric, property needs additional renovations. MLS info believed to be accurate but not guaranteed. Property sold as is, where is.
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2023-10-31historical
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2023-04-25$75,000 Active
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2023-01-24soldstatus $40,000 Closed
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2023-01-19status Pending
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2022-11-04historical Contingency Pending
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2022-06-21$40,000 Active
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2016-05-23soldstatus $5,501
-
1995-01-03soldstatus $6,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $895 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $895 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,633
- − Property taxes
- −$895
- − Insurance
- −$902
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,081
- − Management
- −$1,081
- − Depreciation
- −$1,367
- Taxable income
- $5,550
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,332
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Cincinnati Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3904375
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,743
- Composite
- 25.21/100
- National rank
- #7508
- State rank
- #581 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cincinnati
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1856
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cincinnati, OH
- County
- Hamilton County · 701,295 people
- City population
- 505,555
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,109
- Household income
- $53,440
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1186.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 20% Asian 14% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 6% Chinese 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -196.81%
- Current HPI
- 246.0631
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.41%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+683.3% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Listed $47,000 Cincy MLS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2025-08-21 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2025-08-08 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2025-06-17 Relisted — Cincy MLS
- 2025-05-27 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2025-05-08 Listed $48,000 Cincy MLS
- 2024-05-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2023-11-13 Listed $60,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-10-31 Listing Removed — Cincy MLS
- 2023-04-25 Listed $75,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-01-24 Sold (MLS) $40,000 Cincy MLS
- 2023-01-19 Pending — Cincy MLS
- 2022-11-04 Contingent — Cincy MLS
- 2022-06-21 Listed $40,000 Cincy MLS
- 2016-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $5,501 Public Records
- 1995-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $6,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.4%/yrLatest (2025): $895 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…