102 Lee St · Centerville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 73.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.2/30.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +1.4/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This is the one you've been looking for. This solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers 1,406 SqFt of potential—perfect for buyers ready to add their personal touch and create a dream space. Built on a strong foundation, it’s ready for updates to match your vision (think cosmetic refreshes and modernization). But the real standout? This is truly a buy-one-get-one opportunity! The sale includes the adjacent . 31-acre lot at 117 Wilson Dr, giving you extra land for expansion, gardening, parking, or other future possibilities. Additional highlights include: A two-story detached garage with one-car covered parking accessible from Wilson Dr, with a versatile upper-level workshop/studio space, easily reached from the Lee St backyard—ideal for hobbies, storage, or a home office. Conveniently located in Centerville, this property combines character, extra acreage, and outbuilding flexibility in one unbeatable package. Don’t miss the chance to make it yours—schedule a showing today and start envisioning the possibilities!
Key facts
- Upper-level workshop
- Detached garage
- 0.51 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $175k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $167k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 5.8% in Centerville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#56 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Houston County (urban): math 43% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #23 of 174 in GA (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Centerville Elementary School (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #264 of 1,228 statewide, top 23%, 630 students, 84% FRL); Thomson Middle School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #234 of 470 statewide, top 50%, 736 students, 84% FRL); Northside High School (math 5% / reading 21%, grade F, #331 of 424 statewide, top 78%, 1,959 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 84% FRL vs 46% district-wide (38 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 31% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Houston County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,545 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $16k; list at $190k implies a 1091% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 73% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.63%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $167,415
- List price
- $190,000
- Delta
- 13.49%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Mcvey Trl | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,421 (+1%) | 2mo | $238,000 | $167 | 80 |
| 111 Mason Dr | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,560 (+11%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $99 | 70 |
| 409 Davis Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,304 (-7%) | 10mo | $184,000 | $141 | 69 |
| 115 Montrose Ln | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,489 (+6%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 104 Kathryn Pl | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,424 (+1%) | 5mo | $235,000 | $165 | 62 |
| 708 Houston Lake Blvd | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-12%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $175 | 62 |
| 105 Jeanette Pl | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,327 (-6%) | 2mo | $215,500 | $162 | 60 |
| 407 Collins Ave Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (+10%) | 4mo | $149,900 | $97 | 55 |
| 101 Huntington Way | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,553 (+10%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $155 | 53 |
| 103 Ashlund Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,544 (+10%) | 6mo | $205,000 | $133 | 48 |
| 303 Asbell Way | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-8%) | 9mo | $232,000 | $178 | 46 |
| 303 Vanessa Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,581 (+12%) | 8mo | $235,000 | $149 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-17,782
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.02×
- Total profit
- $1,100
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31028
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 39
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,746 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,182/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$367
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $259 | +0% $205 | +5% $151 | +10% $98 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $67 | -5% $136 | +0% $205 | +5% $274 | +10% $343 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $301 | -0.5pp $253 | base $205 | +0.5pp $156 | +1.0pp $106 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Ridgewood Dr Centerville, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,050 | $1.07 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 103 Abney Ct Centerville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,800 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 114 Tahoe Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,800 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 105 Arnold St Centerville, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1122 | $1,295 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 431 Sentry Oak Dr Centerville, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1312 | $1,695 | $1.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 111 Rainbow Ave Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 111 Rainbow Ave Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1422 | $1,695 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 210 Surrey Dr Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1620 | $1,600 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 213 Webb St Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,600 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 800 Gunn Rd Centerville, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1100 | $1,715 | $1.56 | 15d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 100 Robins West Pkwy Warner Robins, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $1,347 | $1.37 | 15d | 7 | 1.31mi |
| 208 Wray St Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $1,700 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 108 Renoir Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 108 Renoir Ln Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1306 | $1,300 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 117 Wingate Cir Warner Robins, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1155 | $1,425 | $1.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 111 Hawthorne Rd Warner Robins, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1551 | $1,500 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 108 Pershing Place Ct Warner Robins, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,300 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $190,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $190,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $190,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $190,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $190,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $190,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $190,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $190,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $190,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-04-01price $190,000 1054-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
This is the one you've been looking for. This solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers 1,406 SqFt of potential-perfect for buyers ready to add their personal touch and create a dream space. Built on a strong foundation, it's ready for updates to match your vision (think cosmetic refreshes and modernization). But the real standout? This is truly a buy-one-get-one opportunity! The sale includes the adjacent .31-acre lot at 117 Wilson Dr, giving you extra land for expansion, gardening, parking, or other future possibilities. Additional highlights include: A two-story detached garage with one-car covered parking accessible from Wilson Dr, with a versatile upper-level workshop/studio space, easily reached from the Lee St backyard-ideal for hobbies, storage, or a home office. Conveniently located in Centerville, this property combines character, extra acreage, and outbuilding flexibility in one unbeatable package. Don't miss the chance to make it yours-schedule a showing today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
2026-04-01price $190,000 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
This is the one you've been looking for. This solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers 1,406 SqFt of potential-perfect for buyers ready to add their personal touch and create a dream space. Built on a strong foundation, it's ready for updates to match your vision (think cosmetic refreshes and modernization). But the real standout? This is truly a buy-one-get-one opportunity! The sale includes the adjacent .31-acre lot at 117 Wilson Dr, giving you extra land for expansion, gardening, parking, or other future possibilities. Additional highlights include: A two-story detached garage with one-car covered parking accessible from Wilson Dr, with a versatile upper-level workshop/studio space, easily reached from the Lee St backyard-ideal for hobbies, storage, or a home office. Conveniently located in Centerville, this property combines character, extra acreage, and outbuilding flexibility in one unbeatable package. Don't miss the chance to make it yours-schedule a showing today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
2026-01-23$205,000 Active 1054-char remark
Show marketing remark (1054 chars)
This is the one you've been looking for. This solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers 1,406 SqFt of potential—perfect for buyers ready to add their personal touch and create a dream space. Built on a strong foundation, it’s ready for updates to match your vision (think cosmetic refreshes and modernization). But the real standout? This is truly a buy-one-get-one opportunity! The sale includes the adjacent . 31-acre lot at 117 Wilson Dr, giving you extra land for expansion, gardening, parking, or other future possibilities. Additional highlights include: A two-story detached garage with one-car covered parking accessible from Wilson Dr, with a versatile upper-level workshop/studio space, easily reached from the Lee St backyard—ideal for hobbies, storage, or a home office. Conveniently located in Centerville, this property combines character, extra acreage, and outbuilding flexibility in one unbeatable package. Don’t miss the chance to make it yours—schedule a showing today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
2026-01-14$205,000 New 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
This is the one you've been looking for. This solid 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath home offers 1,406 SqFt of potential-perfect for buyers ready to add their personal touch and create a dream space. Built on a strong foundation, it's ready for updates to match your vision (think cosmetic refreshes and modernization). But the real standout? This is truly a buy-one-get-one opportunity! The sale includes the adjacent .31-acre lot at 117 Wilson Dr, giving you extra land for expansion, gardening, parking, or other future possibilities. Additional highlights include: A two-story detached garage with one-car covered parking accessible from Wilson Dr, with a versatile upper-level workshop/studio space, easily reached from the Lee St backyard-ideal for hobbies, storage, or a home office. Conveniently located in Centerville, this property combines character, extra acreage, and outbuilding flexibility in one unbeatable package. Don't miss the chance to make it yours-schedule a showing today and start envisioning the possibilities!
-
1965-08-25soldstatus $15,950
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,182 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,748 · $146/mo
- Expected delta
- +$566/yr (+$47/mo · 47.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 73% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,950
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$1,182
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,676
- − Management
- −$1,676
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$704
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$169
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,631/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Houston County
- NCES district ID
- 1302880
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,823
- Composite
- 38.68/100
- National rank
- #4144
- State rank
- #23 of 174 in GA
Livability — Centerville
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #56
- US rank
- #5374
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Centerville, GA
- County
- Houston County · 157,321 people
- City population
- 6,312
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,645
- Household income
- $76,342
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 216.0
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 169,502 people
- By 2030
- 178,486 · +5.3%
- By 2040
- 194,642 · +14.8%
- By 2050
- 207,119 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 231,480 · +36.6%
- By 2100
- 235,034 · +38.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 45% White 41% Asian 6% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Armenian 3% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.3) · D 44.0% · R 55.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: -20.2pp · 2024: -11.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.3 2020: R+12.4 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+20.7 2008: R+20.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.75%
- Current HPI
- 215.7835
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Warner Robins, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+1091.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $190,000 CGMLS
- 2026-04-01 Price Changed $190,000 GAMLS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $205,000 CGMLS
- 2026-01-14 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
- 1965-08-25 Sold (Public Records) $15,950 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,182 · +21.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…