Multi-family
88 19th St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +13.1/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- 1% rule +7.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$321,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
This is an exceptional multi-unit investment property with a side lot available sold separately. This fully rented triple is located two blocks from the heart of the west side community of Buffalo. Lower Front: 1 Bed 1 Bath Spacious kitchen and living room. Lower Rear: 1 Bed 1 Bath Spacious kitchen and living room. Unit #3 Upper: 2 Bed 1 Bath New in-unit washer & dryer Finished attic space for an office Remodeled Kitchen and bathroom. Basement 2 New furnaces Updated electrical Brand new A/Cx3 2 washers 2 Dryers. Side Lot Fully Fenced In New Storage Shed Price: 39,000.
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- Fully rented triple
- Finished attic space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $321k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $321k).
- Recommended offer: $282k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,849/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 1501% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $26k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $24k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 267 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 267 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.20% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.21%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $366,941
- List price
- $321,000
- Delta
- -12.52%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 395 Hampshire St | 0.08mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,438 (-2%) | 3mo | $165,500 | $68 | 86 |
| 67 Barton St | 0.40mi | 6/2.0 | 2,420 (-2%) | 0mo | $170,000 | $70 | 77 |
| 207 Rhode Island St | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,436 (-2%) | 2mo | $295,500 | $121 | 66 |
| 298 Massachusetts Ave | 0.28mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,221 (-10%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $99 | 64 |
| 26 York St | 0.74mi | 6/2.0 | 2,519 (+2%) | 1mo | $199,900 | $79 | 62 |
| 288 14th St | 0.43mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,616 (+6%) | 6mo | $260,000 | $99 | 60 |
| 187 Auburn Ave | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,588 (+5%) | 7mo | $289,000 | $112 | 60 |
| 315 Herkimer St | 0.58mi | 6/2.0 | 2,303 (-7%) | 2mo | $148,000 | $64 | 60 |
| 383 Summer St | 0.66mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,468 (-0%) | 6mo | $492,000 | $199 | 58 |
| 238 Barton St | 0.53mi | 6/2.0 | 2,246 (-9%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $87 | 58 |
| 215 Normal Ave | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,626 (+6%) | 7mo | $294,000 | $112 | 53 |
| 38 Ardmore Pl | 0.52mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,121 (-14%) | 6mo | $230,000 | $108 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $183,422
- Equity at exit
- $233,294
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 6.09×
- Total profit
- $457,264
- Equity at exit
- $453,346
Cash invested: $89,880 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14213
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 21.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,849 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,683
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,014/yr
- Insurance
- −$134
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$808
- Net cashflow
- $1,139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,321 | -5% $1,230 | +0% $1,139 | +5% $1,048 | +10% $957 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $835 | -5% $987 | +0% $1,139 | +5% $1,291 | +10% $1,443 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,301 | -0.5pp $1,221 | base $1,139 | +0.5pp $1,056 | +1.0pp $971 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $2,500 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,250 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,350 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,849 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,250
- Closing costs
- $9,630
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $321,000 Active 267 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $321,000 Active 266 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $321,000 Active 265 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $321,000 Active 264 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $321,000 Active 262 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $321,000 Active 261 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $321,000 Active 259 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $321,000 Active 258 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $321,000 Active 257 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $321,000 Active 256 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $321,000 Active 252 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $321,000 Active 251 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $321,000 Active 250 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $321,000 Active 249 DOM
-
2025-11-26soldstatus $345,000
-
2025-09-24$321,000 Active 592-char remark
Show marketing remark (592 chars)
This is an exceptional multi-unit investment property with a side lot available sold separately. This fully rented triple is located two blocks from the heart of the west side community of Buffalo. Lower Front: 1 Bed 1 Bath Spacious kitchen and living room. Lower Rear: 1 Bed 1 Bath Spacious kitchen and living room. Unit #3 Upper: 2 Bed 1 Bath New in-unit washer & dryer Finished attic space for an office Remodeled Kitchen and bathroom. Basement 2 New furnaces Updated electrical Brand new A/Cx3 2 washers 2 Dryers. Side Lot Fully Fenced In New Storage Shed Price: 39,000.
-
2023-02-15soldstatus $278,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,014 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,220 · $268/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,205/yr (+$184/mo · 217.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,188
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,981
- − Property taxes
- −$1,014
- − Insurance
- −$1,605
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,695
- − Management
- −$3,695
- − Depreciation
- −$9,338
- Taxable income
- $8,859
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,126
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,543/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,107
- Household income
- $53,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1501.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Current HPI
- 448.4879
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+24.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2025-11-26 Sold (Public Records) $345,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-24 Listed $321,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2023-02-15 Sold (Public Records) $278,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+16.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,014 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…