🔨 Auction
21061 Pike 307 · Bowling Green, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +8.8/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
AUCTION LISTING - List price is not indicative of Seller’s final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event. This sale will be executed with a no-contingency contract provided by the brokerage representing the Seller. See MLS Supplement Document for complete details. Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on 5 acres in Cyrene, Missouri. Whether you're looking for a family home or to start a mini farm, this one offers a versatile setup and plenty of potential. The approximately 1,178 sq ft home welcomes you with an open living area that includes a fireplace. Just off the main living space, the kitchen is functional for everyday living. The home includes three bedrooms and a centrally located full bathroom, providing a practical layout for families, guests, or even a home office setup. Hardwood floors run throughout much of the home, adding character and charm. A full basement provides additional space for storage, hobbies, or the opportunity to finish out a game room or extra living area. With a little TLC, this home could easily be transformed into a comfortable residence, rental property, or investment opportunity. Outside, the property is well-suited for rural living. A large, older barn with stalls offers excellent potential for livestock, while the metal Quonset hut building provides ideal storage for equipment, hay, or supplies. A separate workshop is perfect for woodworking or small projects. The pasture is partially fenced and would be great for horses or livestock, making this a great setup for hobby farming. Conveniently located just 7 miles south of Bowling Green and approximately 30 miles from Troy, you’ll enjoy the peace of country life with easy access to nearby amenities.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Metal quonset hut
- Open living area
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $1.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#91 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Bowling Green R-I (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #146 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $987 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pike County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 214090.2% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.30%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.56%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $142,727
- List price
- $1
- Delta
- -100.00%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.23×
- Total profit
- $-30,652
- Equity at exit
- $21,281
- IRR
- -16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.09×
- Total profit
- $-36,334
- Equity at exit
- $12,340
Cash invested: $39,964 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63334
- Home prices YoY
- -16.2%
- Active inventory
- 35
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$748
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$178 /mo · $2,141/yr
- Insurance
- −$59
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$231
- Net cashflow
- $-118
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,682
- Closing costs
- $4,282
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-16$1 Active 1765-char remark
Show marketing remark (1765 chars)
AUCTION LISTING - List price is not indicative of Seller’s final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event. This sale will be executed with a no-contingency contract provided by the brokerage representing the Seller. See MLS Supplement Document for complete details. Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on 5 acres in Cyrene, Missouri. Whether you're looking for a family home or to start a mini farm, this one offers a versatile setup and plenty of potential. The approximately 1,178 sq ft home welcomes you with an open living area that includes a fireplace. Just off the main living space, the kitchen is functional for everyday living. The home includes three bedrooms and a centrally located full bathroom, providing a practical layout for families, guests, or even a home office setup. Hardwood floors run throughout much of the home, adding character and charm. A full basement provides additional space for storage, hobbies, or the opportunity to finish out a game room or extra living area. With a little TLC, this home could easily be transformed into a comfortable residence, rental property, or investment opportunity. Outside, the property is well-suited for rural living. A large, older barn with stalls offers excellent potential for livestock, while the metal Quonset hut building provides ideal storage for equipment, hay, or supplies. A separate workshop is perfect for woodworking or small projects. The pasture is partially fenced and would be great for horses or livestock, making this a great setup for hobby farming. Conveniently located just 7 miles south of Bowling Green and approximately 30 miles from Troy, you’ll enjoy the peace of country life with easy access to nearby amenities.
-
1999-07-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,184
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,995
- − Property taxes
- −$2,141
- − Insurance
- −$714
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,055
- − Management
- −$1,055
- − Depreciation
- −$4,152
- Taxable loss
- −$3,927
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$942
- After-tax cash flow
- $-478/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bowling Green R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2905660
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,568
- Composite
- 33.81/100
- National rank
- #5362
- State rank
- #146 of 324 in MO
Livability — Bowling Green
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #6204
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,251
Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,895 people
- By 2030
- 17,591 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 17,080 · -4.6%
- By 2050
- 16,589 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 14,761 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 11,606 · -35.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Arab 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pike
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -57.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+9.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -37.14%
- Current HPI
- 191.5018
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $579 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…