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21061 Pike 307 🔨 Auction
F Composite 33.36
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +8.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1

21061 Pike 307 · Bowling Green, MO 63334
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,178 sqft · Other public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1951 5.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AUCTION LISTING - List price is not indicative of Seller’s final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event. This sale will be executed with a no-contingency contract provided by the brokerage representing the Seller. See MLS Supplement Document for complete details. Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on 5 acres in Cyrene, Missouri. Whether you're looking for a family home or to start a mini farm, this one offers a versatile setup and plenty of potential. The approximately 1,178 sq ft home welcomes you with an open living area that includes a fireplace. Just off the main living space, the kitchen is functional for everyday living. The home includes three bedrooms and a centrally located full bathroom, providing a practical layout for families, guests, or even a home office setup. Hardwood floors run throughout much of the home, adding character and charm. A full basement provides additional space for storage, hobbies, or the opportunity to finish out a game room or extra living area. With a little TLC, this home could easily be transformed into a comfortable residence, rental property, or investment opportunity. Outside, the property is well-suited for rural living. A large, older barn with stalls offers excellent potential for livestock, while the metal Quonset hut building provides ideal storage for equipment, hay, or supplies. A separate workshop is perfect for woodworking or small projects. The pasture is partially fenced and would be great for horses or livestock, making this a great setup for hobby farming. Conveniently located just 7 miles south of Bowling Green and approximately 30 miles from Troy, you’ll enjoy the peace of country life with easy access to nearby amenities.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Metal quonset hut
  • Open living area

Tags

OPEN LIVING AREAFIREPLACEFUNCTIONAL KITCHENFULL BASEMENTLARGE OLDER BARNMETAL QUONSET HUT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $1 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $142,727 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $1.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-118 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $1).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#91 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bowling Green R-I (town): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #146 of 324 in MO (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 35 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $987 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($0) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 214090.2% of price; built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $1

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.77%
Cap rate
5.30%
Cash-on-cash
-3.56%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$142,727
List price
$1
Delta
-100.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-22.2%
Equity multiple
0.23×
Total profit
$-30,652
Equity at exit
$21,281
10-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-36,334
Equity at exit
$12,340

Cash invested: $39,964 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63334

Home prices YoY
-16.2%
Active inventory
35

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,099 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$748
Tax est. 1.5%
$178 /mo · $2,141/yr
Insurance
$59
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$231
Net cashflow
$-118

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,249
Max offer price $125,595
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,682
Closing costs
$4,282
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-16
    listed $1 Active 1765-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1765 chars)

    AUCTION LISTING - List price is not indicative of Seller’s final reserve amount. This property is part of an online bidding event. This sale will be executed with a no-contingency contract provided by the brokerage representing the Seller. See MLS Supplement Document for complete details. Check out this 3-bedroom, 1-bath home situated on 5 acres in Cyrene, Missouri. Whether you're looking for a family home or to start a mini farm, this one offers a versatile setup and plenty of potential. The approximately 1,178 sq ft home welcomes you with an open living area that includes a fireplace. Just off the main living space, the kitchen is functional for everyday living. The home includes three bedrooms and a centrally located full bathroom, providing a practical layout for families, guests, or even a home office setup. Hardwood floors run throughout much of the home, adding character and charm. A full basement provides additional space for storage, hobbies, or the opportunity to finish out a game room or extra living area. With a little TLC, this home could easily be transformed into a comfortable residence, rental property, or investment opportunity. Outside, the property is well-suited for rural living. A large, older barn with stalls offers excellent potential for livestock, while the metal Quonset hut building provides ideal storage for equipment, hay, or supplies. A separate workshop is perfect for woodworking or small projects. The pasture is partially fenced and would be great for horses or livestock, making this a great setup for hobby farming. Conveniently located just 7 miles south of Bowling Green and approximately 30 miles from Troy, you’ll enjoy the peace of country life with easy access to nearby amenities.

  2. 1999-07-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,184
− Mortgage interest
−$7,995
− Property taxes
−$2,141
− Insurance
−$714
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,055
− Management
−$1,055
− Depreciation
−$4,152
Taxable loss
−$3,927
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$942
After-tax cash flow
$-478/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bowling Green R-I
NCES district ID
2905660
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,568
Composite
33.81/100
National rank
#5362
State rank
#146 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bowling Green

Score
72/100
State rank
#91
US rank
#6204

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
7,251

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,895 people
By 2030
17,591 · -1.7%
By 2040
17,080 · -4.6%
By 2050
16,589 · -7.3%
By 2075
14,761 · -17.5%
By 2100
11,606 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 9% Two or more races 5% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Arab 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-48.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -57.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.14%
Current HPI
191.5018
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $579 · +2.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…