1460 Lamoy Rd · Chittenango, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$339,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
New Listing! Great opportunity for those who want space and flexibility. This property offers a 4 bedroom 2 bath home with one level living featuring updated central air and heating, all new bathrooms, and many other updates within the home. There is a covered porch, outdoor deck, and spa hot-tub, and private yard for great outdoor living. Enjoy the massive pole-barn with a second floor prepped and ready for a potential apartment with a kitchen and bathroom. Overhead doors can accommodate all your toys for the winter and evens boats/RV. Beautiful entry with concrete walkways and huge pad for unique uses. Check out this opportunity.
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Spa hot-tub
- Outdoor deck
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached heated garage with electricity, workshop, storage, and water available; 4-car garage
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Circuit breaker electrical panel; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Single-story residence; Vinyl siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Resale property; City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (approx. 1.01 acre; dimensions 136 x 411)
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Existing (previously built)
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Covered deck; Deck; Patio; Porch; Propane tank (owned); Barn(s), outbuilding, and storage/shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven and electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Four main-level bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Propane fuel; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Sliding doors / sliding glass door(s); Hot tub / spa; Bedroom on main level; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer on main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $339k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-253 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $294k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (26.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $248k (26.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 4.0% in Chittenango — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#296 in NY, #4,790 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Chittenango Central School District (rural): math 61% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #192 of 590 in NY (top 32%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Bridgeport Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #988 of 2,108 statewide, top 49%, 234 students, 38% FRL); Chittenango Middle School (math 47% / reading 61%, grade B-, #225 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 562 students, 42% FRL); Chittenango High School (math 87% / reading 84%, grade A, #358 of 1,100 statewide, top 33%, 623 students, 38% FRL).
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 137 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (46 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Madison County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($334k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $339k implies a 208% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.73% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.20%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 11.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.25×
- Total profit
- $-71,093
- Equity at exit
- $50,546
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.13×
- Total profit
- $-82,832
- Equity at exit
- $29,311
Cash invested: $94,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13037
- Home prices YoY
- -17.1%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 11.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,481 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,778
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,533/yr
- Insurance
- −$141
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $-253
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-61 | -5% $-157 | +0% $-253 | +5% $-349 | +10% $-445 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-449 | -5% $-351 | +0% $-253 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-57 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-82 | -0.5pp $-167 | base $-253 | +0.5pp $-341 | +1.0pp $-430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $84,750
- Closing costs
- $10,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $339,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $339,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $339,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $339,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $339,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $339,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $369,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $369,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $369,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $369,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $369,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$369,000 Active
-
2024-01-10soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,533 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,631 · $386/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,098/yr (+$92/mo · 31.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,777
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,989
- − Property taxes
- −$3,533
- − Insurance
- −$1,695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − Depreciation
- −$9,862
- Taxable loss
- −$9,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,176
- After-tax cash flow
- $-861/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Chittenango Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607470
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,521
- Composite
- 54.34/100
- National rank
- #1365
- State rank
- #192 of 590 in NY
Livability — Chittenango
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #296
- US rank
- #4790
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,519
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 69,528 people
- By 2030
- 66,599 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 59,814 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 52,842 · -24.0%
- By 2075
- 39,167 · -43.7%
- By 2100
- 28,442 · -59.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.1) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -13.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.1 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+15.9 2012: D+0.3 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.53%
- Current HPI
- 272.9953
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+235.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $369,000 CNYIS
- 2024-01-10 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,533 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…