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Eclipse Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D+ Composite 48.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,990

Eclipse Plan · Ocala, FL 34482
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,449 sqft · SingleFamily · 283 Days on market
Good condition

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The first floor of this two-story home shares an open layout between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining with access to the patio. A secondary bedroom on the first floor can easily be converted to a guest room or home office. Upstairs is a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space, along with three secondary bedrooms and a peaceful owner's suite comprised of an en-suite bathroom and a large walk-in closet.

Key facts

  • Guest room
  • Access to patio
  • Open layout

Tags

OPEN LAYOUTACCESS TO PATIOVERSATILE LOFTGUEST ROOMHOME OFFICEEN-SUITE BATHROOM

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $319,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $308,930.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $320k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $286k (10.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $282k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.1% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: College Park Elementary School (math 46% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,437 of 2,144 statewide, top 68%, 840 students, 78% FRL); Liberty Middle School (math 40% / reading 41%, grade F, #360 of 571 statewide, top 64%, 1,365 students, 54% FRL); West Port High School (math 34% / reading 52%, grade F, #255 of 667 statewide, top 39%, 2,906 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 670 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,864/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 282% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 283 days — a 12% lower offer ($282k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $281,591 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 283 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
6.79%
Cash-on-cash
1.77%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$308,930
List price
$319,990
Delta
3.58%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1352 NW 48th Ter 0.23mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,172 (-11%) 2mo $299,990 $138 64
1417 NW 48th Ter 0.22mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,172 (-11%) 9mo $329,390 $152 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-8.0%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-26,764
Equity at exit
$46,062
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.65×
Total profit
$56,206
Equity at exit
$26,711

Cash invested: $86,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34482

Rents YoY
11.1%
Active inventory
670
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,864 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,620
Tax est. 1.5%
$386 /mo · $4,634/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$601
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,702
Max offer price $308,930
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $341 -5% $234 +0% $127 +5% $21 +10% $-86
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $14 +0% $127 +5% $241 +10% $354
Rate -1.0pp $283 -0.5pp $206 base $127 +0.5pp $47 +1.0pp $-34

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,232
Closing costs
$9,268
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1632 NW 44th Court Rd Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2039 $2,200 $1.08 23d 1 0.32mi
4522 NW 14th Loop Ocala, FL 4.0 3.0 2028 $2,050 $1.01 15d 1 0.45mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $319,990 Active 283 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,990 Active 280 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,990 Active 279 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,990 Active 278 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,990 Active 277 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $319,990 Active 275 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $319,990 Active 274 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $319,990 Active 272 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,990 Active 271 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,990 Active 270 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $319,990 Active 269 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $319,990 Active 265 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $319,990 Active 264 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $319,990 Active 262 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $319,990 Active 261 DOM
  16. 2025-09-11
    listed $319,990 Active 458-char remark
    Show marketing remark (458 chars)

    The first floor of this two-story home shares an open layout between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining with access to the patio. A secondary bedroom on the first floor can easily be converted to a guest room or home office. Upstairs is a versatile loft that serves as an additional shared living space, along with three secondary bedrooms and a peaceful owner's suite comprised of an en-suite bathroom and a large walk-in closet.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,366
− Mortgage interest
−$17,305
− Property taxes
−$4,634
− Insurance
−$1,545
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,749
− Management
−$2,749
− Depreciation
−$8,987
Taxable loss
−$3,603
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$865
After-tax cash flow
$2,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This two-story home is in good condition with a fresh exterior and clean interior. It's ready for move-in and would benefit from a fresh coat of paint to enhance curb appeal.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and home value
  • Rental Clean gutters — Clean gutters improve drainage and reduce maintenance costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ocala, FL
County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
22,807
Household income
$65,901
Rent vs Own
16.7% rent · 83.3% own
Severe rent burden
282.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -133.62%
Current HPI
194.3857
Rent YoY
▲ 11.12%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2025-09-11 Listed $319,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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