100-102 Thompson St · Salem, NJ
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.98%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.2/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 units side by side duplex in need of a full renovation. Completely AS-IS
Key facts
- Built 1881
- Listed 56 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Year built reported as estimated; Above-grade finished area: 2,380 (assessor); Total below-grade area reported as 0; Property assessed values listed (land and improvement) and recent tax info available
- Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power/cooling uses natural gas
- Home design: Semi-detached property; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor
- Construction: Brick/mortar and concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level; 2 full bathrooms total
- Heating & cooling: Heating fuel: Oil; Cooling fuel: Natural Gas; Hot water: Natural Gas; Heating type listed as Other
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area reported by assessor
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
- Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,262/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $246 of equity ($546 loan paydown + $-300 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
- Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $79k implies a 1062% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 25.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 67.31%
- DSCR
- 3.99
- GRM
- 2.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $214,200
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Chestnut St | 0.23mi | 5/1.0 (-1) | 2,401 (+1%) | 21mo | $200,000 | $83 | 61 |
| 234-236 Church St | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,394 (+1%) | 17mo | $50,000 | $21 | 57 |
| 49 Market St | 0.50mi | 5/2.5 (-1) | 2,459 (+3%) | 10mo | $247,000 | $100 | 56 |
| 349 E Broadway | 0.70mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,348 (-1%) | 16mo | $65,000 | $28 | 47 |
| 337 Craven Ave | 0.74mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,205 (-7%) | 9mo | $306,000 | $139 | 40 |
| 93 7th St | 0.63mi | 6/2.5 | 2,042 (-14%) | 8mo | $183,000 | $90 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 65.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.22×
- Total profit
- $71,152
- Equity at exit
- $21,449
- IRR
- 67.6%
- Equity multiple
- 8.57×
- Total profit
- $167,375
- Equity at exit
- $24,621
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08079
- Home prices YoY
- -0.1%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 2.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,262 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$475
- Net cashflow
- $1,174
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,229 | -5% $1,202 | +0% $1,174 | +5% $1,147 | +10% $1,120 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $996 | -5% $1,085 | +0% $1,174 | +5% $1,264 | +10% $1,353 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,214 | -0.5pp $1,194 | base $1,174 | +0.5pp $1,154 | +1.0pp $1,133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $79,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $84,500
-
2026-04-22$85,000 Active
-
2019-05-13historical
-
2018-12-12price $13,000
-
2018-11-13$15,000 Active
-
2018-09-25historical
-
2018-04-07price $15,000
-
2018-04-03$20,000 Active
-
2017-09-01historical
-
2017-03-06$20,000
-
2015-03-31soldstatus $6,800 Sold
-
2015-03-31soldstatus $6,800
-
2015-03-04status Under Contract
-
2015-03-03historical
-
2015-02-27price $6,800
-
2015-02-27status Active
-
2015-01-12historical
-
2015-01-09price $7,000
-
2015-01-09status Active
-
2015-01-07historical
-
2014-10-15status Under Contract
-
2014-10-03price $8,200
-
2014-09-11price $9,800
-
2014-08-09price $10,000
-
2014-08-01status Active
-
2014-07-21status Under Contract
-
2014-06-26price $12,500
-
2014-06-04price $14,500
-
2014-05-20historical
-
2014-04-28$15,000 Active
-
2014-04-28$6,800
-
2014-03-25$15,000
-
2012-11-29historical
-
2010-11-29$73,900
-
2010-06-18historical
-
2009-06-18$79,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,185
- − Insurance
- −$1,192
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,171
- − Management
- −$2,171
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $13,696
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,287
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,804/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Salem City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3414550
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,118
- Composite
- 11.51/100
- National rank
- #9702
- State rank
- #464 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Salem
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #462
- US rank
- #17533
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Salem, NJ
- County
- Salem County · 24,175 people
- City population
- 10,762
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,762
- Household income
- $54,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 663.0
Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 59,905 people
- By 2030
- 57,351 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 51,837 · -13.5%
- By 2050
- 46,356 · -22.6%
- By 2075
- 36,452 · -39.2%
- By 2100
- 28,907 · -51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Salem
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Current HPI
- 258.0047
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+181.7% since first listed37 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $84,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-13 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-12 Price Changed $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-11-13 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-09-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-04-07 Price Changed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-04-03 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-09-01 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2017-03-06 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,800 TREND
- 2015-03-04 Pending — TREND
- 2015-03-03 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2015-02-27 Price Changed $6,800 TREND
- 2015-02-27 Relisted — TREND
- 2015-01-12 Delisted — TREND
- 2015-01-09 Price Changed $7,000 TREND
- 2015-01-09 Relisted — TREND
- 2015-01-07 Delisted — TREND
- 2014-10-15 Pending — TREND
- 2014-10-03 Price Changed $8,200 TREND
- 2014-09-11 Price Changed $9,800 TREND
- 2014-08-09 Price Changed $10,000 TREND
- 2014-08-01 Relisted — TREND
- 2014-07-21 Pending — TREND
- 2014-06-26 Price Changed $12,500 TREND
- 2014-06-04 Price Changed $14,500 TREND
- 2014-05-20 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-28 Listed $6,800 BRIGHT MLS
- 2014-04-28 Listed $15,000 TREND
- 2014-03-25 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2012-11-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-11-29 Listed $73,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-06-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-06-18 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1997-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,685 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…