CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
100-102 Thompson St
B Composite 71.51
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$79,000

100-102 Thompson St · Salem, NJ 08079
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1881 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

2 units side by side duplex in need of a full renovation. Completely AS-IS

Key facts

  • Built 1881
  • Listed 56 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Year built reported as estimated; Above-grade finished area: 2,380 (assessor); Total below-grade area reported as 0; Property assessed values listed (land and improvement) and recent tax info available
  • Financial info: Ownership: Fee simple

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Power/cooling uses natural gas
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Finished above-grade area reported by assessor
  • Construction: Brick/mortar and concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level; 2 full bathrooms total
  • Heating & cooling: Heating fuel: Oil; Cooling fuel: Natural Gas; Hot water: Natural Gas; Heating type listed as Other
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Living area reported by assessor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 6-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $79k).
  • Recommended offer: $77k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 25.1% vs local median 8.4% in Salem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#462 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Salem City School District (town): math 6% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #464 of 472 in NJ (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 100 active listings in the ZIP; 95 units permitted in Salem County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,262/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 663% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $246 of equity ($546 loan paydown + $-300 appreciation (-0.4% local appreciation)).
  • Salem County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-0.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($77k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $7k; list at $79k implies a 1062% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1881 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $76,630 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1881 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.86%
Cap rate
25.14%
Cash-on-cash
67.31%
DSCR
3.99
GRM
2.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$214,200
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
26 Chestnut St 0.23mi 5/1.0 (-1) 2,401 (+1%) 21mo $200,000 $83 61
234-236 Church St 0.49mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,394 (+1%) 17mo $50,000 $21 57
49 Market St 0.50mi 5/2.5 (-1) 2,459 (+3%) 10mo $247,000 $100 56
349 E Broadway 0.70mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,348 (-1%) 16mo $65,000 $28 47
337 Craven Ave 0.74mi 5/2.0 (-1) 2,205 (-7%) 9mo $306,000 $139 40
93 7th St 0.63mi 6/2.5 2,042 (-14%) 8mo $183,000 $90 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
65.3%
Equity multiple
4.22×
Total profit
$71,152
Equity at exit
$21,449
10-year hold
IRR
67.6%
Equity multiple
8.57×
Total profit
$167,375
Equity at exit
$24,621

Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
21 Tenant-Leaning
State New Jersey
21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Anti-eviction Act requires just-cause statewide; rent control in 100+ municipalities; one of the most tenant-friendly states.

ZIP-level market 08079

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
2.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$414
Tax est. 1.5%
$99 /mo · $1,185/yr
Insurance
$33
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$475
Net cashflow
$1,174

Break-even live

Break-even rent $775
Max offer price $79,000
Occupancy floor 43%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,229 -5% $1,202 +0% $1,174 +5% $1,147 +10% $1,120
Rent -10% $996 -5% $1,085 +0% $1,174 +5% $1,264 +10% $1,353
Rate -1.0pp $1,214 -0.5pp $1,194 base $1,174 +0.5pp $1,154 +1.0pp $1,133

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,750
Closing costs
$2,370
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,000 Active 51 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,000 Active 48 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,000 Active 47 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $79,000 Active 46 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $79,000 Active 43 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $79,000 Active 42 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $79,000 Active 41 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $84,500 Active 40 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $84,500 Active 39 DOM
  15. 2026-05-09
    price $84,500
  16. 2026-04-22
    listed $85,000 Active
  17. 2019-05-13
    historical
  18. 2018-12-12
    price $13,000
  19. 2018-11-13
    listed $15,000 Active
  20. 2018-09-25
    historical
  21. 2018-04-07
    price $15,000
  22. 2018-04-03
    listed $20,000 Active
  23. 2017-09-01
    historical
  24. 2017-03-06
    listed $20,000
  25. 2015-03-31
    soldstatus $6,800 Sold
  26. 2015-03-31
    soldstatus $6,800
  27. 2015-03-04
    status Under Contract
  28. 2015-03-03
    historical
  29. 2015-02-27
    price $6,800
  30. 2015-02-27
    status Active
  31. 2015-01-12
    historical
  32. 2015-01-09
    price $7,000
  33. 2015-01-09
    status Active
  34. 2015-01-07
    historical
  35. 2014-10-15
    status Under Contract
  36. 2014-10-03
    price $8,200
  37. 2014-09-11
    price $9,800
  38. 2014-08-09
    price $10,000
  39. 2014-08-01
    status Active
  40. 2014-07-21
    status Under Contract
  41. 2014-06-26
    price $12,500
  42. 2014-06-04
    price $14,500
  43. 2014-05-20
    historical
  44. 2014-04-28
    listed $15,000 Active
  45. 2014-04-28
    listed $6,800
  46. 2014-03-25
    listed $15,000
  47. 2012-11-29
    historical
  48. 2010-11-29
    listed $73,900
  49. 2010-06-18
    historical
  50. 2009-06-18
    listed $79,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 98% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,139
− Mortgage interest
−$4,425
− Property taxes
−$1,185
− Insurance
−$1,192
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,171
− Management
−$2,171
− Depreciation
−$2,298
Taxable income
$13,696
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,287
After-tax cash flow
$10,804/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Salem City School District
NCES district ID
3414550
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$27,118
Composite
11.51/100
National rank
#9702
State rank
#464 of 472 in NJ

Livability — Salem

Score
61/100
State rank
#462
US rank
#17533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing F Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Salem, NJ
County
Salem County · 24,175 people
City population
10,762
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
10,762
Household income
$54,641
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
663.0

Population outlook (Salem County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
59,905 people
By 2030
57,351 · -4.3%
By 2040
51,837 · -13.5%
By 2050
46,356 · -22.6%
By 2075
36,452 · -39.2%
By 2100
28,907 · -51.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Salem

2024 margin
R (+19.2) · D 39.6% · R 58.8% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.1pp toward R · 2008: 3.9pp · 2024: -19.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.2 2020: R+12.8 2016: R+15.4 2012: D+0.8 2008: D+3.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.38%
Current HPI
258.0047
Rent YoY
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.05%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+181.7% since first listed
37 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $84,500 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $85,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2019-05-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-12-12 Price Changed $13,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-11-13 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-09-25 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-07 Price Changed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2018-04-03 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-09-01 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2017-03-06 Listed $20,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-03-31 Sold (MLS) $6,800 TREND
  • 2015-03-04 Pending TREND
  • 2015-03-03 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2015-02-27 Price Changed $6,800 TREND
  • 2015-02-27 Relisted TREND
  • 2015-01-12 Delisted TREND
  • 2015-01-09 Price Changed $7,000 TREND
  • 2015-01-09 Relisted TREND
  • 2015-01-07 Delisted TREND
  • 2014-10-15 Pending TREND
  • 2014-10-03 Price Changed $8,200 TREND
  • 2014-09-11 Price Changed $9,800 TREND
  • 2014-08-09 Price Changed $10,000 TREND
  • 2014-08-01 Relisted TREND
  • 2014-07-21 Pending TREND
  • 2014-06-26 Price Changed $12,500 TREND
  • 2014-06-04 Price Changed $14,500 TREND
  • 2014-05-20 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-04-28 Listed $6,800 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2014-04-28 Listed $15,000 TREND
  • 2014-03-25 Listed $15,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2012-11-29 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-11-29 Listed $73,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-06-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-06-18 Listed $79,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1997-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,685 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…