55 Sea Park Blvd · South Patrick Shores, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.97%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$188,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
1st floor condo with patio across the street from the beach, Open floor plan. Nice and bright with storage closet. New laminate floors in the bedroom. Great community with pool. No pets allowed sorry. Rent includes water and basic cable
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Community with pool
- Storage closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $188k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $846 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $188k).
- Recommended offer: $185k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#665 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 312 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($101k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($185k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $188k implies a 425% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.49% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.81%
- DSCR
- 1.93
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.55% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $19,490
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.34×
- Total profit
- $70,662
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32937
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 312
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$235 /mo · $2,820/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $846
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $976 | -5% $911 | +0% $846 | +5% $781 | +10% $716 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $625 | -5% $736 | +0% $846 | +5% $957 | +10% $1,067 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $941 | -0.5pp $894 | base $846 | +0.5pp $798 | +1.0pp $748 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 160 A1A Jimmy Buffett Memorial Hwy Satellite Beach, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1047 | $2,050 | $1.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 105 NE 3rd St Unit 1044482P Satellite Beach, FL | 1.0–5.0 | 1.0–4.0 | 548 | $4,069 | $7.43 | 15d | 2 | 0.53mi |
| 216 NE 3rd St Satellite Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1118 | $2,650 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.63mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- watercablepool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $188,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $188,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $188,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $188,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $188,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $188,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $188,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $188,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $188,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $188,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $188,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $188,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $188,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-26$188,000 Active
-
2023-12-04historical $1,500
-
2023-11-03$1,500
-
1990-04-01soldstatus $35,800
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 97% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,599
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$2,820
- − Insurance
- −$1,738
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,688
- − Management
- −$2,688
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable income
- $7,666
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,840
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,315/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — South Patrick Shores
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #665
- US rank
- #13650
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Patrick Shores, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,836
- Household income
- $101,184
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 534.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Asian 2% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -336.76%
- Current HPI
- 361.3801
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+425.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $188,000 FSBO.com
- 2023-12-04 Rental Removed $1,500 RENT.
- 2023-11-03 Listed for Rent $1,500 RENT.
- 1990-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,800 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.0%/yrLatest (2022): $0 · -15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…