6840 Warrington Dr · Tillmans Corner, AL 36619

$150,000

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,010 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1981 Est $263k · 43% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.4/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• DSCR +8.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.7/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

The main house is divided into two sections. One has 3 bedrooms, two full bathrooms, kitchen, living room/ dining room area. The other apartment has two bedrooms one bathroom, small kitchen and living space. Two mother in law suite each with a full bathroom full kitchen. It & acirc; & euro; & trade; s currently under renovations. Painting and cleaning, appliances etc. The yard needs a cleaning/declutter.

Key facts

• Built 1981

Property features AI

Exterior

• Home design: Built in 1981; Single-family property (1981 construction)
• Construction: 2010 square feet of living area
• Exterior features: Located in the Devonshire subdivision

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $347 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 9.1% vs local median 5.0% in Tillmans Corner — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 61/100 on livability (#260 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
• Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.07% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.07%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.90%
• DSCR: 1.44
• GRM: 7.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $263,310
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
7081 Huntington Ct N	0.35mi	3/2.0	1,968 (-2%)	16mo	$261,500	$133	67
4641 Golden Ave	0.44mi	3/2.0	1,926 (-4%)	7mo	$277,500	$144	66
4395 Jack Treadwell Ln	0.33mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,791 (-11%)	16mo	$283,900	$159	48
4312 Huntingdon Dr	0.22mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,755 (-13%)	22mo	$227,000	$129	45
6600 Billingsgate Rd	0.61mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,820 (-10%)	7mo	$217,000	$119	44
6687 Lincolnshire Rd	0.69mi	3/2.0	2,120 (+6%)	21mo	$202,400	$95	41
7330 Tara Dr S	0.72mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,773 (-12%)	2mo	$232,500	$131	40
7215 Mill House Dr N	0.59mi	3/2.5	2,261 (+12%)	19mo	$242,000	$107	34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -1.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.95×
• Total profit: $-2,275
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 8.2%
• Equity multiple: 1.63×
• Total profit: $26,260
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Alabama: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 36619

• Home prices YoY: -20.8%
• Active inventory: 143
• Price-to-rent: 7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,606 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$73 /mo · $872/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$337
• Net cashflow: $347

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,167

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $432	-5% $389	+0% $347	+5% $304	+10% $262
Rent	-10% $220	-5% $283	+0% $347	+5% $410	+10% $473
Rate	-1.0pp $422	-0.5pp $385	base $347	+0.5pp $308	+1.0pp $268

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-19
   remarks 407-char remark
2. 2026-06-19
   listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $872 · $73/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $872 · $73/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $19,267
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$872
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,541
• − Management: −$1,541
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $1,797
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$431
• After-tax cash flow: $3,729/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Mobile County
• NCES district ID: 0102370
• Math proficiency: 15% ▼ -28.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $42,455
• Composite: 22.9/100
• National rank: #8002
• State rank: #81 of 129 in AL

Livability — Tillmans Corner

• Score: 61/100
• State rank: #260
• US rank: #18090

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Tillmans Corner, AL
• City population: 14,550
• Population (ZIP): 14,550

Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 415,303 people
• By 2030: 411,755 · -0.9%
• By 2040: 399,670 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 382,616 · -7.9%
• By 2075: 337,353 · -18.8%
• By 2100: 283,391 · -31.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (74%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 74% Black 11% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 6%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 5% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 90% English-only · Vietnamese 5% Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Mobile

• 2024 margin: R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.67%
• Current HPI: 197.1074
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.94%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$8B
▸Healthcare	1	$5B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-19 Listed $150,000 FSBO.com

Property tax history

+11.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $872 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.