2614 Alabama St · Lawrence, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located just walking distance from KU, this vacant property is packed with potential and ready for its next chapter. Whether you& apos; re an investor searching for your next summer project or a homeowner with creative vision, this property offers a chance to build equity with a little TLC. What we love about this home: -Original Hardwood Floors full of character -NEW Sewer Line -Prime location near campus, dining, etc. -Vacant and ready for immediate possession. This is property is being sold AS-IS. Seller will make no repairs. Bring your ideas and unlock the possibilities this property has to offer!
Key facts
- New sewer line
- Built 1959
- Listed 30 days
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1959
- Construction: Living area approximately 1,248
- Exterior features: Located in the Indian Hills subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.7% in Lawrence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 88/100 on livability (#1 in KS, #237 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime D-.
- Lawrence (urban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #46 of 169 in KS (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.4%/yr); 61 active listings in the ZIP; 246 units permitted in Douglas County in 2024 (38 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Douglas County population projected at +39% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.44%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.10%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $274,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1730 W 27th Ter | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+0%) | 6mo | $245,000 | $196 | 64 |
| 1834 W 27th Ter | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,252 (+0%) | 6mo | $249,900 | $200 | 64 |
| 2515 Belle Haven Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,136 (-9%) | 15mo | $249,900 | $220 | 60 |
| 902 W 30th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,333 (+7%) | 4mo | $324,900 | $244 | 59 |
| 2509 Belle Haven Dr | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 | 1,430 (+15%) | 12mo | $250,000 | $175 | 58 |
| 2900 Belle Haven Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,378 (+10%) | 10mo | $310,000 | $225 | 53 |
| 2566 Ridge Ct | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,325 (+6%) | 4mo | $260,000 | $196 | 51 |
| 1208 W 21st St | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,293 (+4%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $193 | 47 |
| 912 W 30th Ter | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,421 (+14%) | 3mo | $345,000 | $243 | 47 |
| 820 W 30th St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,421 (+14%) | 11mo | $345,000 | $243 | 42 |
| 1520 W 27th St | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,112 (-11%) | 14mo | $274,900 | $247 | 41 |
| 2411 Massachusetts St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,396 (+12%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $190 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-9,372
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.01×
- Total profit
- $56,790
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66046
- Rents YoY
- 9.4%
- Active inventory
- 61
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,038 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$428
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $305 | -5% $248 | +0% $191 | +5% $135 | +10% $78 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $30 | -5% $111 | +0% $191 | +5% $272 | +10% $352 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $242 | base $191 | +0.5pp $140 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $199,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $199,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $210,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $210,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $210,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $210,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $210,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $210,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $210,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $210,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $210,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $210,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $210,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $210,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$210,000 Active
-
1979-04-25soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,448 · $287/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,448 · $287/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,461
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,957
- − Management
- −$1,957
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$913
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$219
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,517/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lawrence
- NCES district ID
- 2008400
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,259
- Composite
- 32.02/100
- National rank
- #5826
- State rank
- #46 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lawrence
- Score
- 88/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawrence, KS
- County
- Douglas County · 100,966 people
- City population
- 100,966
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,658
- Household income
- $65,478
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1201.0
Population outlook (Douglas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 136,863 people
- By 2030
- 147,255 · +7.6%
- By 2040
- 167,760 · +22.6%
- By 2050
- 190,593 · +39.3%
- By 2075
- 253,850 · +85.5%
- By 2100
- 314,741 · +130.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Two or more races 10% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · China, Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Chinese 4% Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Douglas
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+38.0) · D 68.2% · R 30.2% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.2pp toward D · 2008: 30.8pp · 2024: 38.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+38.0 2020: D+39.5 2016: D+32.7 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+30.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -246.73%
- Current HPI
- 236.534
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.36%
- Metro
- Lawrence, KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $210,000 FSBO.com
- 1979-04-25 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+6.1%/yrLatest (2025): $3,448 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…