812 Newland Ave · Jamestown, NY 14701

$67,500

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,537 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 114 Days on market

Built 1911 2,400 sqft lot $44/sqft · 36% below area Est $106k · 36% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Schools +3.1/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

A very well maintained 2 family home with hardwood floors, vinyl siding, vinyl replacement windows, all separate utilities & off street parking.

Key facts

• Separate utilities
• Off street parking
• Vinyl siding

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• VINYL SIDING
• VINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWS
• SEPARATE UTILITIES
• OFF STREET PARKING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $68k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $621/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
• Recommended offer: $61k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 28.4% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
• Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $2,235/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($50k/yr) (locally 1838% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $467 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $68k implies a 238% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $61,425 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.31% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.37%
• Cash-on-cash: 78.85%
• DSCR: 4.51
• GRM: 2.5

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $105,673
• List price: $67,500
• Delta: -36.12%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
102 Williams St	0.40mi	4/2.0	1,540 (+0%)	3mo	$50,000	$32	78
171 Baker St	0.38mi	4/2.0	1,452 (-6%)	1mo	$40,000	$28	72
11 Prather Ave	0.30mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,688 (+10%)	1mo	$78,000	$46	64
125 Superior St	0.23mi	4/2.0	1,744 (+14%)	7mo	$85,000	$49	61
207 Palmer St	0.52mi	4/2.0	1,394 (-9%)	1mo	$85,000	$61	60
273 S Main St	0.47mi	4/1.0	1,600 (+4%)	11mo	$21,000	$13	58
38 Sampson St	0.21mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,628 (+6%)	22mo	$71,000	$44	58
38 Chapman St	0.41mi	3/2.0 (-1)	1,630 (+6%)	20mo	$95,000	$58	49
205 Front St	0.59mi	4/2.0	1,612 (+5%)	19mo	$71,400	$44	49
70 Pershing Ave	0.62mi	4/2.0	1,332 (-13%)	3mo	$83,000	$62	46
25 Walnut St	0.65mi	4/2.0	1,376 (-10%)	11mo	$68,000	$49	43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 79.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.61×
• Total profit: $68,230
• Equity at exit: $10,064

10-year hold

• IRR: 82.5%
• Equity multiple: 9.55×
• Total profit: $161,546
• Equity at exit: $5,836

Cash invested: $18,900 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14701

• Home prices YoY: -18.5%
• Active inventory: 313
• Price-to-rent: 5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,235 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$354
• Tax from tax record: −$142 /mo · $1,699/yr
• Insurance: −$28
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$469
• Net cashflow: $1,242

Break-even live

Break-even rent $663

Max offer price $67,500

Occupancy floor 39%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	2	$2,236
Total (2 units)			$2,235

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $16,875
• Closing costs: $2,025
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
148 Maple St Jamestown, NY	3.0	1.0	1424	$1,350	$0.95	43d	1	0.72mi

Listing history 18 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $67,500 Active 114 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $67,500 Active 113 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $67,500 Active 112 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $67,500 Active 111 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $67,500 Active 110 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $67,500 Active 108 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $67,500 Active 107 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $67,500 Active 104 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $67,500 Active 103 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,500 Active 102 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $67,500 Active 99 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,500 Active 97 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,500 Active 96 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,500 Active 95 DOM
15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $67,500 Active 94 DOM
16. 2026-02-25
    listed $73,500 Active 150-char remark

    Show marketing remark (150 chars)

    A very well maintained 2 family home with hardwood floors, vinyl siding, vinyl replacement windows, all separate utilities & off street parking.

17. 2012-03-29
    soldstatus $20,000
18. 2004-07-06
    soldstatus $27,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,699 · $142/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,699 · $142/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,820
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,781
• − Property taxes: −$1,699
• − Insurance: −$338
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,146
• − Management: −$2,146
• − Depreciation: −$1,964
• Taxable income: $14,747
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$3,539
• After-tax cash flow: $11,364/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jamestown City School District
• NCES district ID: 3615630
• Math proficiency: 33% ▼ -3.00%
• Reading proficiency: 42% ▲ 5.00%
• Median HH income: $32,240
• Composite: 30.69/100
• National rank: #6176
• State rank: #553 of 590 in NY

Livability — Jamestown

• Score: 69/100
• State rank: #470
• US rank: #8213

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Jamestown, NY
• County: Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
• City population: 38,461
• Metro: Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
• Population (ZIP): 38,461
• Household income: $49,685
• Rent vs Own: 42.8% rent · 57.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1838.0

Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 123,454 people
• By 2030: 118,509 · -4.0%
• By 2040: 107,311 · -13.1%
• By 2050: 96,703 · -21.7%
• By 2075: 76,757 · -37.8%
• By 2100: 60,984 · -50.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 8%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
• Foreign-born: 3% · Canada
• Languages at home: 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -58.93%
• Current HPI: 259.402
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+172.2% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-25 Listed $73,500 UNYREIS
• 2012-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $20,000 Public Records
• 2004-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-4.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,699 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.