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20084 Stahelin Ave
B Composite 74.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.9/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$65,000

20084 Stahelin Ave · Detroit, MI 48219
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 880 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1947 5,227 sqft lot $74/sqft · 12% below area Est $74k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SELLER FINANCING / LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE AT 70,000 PURCHASE PRICE, 20,000 DOWN PAYMENT, 8% INTEREST, 72 MONTH TERM. 877 / MONTH. seller financing/land contract terms are negotiable. A fantastic opportunity ready for your personal touch! This generously sized home is perfect for investors or a hands-on homeowner eager to bring their vision to reality. Ideally situated near main roads, schools, parks, and shopping, it provides quick access to everything the city has to offer and more. Don't miss out - book your private tour today! Purchaser to pay 395 processing fee. As-is sale.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 38 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with traditional foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Asphalt roof; Ground-level entry with steps; Lot roughly 40 x 130 (about 0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Total of 3 rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $608 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.5% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $63,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.08%
Cap rate
17.51%
Cash-on-cash
40.06%
DSCR
2.78
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$73,815
List price
$65,000
Delta
-11.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20084 Greenview Ave 0.12mi 3/1.0 912 (+4%) 5mo $90,000 $99 84
19900 Southfield Rd 0.49mi 3/1.0 898 (+2%) 4mo $110,000 $122 70
20245 Archdale St 0.55mi 3/1.0 890 (+1%) 4mo $53,000 $60 69
20004 Southfield Fwy 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 929 (+6%) 1mo $20,000 $22 63
19365 Fenmore St 0.67mi 3/1.0 912 (+4%) 1mo $94,900 $104 62
19333 Grandville Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 851 (-3%) 3mo $45,000 $53 60
19177 Stahelin Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 816 (-7%) 5mo $60,000 $74 55
19158 Stahelin Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 (-1) 850 (-3%) 6mo $100,000 $118 55
19425 Faust Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+14%) 5mo $65,000 $65 52
19363 Plainview Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 823 (-6%) 5mo $55,000 $67 51
19950 Oakfield St 0.64mi 3/1.0 1,001 (+14%) 5mo $40,000 $40 43
19352 Evergreen Rd 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 752 (-14%) 2mo $75,000 $100 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.1%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$35,348
Equity at exit
$9,692
10-year hold
IRR
50.6%
Equity multiple
7.23×
Total profit
$113,305
Equity at exit
$5,620

Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48219

Home prices YoY
-10.3%
Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
305
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,355 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$341
Tax from tax record
$95 /mo · $1,138/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$608

Break-even live

Break-even rent $586
Max offer price $65,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,250
Closing costs
$1,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20011 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 4d 1 0.08mi
20068 Faust Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $1,100 $1.47 24d 1 0.18mi
20271 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1010 $1,550 $1.53 23d 1 0.30mi
20527 Rosemont Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 2.0 975 $1,528 $1.57 43d 1 0.34mi
19970 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 43d 1 0.38mi
19445 Avon Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,550 $1.52 43d 1 0.40mi
19918 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 915 $1,375 $1.50 14d 1 0.48mi
20043 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1030 $1,453 $1.41 43d 1 0.48mi
19372 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 733 $1,050 $1.43 14d 1 0.52mi
19329 Stahelin Ave Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 833 $1,250 $1.50 43d 1 0.53mi
19818 Fenmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 902 $1,275 $1.41 43d 1 0.53mi
20259 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1056 $1,250 $1.18 16d 1 0.61mi
19176 Grandville Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 941 $1,300 $1.38 4d 1 0.66mi
19457 Evergreen Rd Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 43d 1 0.71mi
20203 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1031 $1,250 $1.21 4d 1 0.72mi
20314 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1042 $1,500 $1.44 4d 1 0.77mi
20210 Biltmore St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1033 $1,350 $1.31 24d 1 0.81mi
19736 Gilchrist St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $995 $1.43 12d 1 0.82mi
18699 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.83mi
18659 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 763 $1,373 $1.80 12d 1 0.87mi
19781 Fielding St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,294 $1.29 4d 1 0.89mi
18452 Shaftsbury Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 927 $1,500 $1.62 16d 1 1.01mi
18494 Ashton Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 16d 1 1.03mi
18450 Edinborough Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 43d 1 1.06mi
18556 Kentfield St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 952 $1,250 $1.31 2d 1 1.15mi
19467 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1002 $1,200 $1.20 16d 1 1.19mi
18461 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 4d 1 1.21mi
19440 Rutherford St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 24d 1 1.23mi
16500 N Park Dr Southfield, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1500 $2,289 $1.53 1d 1 1.27mi
20555 Motor Dr Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 750 $1,222 $1.63 14d 5 1.29mi
17654 Sunderland Rd Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 1.29mi
18276 Oakfield St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,175 $1.62 43d 1 1.30mi
18191 Heyden St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 917 $1,100 $1.20 24d 1 1.34mi
18134 Vaughan St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,150 $1.08 16d 1 1.36mi
21422 Pembroke Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 1000 $1,695 $1.70 16d 1 1.36mi
18274 Fielding St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 700 $1,200 $1.71 16d 1 1.37mi
18205 Stout St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 901 $1,078 $1.20 24d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $65,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $65,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $65,000 Active 24 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $65,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
  14. 2026-05-11
    listed $65,000 Active 602-char remark
  15. 2026-05-10
    listed $65,000 Active 591-char remark
    Show marketing remark (591 chars)

    SELLER FINANCING / LAND CONTRACT TERMS AVAILABLE AT 70,000 PURCHASE PRICE, 20,000 DOWN PAYMENT, 8% INTEREST, 72 MONTH TERM. 877 / MONTH. seller financing/land contract terms are negotiable. A fantastic opportunity ready for your personal touch! This generously sized home is perfect for investors or a hands-on homeowner eager to bring their vision to reality. Ideally situated near main roads, schools, parks, and shopping, it provides quick access to everything the city has to offer and more. Don't miss out - book your private tour today! Purchaser to pay 395 processing fee. As-is sale.

  16. 2025-06-01
    historical
  17. 2025-06-01
    historical
  18. 2025-03-05
    listed $64,900 Active
  19. 2025-03-05
    listed $64,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,138 · $95/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,138 · $95/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,257
− Mortgage interest
−$3,641
− Property taxes
−$1,138
− Insurance
−$325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$1,891
Taxable income
$6,661
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,599
After-tax cash flow
$5,691/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
47,208
Household income
$43,655
Rent vs Own
45.1% rent · 54.9% own
Severe rent burden
3584.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -65.06%
Current HPI
563.3263
Rent YoY
▲ 8.04%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-10 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-06-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-06-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-05 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-05 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,138 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…