CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
23 Pooley Pl
B- Composite 68.32
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.4/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$144,900

23 Pooley Pl · Buffalo, NY 14213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1890 3,798 sqft lot Est $159k · 9% under ↓ 24% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 23 Pooley Place, a perfectly renovated 3-bedroom, 1-bathroom home offering 1,044 square feet of smartly designed living space in the vibrant West Side of Buffalo, NY. Nestled on a quiet residential street, this home is the perfect mix of comfort, character, and beauty. You are initially greeted with a charming front porch, complete with maintenance free vinyl railings. Upon entering through the new front door, you walk into a sunlit living area boasting all new flooring and a welcoming layout. The updated kitchen features ample cabinet space, new flooring, new granite countertops, just waiting for your personal touches. Whether you’re entertaining or enjoying a quiet night

Key facts

  • 3,798 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 6 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $253 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 137 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $12k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $144,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.39%
Cash-on-cash
7.48%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$158,688
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
23 Pooley Pl 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,044 (0%) 0mo $144,900 $139 100
1069 West Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 1,040 (-0%) 11mo $150,000 $144 65
25 Lafayette Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 1,009 (-3%) 5mo $110,000 $109 62
12 Pooley Pl 0.04mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,126 (+8%) 24mo $175,000 $155 60
123 Hawley St 0.36mi 3/1.0 930 (-11%) 13mo $191,000 $205 54
196 Dewitt St 0.31mi 3/1.0 1,122 (+8%) 23mo $170,000 $152 54
151 Forest Ave 0.06mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,176 (+13%) 20mo $230,000 $196 50
74 Baynes St 0.73mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,075 (+3%) 4mo $195,925 $182 49
369 Parkdale Ave 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,144 (+10%) 22mo $138,000 $121 48
532 Bird Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,161 (+11%) 9mo $289,900 $250 40
9 Congress St 0.60mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (+15%) 8mo $130,000 $108 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.4%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$66,671
Equity at exit
$105,309
10-year hold
IRR
20.5%
Equity multiple
5.26×
Total profit
$172,974
Equity at exit
$204,641

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14213

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,587 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$333
Net cashflow
$253

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $353 -5% $303 +0% $253 +5% $203 +10% $153
Rent -10% $127 -5% $190 +0% $253 +5% $315 +10% $378
Rate -1.0pp $326 -0.5pp $290 base $253 +0.5pp $215 +1.0pp $177

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0–4.0 2.0–4.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 2d 14 0.13mi
46 Hawley St #1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 44d 1 0.18mi
185 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 24d 1 0.22mi
232 Dewitt St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 24d 1 0.28mi
1485 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 925 $2,174 $2.35 2d 1 0.29mi
305 Bird Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1128 $2,300 $2.04 44d 1 0.29mi
309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 44d 1 0.29mi
163 W Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 24d 1 0.36mi
311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $1,400 $1.10 15d 1 0.39mi
374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 44d 1 0.41mi
57 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,550 $1.55 24d 1 0.49mi
37 Abbottsford Pl Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,650 $1.46 44d 1 0.50mi
1360 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1252 $2,396 $1.91 2d 2 0.50mi
257 Lafayette Ave Unit 317 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 897 $1,400 $1.56 24d 1 0.54mi
257 Lafayette Ave Apt 319 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 24d 1 0.55mi
196 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.57mi
891 Richmond Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1176 $1,800 $1.53 44d 1 0.63mi
865 Richmond Ave Unit Rear Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 850 $1,100 $1.29 44d 1 0.63mi
478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,575 $1.43 44d 1 0.82mi
117 Bidwell Pkwy Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1192 $1,500 $1.26 3d 1 0.84mi
1015 Elmwood Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 44d 1 0.84mi
67 Herkimer St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 15d 1 0.86mi
62 Germain St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,250 $0.95 24d 1 0.86mi
411 W Ferry St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 15d 1 0.88mi
375 Hampshire St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 44d 1 0.89mi
68 Peter St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $900 $1.00 24d 1 0.90mi
310 Hampshire St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 44d 1 0.91mi
484 Ashland Ave Unit 9 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 24d 1 0.94mi
77 California St Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 44d 1 0.94mi
155 Germain St Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 11d 1 1.02mi
664 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 44d 1 1.03mi
685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 15d 1 1.08mi
685 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 1.08mi
72 Reservation St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 950 $1,150 $1.21 24d 1 1.08mi
460 Rhode Island St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,500 $1.38 15d 1 1.10mi
1558 Elmwood Ave Unit 4 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 44d 1 1.10mi
139 Fordham Dr Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 24d 1 1.13mi
2099 Niagara St Unit A Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,197 $1.20 44d 1 1.19mi
293 Grote St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 817 $2,345 $2.87 2d 1 1.22mi
75 Inwood Pl Unit Lower Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1175 $1,550 $1.32 44d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-04-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-01
    price $144,900
  3. 2026-04-01
    listed $149,900 Active
  4. 2025-11-24
    historical
  5. 2025-10-30
    price $149,900
  6. 2025-09-18
    status Active
  7. 2025-09-12
    status Pending
  8. 2025-09-03
    price $154,900
  9. 2025-08-05
    price $159,900
  10. 2025-06-24
    price $169,900
  11. 2025-06-05
    listed $189,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,050
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,174
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,524
− Management
−$1,524
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$772
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$185
After-tax cash flow
$2,848/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,107
Household income
$53,870
Rent vs Own
60.5% rent · 39.5% own
Severe rent burden
1501.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.51%
Current HPI
448.4879
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-23.7% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-08 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $144,900 WNYREIS
  • 2026-04-01 Listed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-24 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $149,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-18 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-12 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-03 Price Changed $154,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-08-05 Price Changed $159,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-24 Price Changed $169,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-05 Listed $189,900 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $286 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…