2011 Chariot Ct · Seagoville, TX 75159

$280,990

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,646 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market

Built 2026 Good condition Garage $171/sqft · 9% below area Est $308k · 9% under $56/mo HOA · 2% of rent

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Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +11.5/30.0
• ARV discount +11.5/15.0
• Condition / age +4.0/5.0
• 1% rule +3.6/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• DSCR +3.4/10.0
• Schools +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

MLS# 21292102 - Built by Trophy Signature Homes - Aug 2026 completion! ~ Discover the Hadley - a thoughtfully designed three bedroom, two bathroom home that offers comfort and efficiency. The open concept living and dining area creates a warm and inviting atmosphere, perfect for gatherings. With a spacious primary suite and two additional bedrooms, this plan is ideal for those seeking a balance of style and functionality in a cozy and well-designed layout.

Key facts

• 2 parking spots
• Built 2026
• Listed 19 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $281k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-91 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $268k (4.7% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $241k (14.1% below list).
• Recommended offer: $241k (14.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#319 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
• Dallas ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #559 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Seagoville El (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #3,470 of 4,322 statewide, top 81%, 607 students, 92% FRL); Seagoville Middle (math 18% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,407 of 1,662 statewide, top 86%, 1,419 students, 88% FRL); Seagoville H S (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,445 of 1,632 statewide, top 89%, 1,779 students, 87% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 20% at this address vs 34% district-wide (-14 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Dallas ISD average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 539 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 66d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 70% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 12,577 units permitted in Dallas County in 2024 (6,829 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Dallas County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $241,367 (14.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.86% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.90%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.39%
• DSCR: 0.94
• GRM: 9.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $308,405
• List price: $280,990
• Delta: -8.89%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2011 Chariot Ct	0.00mi	3/2.0	1,646 (0%)	2mo	$280,990	$171	98
2019 Chariot Ct	0.04mi	3/2.0	1,646 (0%)	2mo	$283,990	$173	96
1936 Paddock Ln	0.16mi	3/2.0	1,646 (0%)	0mo	$286,990	$174	92
2015 Chariot Ct	0.02mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,791 (+9%)	2mo	$289,990	$162	78
2123 Derby Dr	0.46mi	3/2.0	1,628 (-1%)	1mo	$280,990	$173	76
2027 Chariot Ct	0.08mi	4/2.5 (+1)	1,809 (+10%)	2mo	$295,990	$164	71
2011 Homestretch Dr	0.20mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,809 (+10%)	0mo	$295,990	$164	69
2119 Derby Dr	0.45mi	3/2.0	1,790 (+9%)	2mo	$315,490	$176	63
2114 Santa Anita St	0.42mi	3/2.0	1,833 (+11%)	1mo	$308,449	$168	60
2121 Longchamp Ln	0.47mi	3/2.0	1,833 (+11%)	0mo	$299,990	$164	59
2806 Englenook Dr	0.62mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,711 (+4%)	1mo	$299,900	$175	58
2132 Longchamp Ln	0.53mi	3/2.0	1,833 (+11%)	0mo	$320,149	$175	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -22.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.26×
• Total profit: $-58,335
• Equity at exit: $41,897

10-year hold

• IRR: -26.2%
• Equity multiple: -0.08×
• Total profit: $-85,313
• Equity at exit: $24,295

Cash invested: $78,677 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

Seller's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

• For sale now: 25 active · 64 under contract
• Months of supply: 2.8 mo (36%/mo absorbed)
• Median asking: $309,990 ($173/sqft)
• Median days on market: 75 d
• This list price: 4% of active listings are priced below it
• ARV vs active asking: +8.2% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 75159

• Home prices YoY: -13.8%
• Rents YoY: -2.9%
• Active inventory: 539
• Price-to-rent: 9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,414 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,474
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$351 /mo · $4,215/yr
• Insurance: −$117
• HOA: −$56
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$507
• Net cashflow: $-91

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,529

Max offer price $267,814

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $103	-5% $6	+0% $-91	+5% $-188	+10% $-285
Rent	-10% $-282	-5% $-186	+0% $-91	+5% $4	+10% $100
Rate	-1.0pp $50	-0.5pp $-20	base $-91	+0.5pp $-164	+1.0pp $-238

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $70,248
• Closing costs: $8,430
• Club membership (one-time): —
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1932 Tradition Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	65d	1	0.15mi
2110 Colt Ct Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1833	$2,700	$1.47	0d	1	0.17mi
1930 Furlong Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	92d	1	0.17mi
1930 Furlong Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	95d	1	0.17mi
1934 Furlong Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	92d	1	0.19mi
1934 Furlong Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	95d	1	0.19mi
2009 Homestretch Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2059	$2,450	$1.19	91d	1	0.21mi
2008 Bronco Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2062	$2,490	$1.21	92d	1	0.22mi
2702 Marotto Way Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1531	$1,900	$1.24	43d	1	0.22mi
2708 Corbo Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	2090	$2,400	$1.15	161d	1	0.32mi
1928 Laurel Park Ln Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1889	$2,350	$1.24	130d	1	0.36mi
2603 Hutchins Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1909	$1,975	$1.03	184d	1	0.39mi
2609 Hutchins Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.5	2119	$2,330	$1.10	43d	1	0.41mi
2820 Jordan Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1758	$1,950	$1.11	140d	1	0.51mi
2806 Balleywood Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1844	$2,050	$1.11	126d	1	0.57mi
3005 Glenrose Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2040	$1,999	$0.98	57d	1	0.59mi
1112 Kristof Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	2079	$2,400	$1.15	49d	1	0.62mi
2803 Englenook Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1801	$1,921	$1.07	49d	1	0.63mi
2905 Englenook Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.5	2119	$2,149	$1.01	184d	1	0.68mi
2809 Thistlewood Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1663	$1,949	$1.17	65d	1	0.70mi
2515 Wynngate Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1489	$1,795	$1.21	51d	1	0.70mi
1131 Elijah Way Dallas, TX	4.0	2.0	1790	$2,300	$1.28	161d	1	0.70mi
2516 Tahoe Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2087	$2,550	$1.22	140d	1	0.72mi
2516 Tahoe Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	3.0	2087	$2,550	$1.22	153d	1	0.72mi
2901 Thistlewood Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1503	$2,000	$1.33	3d	1	0.73mi
2526 Tahoe Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1826	$2,500	$1.37	31d	1	0.73mi
2526 Tahoe Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1826	$2,500	$1.37	10d	1	0.73mi
2608 Ontario Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	3.5	1891	$2,175	$1.15	10d	1	0.76mi
2815 Briarbrook Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1544	$2,150	$1.39	10d	1	0.77mi
2815 Briarbrook Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.0	1544	$2,200	$1.42	95d	1	0.77mi
15133 Ace Dr Dallas, TX	4.0	2.0	2079	$2,400	$1.15	10d	1	0.77mi
2616 Ontario Dr Seagoville, TX	4.0	2.0	1810	$2,700	$1.49	10d	1	0.78mi
1148 Samantha Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1450	$2,050	$1.41	3d	1	0.78mi
2513 Broken Bow Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.5	2205	$2,750	$1.25	65d	1	0.80mi
2513 Broken Bow Dr Seagoville, TX	3.0	2.5	2205	$2,750	$1.25	19d	1	0.80mi
15127 Athena Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1608	$2,250	$1.40	87d	1	0.82mi
15127 Athena Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1608	$2,200	$1.37	10d	1	0.82mi
915 Presleigh Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1565	$2,395	$1.53	124d	1	0.85mi
915 Presleigh Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1565	$2,150	$1.37	20d	1	0.85mi
915 Presleigh Dr Dallas, TX	3.0	2.0	1565	$2,150	$1.37	10d	1	0.85mi

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Community features: community pool, greenbelt, playground, sidewalks, curbs
• Financial info: Association fee charged annually
• HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Stonehaven)HOA covers insurance, structure maintenance, and management feesAnnual HOA fee

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage, side-by-side layout2 covered garage spacesGarage door openerGarage faces frontGarage approximately 20' wide by 20' deep
• Security: Smoke detector(s)Carbon monoxide detector(s)
• Utilities: City waterCity sewerIndividual water meterCurbs and sidewalks
• Home design: Single family residenceOne storyNew construction (incomplete)Smart home features includedLocated in Stonehaven subdivision
• Construction: Brick, rock/stone, and siding exteriorComposition roofSlab foundationYear built 2026
• Exterior features: Covered porch(es)Covered patio/porchGuttersExterior lightingPrivate yardBack yard fencing (wood)

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktopElectric ovenMicrowaveDisposalPantryTankless water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)Primary bedroom on main level
• Flooring: CarpetLaminateTile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Open floorplanPantryWalk-in closet(s)One living areaOne dining area7 total roomsUtility room
• Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility room

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-10-20
   days on market $280,990 Active 19 DOM
2. 2026-10-19
   days on market $280,990 Active 18 DOM
3. 2026-10-18
   days on market $280,990 Active 17 DOM
4. 2026-10-18
   statusdays on marketlisting id $280,990 Active 16 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   statusdays on market $280,990 Pending 9 DOM
6. 2026-06-09
   days on market $280,990 Active 5 DOM
7. 2026-06-08
   days on market $280,990 Active 4 DOM
8. 2026-06-07
   remarks 460-char remark
9. 2026-06-07
   days on marketlisting id $280,990 Active 3 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $280,990 Active 2 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    remarks 387-char remark
12. 2026-06-03
    listed $280,990 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,964
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,740
• − Property taxes: −$4,215
• − Insurance: −$1,405
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,317
• − Management: −$2,317
• − HOA: −$672
• − Depreciation: −$8,174
• Taxable loss: −$5,876
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,410
• After-tax cash flow: $318/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This well-maintained single-family home with a modern kitchen and bathrooms is ready for immediate occupancy. A fresh coat of paint on the exterior could further enhance its curb appeal and value.

Value-add opportunities

• Resale Paint the exterior brick facade — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and property value. ↑
• Both Install smart home technology — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient. ↑

F Composite school gradezoned avg 34/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Seagoville El F TX #3,470/4,322 Nat'l #32,906/41,679 Middle Seagoville Middle F TX #1,407/1,662 Nat'l #11,564/14,009 High Kathlyn Joy Gilliam Collegiate Academy C+ TX #275/1,632 Nat'l #3,588/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Dallas ISD
• NCES district ID: 4816230
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -16.00%
• Reading proficiency: 36% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $42,881
• Composite: 28.41/100
• National rank: #6763
• State rank: #559 of 826 in TX

B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Seagoville

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #319
• US rank: #7103

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Seagoville, TX
• County: Dallas County · 2,979,839 people
• City population: 23,456
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 23,456
• Household income: $72,897
• Rent vs Own: 19.0% rent · 81.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 14% of renters

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Population outlook (Dallas County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,979,839 people
• By 2030: 3,191,823 · +7.1%
• By 2040: 3,619,611 · +21.5%
• By 2050: 4,026,915 · +35.1%
• By 2075: 4,957,073 · +66.4%
• By 2100: 5,508,725 · +84.9%

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Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 46% White 32% Two or more races 20% Black 17%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 40%
• Languages at home: 63% English-only · Spanish 35%

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Political lean MEDSL · Dallas

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+22.2) · D 60.2% · R 38.0% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: +6.9pp toward D · 2008: 15.3pp · 2024: 22.2pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+22.2 2020: D+31.6 2016: D+26.2 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+15.3

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -51.45%
• Current HPI: 321.2065
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.86%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

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Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Community features: community pool, greenbelt, playground, sidewalks, curbs
• Financial info: Association fee charged annually
• HOA & community: Mandatory HOA (Stonehaven)HOA covers insurance, structure maintenance, and management feesAnnual HOA fee

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage, side-by-side layout2 covered garage spacesGarage door openerGarage faces frontGarage approximately 20' wide by 20' deep
• Security: Smoke detector(s)Carbon monoxide detector(s)
• Utilities: City waterCity sewerIndividual water meterCurbs and sidewalks
• Home design: Single family residenceOne storyNew construction (incomplete)Smart home features includedLocated in Stonehaven subdivision
• Construction: Brick, rock/stone, and siding exteriorComposition roofSlab foundationYear built 2026
• Exterior features: Covered porch(es)Covered patio/porchGuttersExterior lightingPrivate yardBack yard fencing (wood)

Interior

• Kitchen: Gas cooktopElectric ovenMicrowaveDisposalPantryTankless water heater
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on main level)Primary bedroom on main level
• Flooring: CarpetLaminateTile
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heatingCentral airCeiling fan(s)
• Interior features: Open floorplanPantryWalk-in closet(s)One living areaOne dining area7 total roomsUtility room
• Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer areaWasher hookupElectric dryer hookupUtility room

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-13 Pending — NTREIS
• 2026-06-04 Listed $280,990 NTREIS