1027 41st St · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$82,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Unlock the potential in this 4-bedroom, 2-bath investment property located in the rapidly growing Ensley area. This home features a classic brick exterior, a convenient carport, and original wood floors that add character and charm. With solid bones and a spacious layout, it’s the perfect canvas for a renovation or rental income opportunity. Whether you’re looking to fix and flip or build long-term equity, this property offers tons of upside in an up-and-coming neighborhood seeing increased interest and revitalization. Don’t miss your chance to get in early and maximize returns.
Key facts
- Brick exterior
- Carport
- Investment property
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.11 acres; Property located in the Terrace Sect Fairfield subdivision
Exterior
- Parking: Detached parking; Two carport spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Four-sided brick construction; Existing (previously built) home; Tri-level is listed as No; Split level and split foyer are listed as No
- Construction: 4-side brick exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Front porch; Crawl space foundation; No pool, patio, deck, or garden/patio listed; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Convection oven
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms on main and upper levels (multiple bedrooms across levels)
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combinations
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Hardwood floors; Convection oven; Ceilings noted as 'Other (See Remarks)'; No special interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry located on the main level; Additional laundry space noted as 'Other (See Remarks)'
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $82k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $497 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $82k).
- Recommended offer: $80k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 126 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $570 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($80k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.82%
- DSCR
- 2.15
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $143,601
- List price
- $82,500
- Delta
- -42.55%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2311 Katie St | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,500 (+4%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $124 | 80 |
| 1319 31st Street Ensley | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,374 (-2%) | 7mo | $87,000 | $37 | 62 |
| 3218 Avenue I | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,391 (-1%) | 10mo | $165,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 1500 32nd St | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 | 2,424 (+1%) | 12mo | $78,000 | $32 | 57 |
| 1349 41st St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 2,663 (+10%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $28 | 50 |
| 1511 43rd St | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 | 2,627 (+9%) | 7mo | $86,500 | $33 | 50 |
| 658 Maple St | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,183 (-9%) | 14mo | $45,000 | $21 | 50 |
| 1348 41st St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 2,098 (-13%) | 16mo | $259,900 | $124 | 48 |
| 1025 50th St Ensley | 0.58mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,132 (-12%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $82 | 44 |
| 1401 29th St W | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 2,104 (-13%) | 21mo | $37,500 | $18 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.24% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.04×
- Total profit
- $24,097
- Equity at exit
- $12,301
- IRR
- 34.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.80×
- Total profit
- $87,782
- Equity at exit
- $7,133
Cash invested: $23,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35208
- Home prices YoY
- -18.1%
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,307 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$433
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $826/yr
- Insurance
- −$34
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $497
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $544 | -5% $520 | +0% $497 | +5% $474 | +10% $450 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $394 | -5% $445 | +0% $497 | +5% $549 | +10% $600 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $539 | -0.5pp $518 | base $497 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $454 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,625
- Closing costs
- $2,475
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1345 46th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1617 | $1,175 | $0.73 | 4d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1526 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 521 41st St Fairfield, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,300 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1563 Martin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,495 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 4105 Avenue Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1760 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1417 Bessemer Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1688 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 2722 Avenue I Unit I Ensley, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1578 | $1,000 | $0.63 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1633 29th Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,200 | $0.72 | 45d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 4612 Terrace S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,050 | $0.65 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4636 Avenue T Unit T Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1842 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2348 Court R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2400 | $1,639 | $0.68 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 2348 Court R Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1792 | $1,769 | $0.99 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1300 Gulfport St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1778 | $1,200 | $0.67 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 2436 Avenue S Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,400 | $0.78 | 4d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $82,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $82,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $82,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $82,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $82,500 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $82,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $82,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $90,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $90,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $90,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-01$90,000 Active 603-char remark
-
2022-11-11price $97,500
-
2021-07-28soldstatus $280,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $826 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $826 · $69/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,689
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,621
- − Property taxes
- −$826
- − Insurance
- −$412
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,255
- − Management
- −$1,255
- − Depreciation
- −$2,400
- Taxable income
- $4,918
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,180
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,783/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,412
- Household income
- $38,561
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 573.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.99%
- Current HPI
- 153.414
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.24%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-70.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Price Changed $82,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-01 Listed $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2022-11-11 Price Changed $97,500 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $280,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $826 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…