2419 Damman Dr #103 · Midland, MI
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.1%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.6/30.0
- ARV discount +9.1/15.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$91,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
First-floor condo in Green Trees Condominiums- easy, hassle-free living! Large windows fill the main living area with abundant natural light, creating a bright and welcoming space. This unit is move-in ready with fresh paint throughout and newly refinished wood floors. Stay comfortable all summer with a brand new A/C window unit, and enjoy added value with select bathroom updates already completed. The condo includes a privately owned washer and dryer in the common area, a 7x4 foot secured storage area, plus a covered carport conveniently located near the entrance. Dog-friendly (with restrictions)- perfect for pet lovers! Enjoy low-maintenance living- schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Large windows
- Secured storage area
- First-floor condo
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $92k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $105 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $92k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.4% in Midland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#28 in MI, #578 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Midland Public Schools (urban): math 49% / reading 64% proficiency, ranked #62 of 540 in MI (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Northeast Middle School (math 39% / reading 62%, grade C, #110 of 493 statewide, top 23%, 856 students, 50% FRL); Midland High School (math 42% / reading 64%, grade C-, #127 of 713 statewide, top 18%, 1,156 students, 35% FRL) — zoned schools average 42% FRL vs 25% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 320 units permitted in Midland County in 2024 (204 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $633 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Midland County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $92k implies a 81% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 22% of rent; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.91%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $94,900
- List price
- $91,500
- Delta
- -3.58%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.69×
- Total profit
- $-7,968
- Equity at exit
- $13,643
- IRR
- 1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.09×
- Total profit
- $2,417
- Equity at exit
- $7,911
Cash invested: $25,620 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48640
- Home prices YoY
- -21.7%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,281 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$480
- Tax from tax record
- −$104 /mo · $1,250/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$285
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$269
- Net cashflow
- $105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $157 | -5% $131 | +0% $105 | +5% $79 | +10% $53 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $4 | -5% $54 | +0% $105 | +5% $155 | +10% $206 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $151 | -0.5pp $128 | base $105 | +0.5pp $81 | +1.0pp $57 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,875
- Closing costs
- $2,745
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2211 Eastlawn Dr Midland, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 690 | $880 | $1.28 | 45d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 315 McDonald St Unit 5 Midland, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $950 | $1.46 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $285 · $3,420/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-01status $91,500 Pending 48 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $91,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $91,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $91,500 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
First-floor condo in Green Trees Condominiums- easy, hassle-free living! Large windows fill the main living area with abundant natural light, creating a bright and welcoming space. This unit is move-in ready with fresh paint throughout and newly refinished wood floors. Stay comfortable all summer with a brand new A/C window unit, and enjoy added value with select bathroom updates already completed. The condo includes a privately owned washer and dryer in the common area, a 7x4 foot secured storage area, plus a covered carport conveniently located near the entrance. Dog-friendly (with restrictions)- perfect for pet lovers! Enjoy low-maintenance living- schedule your showing today!
-
2026-04-13$95,000 Active 688-char remark
Show marketing remark (688 chars)
First-floor condo in Green Trees Condominiums- easy, hassle-free living! Large windows fill the main living area with abundant natural light, creating a bright and welcoming space. This unit is move-in ready with fresh paint throughout and newly refinished wood floors. Stay comfortable all summer with a brand new A/C window unit, and enjoy added value with select bathroom updates already completed. The condo includes a privately owned washer and dryer in the common area, a 7x4 foot secured storage area, plus a covered carport conveniently located near the entrance. Dog-friendly (with restrictions)- perfect for pet lovers! Enjoy low-maintenance living- schedule your showing today!
-
2009-11-23soldstatus $50,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,250 · $104/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,329 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$80/yr (+$7/mo · 6.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 10% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,370
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,125
- − Property taxes
- −$1,250
- − Insurance
- −$458
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,230
- − Management
- −$1,230
- − HOA
- −$3,420
- − Depreciation
- −$2,662
- Taxable loss
- −$4
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,258/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midland Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2623820
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 64% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,844
- Composite
- 48.67/100
- National rank
- #2105
- State rank
- #62 of 540 in MI
Livability — Midland
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #578
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Midland, MI
- County
- Midland County · 66,531 people
- City population
- 66,531
- Metro
- Midland, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,492
- Household income
- $80,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 939.0
Population outlook (Midland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 83,968 people
- By 2030
- 83,368 · -0.7%
- By 2040
- 80,713 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 76,698 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 67,617 · -19.5%
- By 2100
- 57,529 · -31.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Midland
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.2) · D 41.6% · R 56.8% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -15.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.2 2020: R+14.6 2016: R+19.4 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.88%
- Current HPI
- 230.5702
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Midland, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+81.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $91,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-13 Listed $95,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-11-23 Sold (Public Records) $50,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,250 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…