31750 N Darrell Rd · Lakemoor, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$198,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Attention buyers/Investors/Developers!! Wonderful opportunity to own and have opportunity to build/develop new construction on adjacent lots while to live in/ rent , subdivide or just enjoy this very private , large piece of property! Existing residence is in a very good, solid shape, it has spacious lr/dr combo, kit, bth and 2 brs. , large wooden deck for family enjoyment overlooking huge tree lined back yard!. Full basement with exterior access, full laundry set , plenty of storage and its own water supply ( no water bills !!). Plenty of city and private commercial and residential projects in the area! Just minutes to all suburban conveniently located venues: shopping, restaurants, school
Key facts
- Full laundry set
- Large wooden deck
- Plenty of storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Parcel numbers on file
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces) with garage door opener and garage owned; Two total parking spaces
- Utilities: Well water; Septic sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Property faces unspecified direction
- Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Built before 1978
- Exterior features: Deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen with eating area/breakfast bar; Range; Refrigerator; Window blinds in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms (main level) — master bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in living room and master bedroom; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Other flooring in laundry
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement with walk-out access
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room (8 x 8)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $198k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $646 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $198k).
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.9% in Lakemoor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#317 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Wauconda CUSD 118 (suburban): math 22% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #267 of 620 in IL (top 43%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $78k; list at $198k implies a 154% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.97%
- DSCR
- 1.62
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,002
- List price
- $198,000
- Delta
- 21.05%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.69×
- Total profit
- $148,865
- Equity at exit
- $178,374
- IRR
- 29.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.32×
- Total profit
- $405,879
- Equity at exit
- $384,670
Cash invested: $55,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60051
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,300 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,038
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $607/yr
- Insurance
- −$82
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$483
- Net cashflow
- $646
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $758 | -5% $702 | +0% $646 | +5% $590 | +10% $533 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $464 | -5% $555 | +0% $646 | +5% $736 | +10% $827 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $745 | -0.5pp $696 | base $646 | +0.5pp $594 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,500
- Closing costs
- $5,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 450 Sullivan Lake Blvd Lakemoor, IL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1009 | $2,300 | $2.28 | 0d | 17 | 0.92mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-21statusdays on market $198,000 Contingent - Continue to Show 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $198,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $198,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $198,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $198,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $198,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricestatusdays on market $198,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-03-26$230,000 Active 713-char remark
-
2010-05-16historical
-
2009-11-17New
-
2003-06-18soldstatus $78,000
-
1989-10-01soldstatus $48,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $607 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,551 · $213/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,944/yr (+$162/mo · 320.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,091
- − Property taxes
- −$607
- − Insurance
- −$990
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,208
- − Management
- −$2,208
- − Depreciation
- −$5,760
- Taxable income
- $4,736
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,137
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wauconda CUSD 118
- NCES district ID
- 1741190
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,358
- Composite
- 24.59/100
- National rank
- #7635
- State rank
- #267 of 620 in IL
Livability — Lakemoor
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #6294
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lakemoor, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,931
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 700,217 people
- By 2030
- 693,290 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 673,588 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 643,556 · -8.1%
- By 2075
- 562,792 · -19.6%
- By 2100
- 457,715 · -34.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 12% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 28.50%
- Current HPI
- 612.07
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+312.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $198,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-08 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-19 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-26 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-05-16 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-11-17 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 1989-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-6.2%/yrLatest (2024): $607 · -9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…