🏗️ New Construction
Kimbell Plan · Katy, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$313,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
Key facts
- Casual dining area
- Covered patio
- Great room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $314k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-242 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $285k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $276k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.5% vs local median 3.0% in Katy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#111 in TX, #3,613 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D, commute F.
- Katy ISD (suburban): math 61% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #29 of 826 in TX (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 2696 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.88%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $360,511
- List price
- $313,990
- Delta
- -12.90%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4680 Peony Green Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,056 (+5%) | 0mo | $343,990 | $167 | 64 |
| 4632 Cleo Day Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,859 (-5%) | 0mo | $299,990 | $161 | 56 |
| 5065 Marcasca Dr | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 2,102 (+7%) | 0mo | $331,990 | $158 | 53 |
| 4736 Peony Green Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,858 (-5%) | 2mo | $299,990 | $161 | 53 |
| 5028 Marcasca Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,834 (-6%) | 2mo | $301,990 | $165 | 52 |
| 4633 Cleo Day Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,135 (+9%) | 1mo | $309,990 | $145 | 51 |
| 5806 Havana Mist Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,134 (+9%) | 0mo | $305,000 | $143 | 48 |
| 4684 Peony Green Dr | 0.59mi | 4/3.0 | 2,190 (+12%) | 2mo | $359,990 | $164 | 47 |
| 27431 Aster Green Dr | 0.75mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,085 (+6%) | 1mo | $448,600 | $215 | 46 |
| 27411 Cinnamon Shores Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 | 2,206 (+13%) | 1mo | $349,990 | $159 | 46 |
| 4784 Luna Landing Dr | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 | 2,168 (+11%) | 0mo | $335,990 | $155 | 45 |
| 5017 Marcasca Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,689 (-14%) | 2mo | $269,990 | $160 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-82,126
- Equity at exit
- $53,753
- IRR
- -32.1%
- Equity multiple
- -0.22×
- Total profit
- $-123,426
- Equity at exit
- $31,170
Cash invested: $100,943 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77493
- Rents YoY
- -0.8%
- Active inventory
- 2696
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,848 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,891
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$451 /mo · $5,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$598
- Net cashflow
- $-242
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $7 | -5% $-117 | +0% $-242 | +5% $-366 | +10% $-491 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-467 | -5% $-354 | +0% $-242 | +5% $-129 | +10% $-17 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-60 | -0.5pp $-150 | base $-242 | +0.5pp $-335 | +1.0pp $-430 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $90,128
- Closing costs
- $10,815
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27064 Beach Ball Dr Katy, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5–3.5 | 1705 | $2,957 | $1.73 | 2d | 25 | 0.31mi |
| 1495 Twilight Green Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2000 | $2,400 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 27035 Beacon Glen Dr Katy, TX | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1890 | $3,949 | $2.09 | 2d | 16 | 0.52mi |
| 5631 Pearl Vista Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2039 | $3,000 | $1.47 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 27327 Blue Pool Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2100 | $2,600 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 5819 Bright Keel Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2598 | $2,400 | $0.92 | 44d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 27507 Hudson Sands Ln Katy, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2294 | $3,000 | $1.31 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3056 Sea Turtle Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3083 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,185 | $1.42 | 13d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3004 Fall Gold Ln Katy, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2156 | $3,850 | $1.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3004 Fall Gold Ln Katy, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2156 | $2,762 | $1.28 | 11d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3136 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,355 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 3071 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,164 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3041 Colusa Ridge Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2263 | $2,500 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3124 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3112 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,330 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3076 Dylan Skyland Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2240 | $3,395 | $1.52 | 25d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3020 Nori Shores Dr Katy, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2408 | $3,995 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3020 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $2,355 | $1.33 | 13d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3037 Wild Dunes Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $2,164 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 3048 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,275 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6303 Marigold Blaze Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $2,250 | $1.53 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3057 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1644 | $2,252 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3004 Majestic Sunrise Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1474 | $1,942 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 6414 Orchid Beach Dr Katy, TX | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2490 | $3,000 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 3104 Nori Shores Dr Katy, TX | 5.0 | 2.5 | 1947 | $3,695 | $1.90 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 6427 Seafoam Lake Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 2479 | $3,000 | $1.21 | 2d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 3084 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2085 | $2,325 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3072 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2279 | $2,550 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 3081 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $2,275 | $1.36 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3064 Dawn Sound Dr Katy, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,950 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3053 Fantasy Terrace Dr Katy, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2085 | $2,440 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $313,990 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $313,990 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $313,990 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $313,990 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-09pricedays on market $313,990 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $309,990 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $309,990 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $309,990 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $309,990 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $309,990 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $303,990 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $303,990 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $303,990 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
-
2026-05-02price $299,990 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
-
2026-04-07price $303,990 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
-
2026-01-31price $299,990 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
-
2025-11-04price $293,990 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
-
2025-10-15$305,990 Active 1467-char remark
Show marketing remark (1467 chars)
4-5 Bedrooms | 2-3 Bathrooms | Approx. 1,960 Sq. Ft. Designed with intention and built for connection, the Kimbell offers a bright, open single-story layout that makes everyday living feel effortless and inviting. From the welcoming foyer, you're drawn into the heart of the home where the kitchen, casual dining area, and great room flow together in one wide, comfortable space, perfect for quiet weeknights or lively gatherings. The kitchen features a central island, generous pantry storage, and clear sightlines to the main living area, while the covered patio just beyond creates an easy extension for outdoor relaxing or entertaining and can be extended for even more space. The primary suite is thoughtfully tucked along the rear of the home for added privacy, offering a peaceful retreat with a spacious bath, large walk-in closet, and options such as an extended closet, shower seat, or optional soaking tub. Three secondary bedrooms are grouped toward the front of the home near a shared full bath, creating a comfortable and functional layout for family members or guests. A central flex room adds versatility and may serve as a study, creative workspace, or convert into an optional fifth bedroom with a third bath for expanded living needs. With its open gathering spaces, private bedroom retreat, and flexible design options, the Kimbell adapts beautifully to every stage of life, offering comfort, functionality, and an easy, welcoming flow throughout.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,170
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,194
- − Property taxes
- −$5,408
- − Insurance
- −$1,803
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,734
- − Management
- −$2,734
- − Depreciation
- −$10,488
- Taxable loss
- −$9,189
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,205
- After-tax cash flow
- $-697/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home is in good condition with a modern kitchen and bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. It is move-in ready and has the potential for further value increases with minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value.
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Carpet can be replaced with hardwood or tile to increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and home value. ↑
- Both Replace carpet in bedrooms — Carpet can be replaced with hardwood or tile to increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Install smart home features — Smart home features can increase both resale and rental value by making the home more modern and convenient. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Katy ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825170
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 63% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,312
- Composite
- 56.59/100
- National rank
- #1146
- State rank
- #29 of 826 in TX
Livability — Katy
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #111
- US rank
- #3613
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Harris County · 4,702,590 people
- City population
- 413,575
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 71,484
- Household income
- $118,464
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 913.0
Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,571,493 people
- By 2030
- 6,089,821 · +9.3%
- By 2040
- 7,142,806 · +28.2%
- By 2050
- 8,185,864 · +46.9%
- By 2075
- 10,574,329 · +89.8%
- By 2100
- 12,109,958 · +117.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 36% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 22% Vietnamese 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Harris
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -140.65%
- Current HPI
- 233.1683
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.80%
- Metro
- Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $303,990 Zillow
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $303,990 Zillow
- 2026-01-31 Price Changed $299,990 Zillow
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $293,990 Zillow
- 2025-10-15 Listed $305,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…