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4333 Randolph Ave
C- Composite 51.37
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$225,000

4333 Randolph Ave · New Orleans, LA 70122
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 228 Days on market
Built 2010 $173/sqft · 17% below area Est $281k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Easy access to i-10
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

COVERED FRONT PORCHAMPLE OFF-STREET PARKINGEASY ACCESS TO I-10

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $71 ($857/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $198k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
  • Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Benjamin Franklin Elem. Math And Science (math 12% / reading 23%, grade F, #479 of 646 statewide, top 75%, 747 students, 98% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 98% FRL vs 68% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.6%/yr); 336 active listings in the ZIP; 36 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,042/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 2150% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 228 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $15k; list at $225k implies a 1400% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $198,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 228 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.03%
Cash-on-cash
2.63%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$281,145
List price
$225,000
Delta
-19.97%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4517 Jeanne Marie Pl 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,266 (-3%) 5mo $180,000 $142 77
4301 Jeanne Marie Pl 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,447 (+11%) 1mo $235,000 $162 73
4417 Duplessis St 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,436 (+10%) 3mo $205,000 $143 70
4305 St Bernard Ave 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,409 (+8%) 5mo $152,000 $108 70
1319 Granada Dr 0.43mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,262 (-3%) 1mo $225,000 $178 69
1247 Foy St 0.39mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,244 (-4%) 0mo $40,000 $32 69
1535 Harrison Ave 0.26mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,225 (-6%) 11mo $204,000 $167 64
1520 Virginia Marie St 0.24mi 4/2.0 1,472 (+13%) 5mo $160,000 $109 63
1336 Sere St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,311 (+1%) 2mo $90,000 $69 61
1509 Harcourt Dr 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,443 (+11%) 8mo $220,000 $152 60
1486 Mithra St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,293 (-1%) 11mo $270,000 $209 52
1277 Sere St 0.57mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,487 (+14%) 7mo $230,000 $155 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-37,872
Equity at exit
$33,548
10-year hold
IRR
-16.5%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-50,153
Equity at exit
$19,454

Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70122

Rents YoY
-0.6%
Active inventory
336
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,042 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,180
Tax from tax record
$201 /mo · $2,417/yr
Insurance
$94
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$429
Net cashflow
$71

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,951
Max offer price $225,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $199 -5% $135 +0% $71 +5% $8 +10% $-56
Rent -10% $-90 -5% $-9 +0% $71 +5% $152 +10% $233
Rate -1.0pp $185 -0.5pp $129 base $71 +0.5pp $13 +1.0pp $-46

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,250
Closing costs
$6,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 36 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4229 Buchanan St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1235 $2,250 $1.82 25d 1 0.15mi
1486 Mandolin St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1497 $1,900 $1.27 5d 1 0.18mi
4111 Jumonville St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.5 1543 $2,300 $1.49 12d 1 0.20mi
3622 Buchanan St Unit 3622 New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,525 $1.61 25d 1 0.56mi
4815 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $2,150 $1.30 17d 1 0.72mi
3624 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1388 $1,875 $1.35 17d 1 0.73mi
3607 Havana St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1693 $1,488 $0.88 18d 1 0.77mi
4736 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,800 $1.64 17d 1 0.90mi
3702 Trafalgar St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1428 $2,350 $1.65 17d 1 1.01mi
3023 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 960 $2,200 $2.29 16d 1 1.03mi
3021 Republic St New Orleans, LA 4.0 2.0 1125 $2,200 $1.96 25d 1 1.05mi
5151 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,795 $1.50 17d 1 1.07mi
3515 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1366 $2,500 $1.83 25d 1 1.09mi
2910 Bruxelles St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1074 $1,600 $1.49 5d 1 1.10mi
5900 Chatham Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1864 $2,500 $1.34 5d 1 1.14mi
2817 Paris Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1018 $1,700 $1.67 22d 1 1.14mi
5322 Saint Anthony Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1192 $2,000 $1.68 17d 1 1.15mi
5716 Warrington Dr New Orleans, LA 4.0 3.0 1560 $2,000 $1.28 18d 1 1.16mi
3907 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1652 $3,000 $1.82 25d 1 1.24mi
4618 Marigny St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1320 $1,900 $1.44 25d 1 1.26mi
2338 40 Annette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,385 $1.20 22d 1 1.31mi
1818 Paul Morphy St Unit B New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1065 $1,800 $1.69 25d 1 1.33mi
5546 Pasteur Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,400 $1.17 25d 1 1.35mi
2632 Oreilly St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.5 950 $1,450 $1.53 25d 1 1.36mi
2310 George Nick Connor Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 25d 1 1.37mi
1933 Industry St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 17d 1 1.37mi
3327 Elysian Fields Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 1.40mi
3443 Esplanade Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $2,500 $2.51 4d 30 1.41mi
2817 Annette St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 1.42mi
5723 Pasteur Blvd New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,700 $1.48 18d 1 1.45mi
1903 Rosary Dr New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,800 $1.20 25d 1 1.46mi
5718 Vermillion Blvd Unit A New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 25d 1 1.46mi
1996 Hope St New Orleans, LA 3.0 1.0 910 $1,550 $1.70 5d 1 1.48mi
6838 Orleans Ave New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1568 $2,400 $1.53 25d 1 1.49mi
2152 Abundance St Unit 2152 New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,599 $1.45 5d 1 1.50mi
6431 Marshal Foch St New Orleans, LA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 4d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $225,000 Active 228 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $225,000 Active 225 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $225,000 Active 224 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $225,000 Active 223 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $225,000 Active 222 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $225,000 Active 220 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $225,000 Active 217 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $225,000 Active 216 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $225,000 Active 215 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $225,000 Active 214 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $225,000 Active 211 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $225,000 Active 210 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $225,000 Active 209 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $225,000 Active 208 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $225,000 Active 207 DOM
  16. 2025-11-04
    listed $225,000 Active 801-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

  17. 2025-11-04
    listed $225,000 Active 796-char remark
    Show marketing remark (796 chars)

    This Charming cottage-style home in the highly sought-after Gentility Area is move in ready very warm and inviting atmosphere ! Offers 4 bedrooms 2 full bath , spacious living room , large kitchen with plenty of cabinets great for storage , lots of natural light throughout out the home , central & heat , super cute covered front porch area to sip on your morning coffee or tea. Primary Suite is spacious in size with a on-suite bathroom with a large bathroom with tub/shower combo, Ample off-street parking a must see to appreciate ! This home is has easy access to I-10, Fairgrounds, Downtown, City Park, Bayou St John, LSU Dentistry and just a 9 min ride to the lake and 14 min ride to downtown plus you will be just a few steps away from Mirabeau water garden. Located in a X Flood zone.

  18. 2008-07-28
    soldstatus $15,000
  19. 2003-07-22
    soldstatus $72,000
  20. 2003-06-06
    listed $83,500
  21. 2003-06-06
    listed $83,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,417 · $201/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,417 · $201/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,501
− Mortgage interest
−$12,603
− Property taxes
−$2,417
− Insurance
−$1,922
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,960
− Management
−$1,960
− Depreciation
−$6,545
Taxable loss
−$2,908
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$698
After-tax cash flow
$1,555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Orleans Parish
NCES district ID
2201170
Math proficiency
11% ▼ -52.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -46.00%
Median HH income
$37,011
Composite
15.78/100
National rank
#9271
State rank
#69 of 98 in LA

Livability — New Orleans

Score
81/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1383

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C- Employment D Housing B- Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Orleans, LA
County
Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
City population
338,817
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
Population (ZIP)
35,253
Household income
$49,455
Rent vs Own
40.5% rent · 59.5% own
Severe rent burden
2150.0

Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
513,025 people
By 2030
575,781 · +12.2%
By 2040
700,174 · +36.5%
By 2050
826,541 · +61.1%
By 2075
1,123,374 · +119.0%
By 2100
1,355,609 · +164.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 69% White 18% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orleans

2024 margin
Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -222.37%
Current HPI
231.9921
Rent YoY
▼ -0.61%
Metro
New Orleans-Metairie, LA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+169.5% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $225,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed $225,000 GSREIN
  • 2008-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-22 Sold (MLS) $72,000 GSREIN
  • 2003-06-06 Listed $83,500 AcadianaMLS
  • 2003-06-06 Listed $83,500 GSREIN

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,417 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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