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157 Shadowlawn
D Composite 42.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.6/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.5/5.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

157 Shadowlawn · Whitehall, PA 15236
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 992 sqft · Townhouse public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1984 1,232 sqft lot $151/sqft · 13% below area Est $173k · 13% under $60/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

Key facts

  • Private deck
  • Ample cabinet space
  • $60 HOA

Tags

BRIGHT INVITING INTERIORAMPLE CABINET SPACEPRIVATE DECKQUICK ACCESS TO SHOPPINGEXCEPTIONAL CONVENIENCE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $60; Public transportation access in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Built-in parking; Attached garage (1 parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2 stories; Resale property
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Walk-out basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (15.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (15.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Whitehall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 90/100 on livability (#17 in PA, #82 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
  • Baldwin-Whitehall SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #246 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Whitehall El Sch (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 862 students, 49% FRL); J.E. Harrison Education Ctr (math 26% / reading 57%, grade F, #927 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 1,143 students, 58% FRL); Baldwin Shs (math 32% / reading 53%, grade F, #226 of 437 statewide, top 52%, 2,086 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $104k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $126,458 (15.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
5.27%
Cash-on-cash
-3.67%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,363
List price
$150,000
Delta
-13.48%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
16 Shadow Dr 0.08mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 2mo $175,000 $176 95
10 Shadow Dr 0.08mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 7mo $170,000 $171 91
7 Shadow Dr 0.10mi 2/1.5 976 (-2%) 4mo $169,900 $174 90
11 Shadow Dr 0.10mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 14mo $165,000 $166 84
43 Shadow 0.11mi 2/1.5 976 (-2%) 10mo $172,000 $176 84
42 Shadow Dr 0.09mi 2/1.5 976 (-2%) 12mo $168,800 $173 83
200 Shadowlawn Cir 0.11mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 16mo $165,900 $167 81
32 Shadow Dr 0.08mi 2/1.5 992 (0%) 20mo $118,500 $119 80
333 Greenlee Rd 0.70mi 2/1.0 900 (-9%) 1mo $100,000 $111 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.31×
Total profit
$-28,830
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.53×
Total profit
$-19,786
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15236

Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,265 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,620/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$60
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$-128

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,427
Max offer price $127,312
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-44 -5% $-86 +0% $-128 +5% $-171 +10% $-213
Rent -10% $-228 -5% $-178 +0% $-128 +5% $-78 +10% $-29
Rate -1.0pp $-53 -0.5pp $-90 base $-128 +0.5pp $-167 +1.0pp $-207

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3131 May St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 900 $1,375 $1.53 19d 1 0.51mi
3367 Jameson Dr Brentwood, PA 2.0–3.0 1.0 975 $1,385 $1.42 9d 7 0.56mi
100 White Hampton Ln Pittsburgh, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 867 $1,725 $1.99 0d 19 0.56mi
1310 Martha St Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1061 $1,050 $0.99 14d 1 0.59mi
139 W Bellecrest Ave Brentwood, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0 775 $1,222 $1.58 0d 11 0.92mi
3304 Brownsville Rd Pittsburgh, PA 1.0 1.0 550 $795 $1.45 45d 1 1.08mi
930 Sleepy Hollow Rd Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,350 $1.32 45d 1 1.16mi
3396 Columbia Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 800 $1,150 $1.44 45d 1 1.19mi
3396-3398 Columbia Dr Pittsburgh, PA 3.0 1.0 800 $1,235 $1.54 45d 1 1.19mi
2733-2735 Pyramid Ave Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 1028 $1,295 $1.26 45d 1 1.35mi
1575 Bevan Rd Pittsburgh, PA 2.0 1.0 515 $1,085 $2.10 12d 7 1.40mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$60 · $720/yr
Likely covers
water

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    historical Contingent 1830-char remark
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $150,000 Active 1830-char remark
  3. 2018-01-29
    soldstatus $104,500
  4. 2018-01-26
    soldstatus $104,500 Sold 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  5. 2017-12-17
    historical Contingent 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  6. 2017-12-07
    price $106,000 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  7. 2017-11-27
    price $109,900 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  8. 2017-11-10
    price $112,900 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  9. 2017-11-07
    price $114,900 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  10. 2017-10-26
    listed $119,900 Active 348-char remark
    Show marketing remark (348 chars)

    2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen​​‌​​​​‌​​‌‌​‌‌​​​‌‌​​‌​​​‌‌​​‌​ sink.

  11. 2007-01-04
    soldstatus $85,000
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Updated unit, newer carpet, newer ceramic tile, new interior doors, new dishwasher, new A/C, rear deck, freshly painted. Great location.

  12. 2006-09-04
    listed $89,900
    Show marketing remark (136 chars)

    Updated unit, newer carpet, newer ceramic tile, new interior doors, new dishwasher, new A/C, rear deck, freshly painted. Great location.

  13. 1993-09-08
    soldstatus $51,112
  14. 1991-03-04
    soldstatus $56,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,620 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,620 · $218/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,175
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,620
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− HOA
−$720
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$4,109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$986
After-tax cash flow
$-555/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baldwin-Whitehall SD
NCES district ID
4202970
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -20.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$54,368
Composite
39.79/100
National rank
#3880
State rank
#246 of 539 in PA

Livability — Whitehall

Score
90/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#82

Category grades

Amenities A- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Whitehall, PA
County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
City population
29,451
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
31,313
Household income
$90,767
Rent vs Own
22.5% rent · 77.5% own
Severe rent burden
732.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Asian 9% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · India, Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.15%
Current HPI
255.0278
Rent YoY
▲ 5.74%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+167.9% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending West Penn MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2018-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
  • 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $104,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-12-17 Contingent West Penn MLS
  • 2017-12-07 Price Changed $106,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-11-27 Price Changed $109,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-11-10 Price Changed $112,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-11-07 Price Changed $114,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2017-10-26 Listed $119,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2007-01-04 Sold (MLS) $85,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2006-09-04 Listed $89,900 West Penn MLS
  • 1993-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $51,112 Public Records
  • 1991-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,620 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…