157 Shadowlawn · Whitehall, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.6/15.0
- Cash flow +8.6/30.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen sink.
Key facts
- Private deck
- Ample cabinet space
- $60 HOA
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $60; Public transportation access in the community
Exterior
- Parking: Built-in parking; Attached garage (1 parking space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2 stories; Resale property
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction; Composition roof
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Stove; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced-air gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Walk-out basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Some electric appliances
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-128 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (15.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.3% vs local median 3.1% in Whitehall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#17 in PA, #82 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
- Baldwin-Whitehall SD (suburban): math 34% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #246 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Whitehall El Sch (math 45% / reading 65%, grade C, #498 of 1,518 statewide, top 33%, 862 students, 49% FRL); J.E. Harrison Education Ctr (math 26% / reading 57%, grade F, #927 of 1,518 statewide, top 61%, 1,143 students, 58% FRL); Baldwin Shs (math 32% / reading 53%, grade F, #226 of 437 statewide, top 52%, 2,086 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 115 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($91k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $104k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.67%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,363
- List price
- $150,000
- Delta
- -13.48%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Shadow Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $176 | 95 |
| 10 Shadow Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 7mo | $170,000 | $171 | 91 |
| 7 Shadow Dr | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 | 976 (-2%) | 4mo | $169,900 | $174 | 90 |
| 11 Shadow Dr | 0.10mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $166 | 84 |
| 43 Shadow | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 976 (-2%) | 10mo | $172,000 | $176 | 84 |
| 42 Shadow Dr | 0.09mi | 2/1.5 | 976 (-2%) | 12mo | $168,800 | $173 | 83 |
| 200 Shadowlawn Cir | 0.11mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 16mo | $165,900 | $167 | 81 |
| 32 Shadow Dr | 0.08mi | 2/1.5 | 992 (0%) | 20mo | $118,500 | $119 | 80 |
| 333 Greenlee Rd | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 900 (-9%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $111 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-28,830
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-19,786
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15236
- Rents YoY
- 5.7%
- Active inventory
- 115
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,265 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$218 /mo · $2,620/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$60
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $-128
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-44 | -5% $-86 | +0% $-128 | +5% $-171 | +10% $-213 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-228 | -5% $-178 | +0% $-128 | +5% $-78 | +10% $-29 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-53 | -0.5pp $-90 | base $-128 | +0.5pp $-167 | +1.0pp $-207 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3131 May St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,375 | $1.53 | 19d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3367 Jameson Dr Brentwood, PA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,385 | $1.42 | 9d | 7 | 0.56mi |
| 100 White Hampton Ln Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 867 | $1,725 | $1.99 | 0d | 19 | 0.56mi |
| 1310 Martha St Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1061 | $1,050 | $0.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 139 W Bellecrest Ave Brentwood, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,222 | $1.58 | 0d | 11 | 0.92mi |
| 3304 Brownsville Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $795 | $1.45 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 930 Sleepy Hollow Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 3396 Columbia Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,150 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 3396-3398 Columbia Dr Pittsburgh, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,235 | $1.54 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2733-2735 Pyramid Ave Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1028 | $1,295 | $1.26 | 45d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1575 Bevan Rd Pittsburgh, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 515 | $1,085 | $2.10 | 12d | 7 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $60 · $720/yr
- Likely covers
- water
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-04historical Contingent 1830-char remark
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2026-04-29$150,000 Active 1830-char remark
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2018-01-29soldstatus $104,500
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2018-01-26soldstatus $104,500 Sold 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-12-17historical Contingent 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-12-07price $106,000 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-11-27price $109,900 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-11-10price $112,900 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-11-07price $114,900 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2017-10-26$119,900 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
2017 stove and refrigerator; 2017 painted interior; 2017 replaced carpeting; 2017 replaced commodes; 2017 replaced garage door opener; 2017 replaced multiple light fixtures; 2015 painted exterior; 2010 replaced furnace and water heater; newer kitchen‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌‌ sink.
-
2007-01-04soldstatus $85,000
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Updated unit, newer carpet, newer ceramic tile, new interior doors, new dishwasher, new A/C, rear deck, freshly painted. Great location.
-
2006-09-04$89,900
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
Updated unit, newer carpet, newer ceramic tile, new interior doors, new dishwasher, new A/C, rear deck, freshly painted. Great location.
-
1993-09-08soldstatus $51,112
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1991-03-04soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,620 · $218/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,620 · $218/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$2,620
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − HOA
- −$720
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$4,109
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$986
- After-tax cash flow
- $-555/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baldwin-Whitehall SD
- NCES district ID
- 4202970
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -20.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $54,368
- Composite
- 39.79/100
- National rank
- #3880
- State rank
- #246 of 539 in PA
Livability — Whitehall
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #82
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Whitehall, PA
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- City population
- 29,451
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,313
- Household income
- $90,767
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 732.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Asian 9% Black 3% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Scotch-Irish 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · India, Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Other Indo-European 8% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -194.15%
- Current HPI
- 255.0278
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.74%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+167.9% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-04 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $150,000 West Penn MLS
- 2018-01-29 Sold (Public Records) $104,500 Public Records
- 2018-01-26 Sold (MLS) $104,500 West Penn MLS
- 2017-12-17 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2017-12-07 Price Changed $106,000 West Penn MLS
- 2017-11-27 Price Changed $109,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-11-10 Price Changed $112,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-11-07 Price Changed $114,900 West Penn MLS
- 2017-10-26 Listed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2007-01-04 Sold (MLS) $85,000 West Penn MLS
- 2006-09-04 Listed $89,900 West Penn MLS
- 1993-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $51,112 Public Records
- 1991-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,620 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…