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The Bluewater - Build On-Your-Lot Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 25.79
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Cash flow +2.6/30.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$335,200

The Bluewater - Build On-Your-Lot Plan · Millville, DE 19967
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,767 sqft · SingleFamily · 164 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Bluewater by Bay to Beach Builders blends relaxed coastal style with efficient living. With 1,767 heated sq. ft. , 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 bathrooms, it's ideal for families, retirees, or beach lovers seeking low-maintenance living with standout design. The front covered porch leads into a light-filled, open layout that feels both spacious and cozy. The great room and dining area feature soaring ceilings with an "open to above" design that adds drama and natural light. The adjacent kitchen offers ample counter space, pantry storage, and easy flow for everyday meals or entertaining. A powder room and laundry area are conveniently located nearby. The main-floor primary suite includes a walk-in closet and full bath, making single-level living possible. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms, a full bath, and a central loft provide flexible space for guests, family, or a home office. The Bluewater's cottage-inspired exterior shines in coastal towns like Lewes, Ocean View, and Bethany Beach, fitting beautifully on infill lots or smaller community homesites. It works equally well as a vacation retreat or full-time residence on Delaware or Maryland's Eastern Shore. For infill projects, Bay to Beach Builders offers complete support-from knockdown to knockout-including zoning, demolition, and rebuilding. Designed for timeless appeal, energy efficiency, and a seamless indoor-outdoor lifestyle, the Bluewater delivers charm, comfort, and coastal elegance in one thoughtfully crafted plan.

Key facts

  • Front covered porch
  • Ample counter space
  • Pantry storage

Tags

FRONT COVERED PORCHLIGHT FILLED OPEN LAYOUTSOARING CEILINGSAMPLE COUNTER SPACEPANTRY STORAGEMAIN FLOOR PRIMARY SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $335,200 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $560,031.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $335k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-24k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $275k (17.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $248k (26.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $248k (26.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#49 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Indian River School District (rural): math 25% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #14 of 26 in DE (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lord Baltimore Elementary School (math 51% / reading 67%, grade B-, #4 of 105 statewide, top 4%, 579 students, 0% FRL); Selbyville Middle School (math 20% / reading 49%, grade F, #12 of 36 statewide, top 34%, 719 students, 0% FRL); Indian River High School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #10 of 40 statewide, top 26%, 1,088 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 45% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Indian River School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 75% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 164 days — a 12% lower offer ($295k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $247,852 (26.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 164 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.44%
Cap rate
2.20%
Cash-on-cash
-14.63%
DSCR
0.35
GRM
18.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$560,031
List price
$335,200
Delta
-40.15%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
32256 Old School Ln 0.18mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-4%) 2mo $620,000 $365 82
32670 Cedar Dr 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,700 (-4%) 1mo $386,000 $227 80
18 Whites Creek Ln 0.28mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,840 (+4%) 5mo $594,000 $323 71
14 Woods Cir 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,716 (-3%) 6mo $519,000 $302 67
38 Hudson Ave 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,632 (-8%) 2mo $450,000 $276 67
223 Chad Pl 0.43mi 3/2.0 1,617 (-8%) 0mo $580,000 $359 64
12 Windmill Ln 0.59mi 3/2.0 1,837 (+4%) 2mo $399,900 $218 62
24 Assawoman Ave 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,779 (+1%) 8mo $440,000 $247 61
6 Jordyn Ct 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+2%) 8mo $576,000 $320 57
36728 Baltimore Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,850 (+5%) 3mo $385,000 $208 56
18 Hudson Ave 0.49mi 3/2.5 2,020 (+14%) 1mo $549,900 $272 53
31434 Oak St 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,568 (-11%) 2mo $330,000 $210 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.85% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.7%
Equity multiple
-0.04×
Total profit
$-163,635
Equity at exit
$139,216
10-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
-0.62×
Total profit
$-254,028
Equity at exit
$149,649

Cash invested: $156,809 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19967

Home prices YoY
-0.3%
Active inventory
127
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,479 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,937
Tax est. 1.5%
$700 /mo · $8,400/yr
Insurance
$233
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$520
Net cashflow
$-1,968

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,969
Max offer price $275,293
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-1,581 -5% $-1,774 +0% $-1,968 +5% $-2,161 +10% $-2,355
Rent -10% $-2,164 -5% $-2,066 +0% $-1,968 +5% $-1,870 +10% $-1,772
Rate -1.0pp $-1,686 -0.5pp $-1,825 base $-1,968 +0.5pp $-2,113 +1.0pp $-2,261

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$140,008
Closing costs
$16,801
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
21 Village Green Dr Ocean View, DE 3.0 2.5 2076 $2,445 $1.18 15d 3 0.79mi
30839 Cedar Neck Rd Ocean View, DE 4.0 2.0 2040 $2,950 $1.45 45d 1 1.16mi
37580 Mahogany St Ocean View, DE 4.0 3.5 1600 $2,300 $1.44 45d 1 1.18mi
33697 Ashland Dr Frankford, DE 3.0 2.0 1696 $2,200 $1.30 45d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $335,200 Active 164 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $335,200 Active 161 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $335,200 Active 160 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $335,200 Active 159 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $335,200 Active 158 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $335,200 Active 156 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $335,200 Active 155 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $335,200 Active 153 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $335,200 Active 152 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $335,200 Active 151 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $335,200 Active 150 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $335,200 Active 145 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,200 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,200 Active 143 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $335,200 Active 142 DOM
  16. 2026-03-20
    price $335,200 1504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1504 chars)

    The Bluewater by Bay to Beach Builders blends relaxed coastal style with efficient living. With 1,767 heated sq. ft. , 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 bathrooms, it's ideal for families, retirees, or beach lovers seeking low-maintenance living with standout design. The front covered porch leads into a light-filled, open layout that feels both spacious and cozy. The great room and dining area feature soaring ceilings with an "open to above" design that adds drama and natural light. The adjacent kitchen offers ample counter space, pantry storage, and easy flow for everyday meals or entertaining. A powder room and laundry area are conveniently located nearby. The main-floor primary suite includes a walk-in closet and full bath, making single-level living possible. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms, a full bath, and a central loft provide flexible space for guests, family, or a home office. The Bluewater's cottage-inspired exterior shines in coastal towns like Lewes, Ocean View, and Bethany Beach, fitting beautifully on infill lots or smaller community homesites. It works equally well as a vacation retreat or full-time residence on Delaware or Maryland's Eastern Shore. For infill projects, Bay to Beach Builders offers complete support-from knockdown to knockout-including zoning, demolition, and rebuilding. Designed for timeless appeal, energy efficiency, and a seamless indoor-outdoor lifestyle, the Bluewater delivers charm, comfort, and coastal elegance in one thoughtfully crafted plan.

  17. 2026-01-08
    listed $330,300 Active 1504-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1504 chars)

    The Bluewater by Bay to Beach Builders blends relaxed coastal style with efficient living. With 1,767 heated sq. ft. , 3 bedrooms, and 2.5 bathrooms, it's ideal for families, retirees, or beach lovers seeking low-maintenance living with standout design. The front covered porch leads into a light-filled, open layout that feels both spacious and cozy. The great room and dining area feature soaring ceilings with an "open to above" design that adds drama and natural light. The adjacent kitchen offers ample counter space, pantry storage, and easy flow for everyday meals or entertaining. A powder room and laundry area are conveniently located nearby. The main-floor primary suite includes a walk-in closet and full bath, making single-level living possible. Upstairs, two secondary bedrooms, a full bath, and a central loft provide flexible space for guests, family, or a home office. The Bluewater's cottage-inspired exterior shines in coastal towns like Lewes, Ocean View, and Bethany Beach, fitting beautifully on infill lots or smaller community homesites. It works equally well as a vacation retreat or full-time residence on Delaware or Maryland's Eastern Shore. For infill projects, Bay to Beach Builders offers complete support-from knockdown to knockout-including zoning, demolition, and rebuilding. Designed for timeless appeal, energy efficiency, and a seamless indoor-outdoor lifestyle, the Bluewater delivers charm, comfort, and coastal elegance in one thoughtfully crafted plan.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 93% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,742
− Mortgage interest
−$31,370
− Property taxes
−$8,400
− Insurance
−$3,467
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,379
− Management
−$2,379
− Depreciation
−$16,292
Taxable loss
−$34,546
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$8,291
After-tax cash flow
$-15,322/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Indian River School District
NCES district ID
1000680
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -17.00%
Median HH income
$53,838
Composite
28.99/100
National rank
#6620
State rank
#14 of 26 in DE

Livability — Millville

Score
64/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#13839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Millville, DE
City population
2,093
Population (ZIP)
2,093

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.85%
Current HPI
263.8607
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+1.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $335,200 Zillow
  • 2026-01-08 Listed $330,300 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…