401 69 St #411 · Miami Beach, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.5/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$295,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Bright and spacious 1-bedroom, 1-bath unit just two blocks from the beach! Features include laminate wood flooring and an updated kitchen. Enjoy resort-style amenities such as a stunning rooftop pool, fully equipped gym, and 24-hour front desk/security. Prime location within walking distance to restaurants, supermarkets, and shops. Tenant occupied. Ideal for investors, second-home buyers, or end-users. Lease includes a 45-day mutual termination clause (landlord or tenant may cancel with 45 days written notice).
Key facts
- Rooftop pool
- 24-hour front desk
- Fully equipped gym
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed with restrictions or conditions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $930; Association amenities include fitness center, laundry, and pool; Association fees cover amenities and common areas
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 1 covered garage space; On-street parking
- Security: Secured elevator; Intercom; Key card entry
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Electric service
- Home design: Condo/Apartment (attached property); Faces north; Entry on level 4; 17 total stories
- Construction: Block construction
- Exterior features: Association pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfurnished; Living/dining room; Tub with shower; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $295k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $178 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $295k).
- Recommended offer: $260k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 1.5% in Miami Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#108 in FL, #1,672 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: housing C-, amenities D-, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 647 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,529/mo this rent would consume 79% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 3521% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 122 days — a 12% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 8→31/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 122 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.78%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.44% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-46,949
- Equity at exit
- $43,985
- IRR
- -18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-66,969
- Equity at exit
- $25,506
Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33141
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 647
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,529 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,547
- Tax from tax record
- −$374 /mo · $4,484/yr
- Insurance
- −$123
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$930
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$951
- Net cashflow
- $178
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $345 | -5% $261 | +0% $178 | +5% $94 | +10% $11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-180 | -5% $-1 | +0% $178 | +5% $357 | +10% $536 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $326 | -0.5pp $253 | base $178 | +0.5pp $101 | +1.0pp $24 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $73,750
- Closing costs
- $8,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $930 · $11,160/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $295,000 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $295,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $295,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $295,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $295,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $295,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $295,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $295,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $295,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $295,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $295,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $295,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $295,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $295,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-02-19$295,000 Active
-
2026-01-28historical
-
2025-12-22$289,000 Active
-
2025-12-12historical
-
2025-11-11historical $2,350
-
2025-11-04price $289,000
-
2025-09-26price $295,000
-
2025-07-09$2,350
-
2025-06-05price $310,000
-
2025-03-05price $325,000
-
2024-07-25$340,000 Active
-
2019-05-31historical
-
2019-04-03price $239,000
-
2018-10-19$246,000 Active
-
2018-09-11historical
-
2018-05-30$246,000 Active
-
2018-05-18historical
-
2018-03-23price $265,000
-
2018-03-23$365,000 Active
-
2017-06-10historical
-
2017-02-23price $250,000
-
2016-12-12$255,000 Active
-
2014-02-19historical
-
2013-07-30status Backup Contract
-
2013-07-29status Pending
-
2013-07-24status Active
-
2013-07-23status Pending
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,484 · $374/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,484 · $374/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 8 d/yr ≥101°F today · 31 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,349
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,525
- − Property taxes
- −$4,484
- − Insurance
- −$6,594
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,348
- − Management
- −$4,348
- − HOA
- −$11,160
- − Depreciation
- −$8,582
- Taxable loss
- −$1,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$406
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,540/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Beach
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #108
- US rank
- #1672
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Miami Beach, FL
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- City population
- 90,533
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,438
- Household income
- $68,738
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3521.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 67% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 4% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 27% Salvadoran 6%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Romanian 2% Armenian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 62% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 18% English-only · Spanish 69% Other Indo-European 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -472.71%
- Current HPI
- 336.7298
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.44%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+15.7% since first listed27 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-19 Listed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-12-22 Listed $289,000 MARMLS
- 2025-12-12 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2025-11-11 Rental Removed $2,350 MARMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $289,000 MARMLS
- 2025-09-26 Price Changed $295,000 MARMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed for Rent $2,350 MARMLS
- 2025-06-05 Price Changed $310,000 MARMLS
- 2025-03-05 Price Changed $325,000 MARMLS
- 2024-07-25 Listed $340,000 MARMLS
- 2019-05-31 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2019-04-03 Price Changed $239,000 MARMLS
- 2018-10-19 Listed $246,000 MARMLS
- 2018-09-11 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-05-30 Listed $246,000 MARMLS
- 2018-05-18 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2018-03-23 Price Changed $265,000 MARMLS
- 2018-03-23 Listed $365,000 MARMLS
- 2017-06-10 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2017-02-23 Price Changed $250,000 MARMLS
- 2016-12-12 Listed $255,000 MARMLS
- 2014-02-19 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2013-07-30 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2013-07-29 Pending — MARMLS
- 2013-07-24 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2013-07-23 Pending — MARMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,484 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…