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1515 W 1st St
D+ Composite 46.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.8/30.0
  • DSCR +7.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$190,000

1515 W 1st St · Tulsa, OK 74127
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,176 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 64 Days on market
Built 2009 6,750 sqft lot Est $160k · 19% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-Maintained & Updated Home with Modern Finishes! This nicely updated home has been well cared for and offers a clean, move-in-ready feel throughout. Featuring luxury vinyl flooring and new carpet, the interior provides a comfortable blend of durability and style. The kitchen includes granite countertops and updated finishes, creating a functional space for everyday living and entertaining. With thoughtful improvements and a well-maintained condition, this home is ready for its next owner to enjoy. Schedule your showing today and come see everything this well-kept home has to offer!

Key facts

  • Updated finishes
  • Move-in-ready feel
  • Granite countertops

Tags

LUXURY VINYL FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSUPDATED FINISHESMOVE-IN-READY FEEL

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Sidewalks; Gutters

Exterior

  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Slab foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
  • Exterior features: Landscaping; Rain gutters; Covered porch; Shed/storage; Partial fencing; Smoke detectors (no safety shelter)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Disposal; Plumbed for ice maker; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (first level); Bedroom (first level); Bedroom (first level)
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; Hall full bath (first level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Aluminum frame windows; Accessible entrance; Granite counters; Electric and gas oven/range connections; Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; Utility room (first level)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $364 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $190k).
  • Recommended offer: $179k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.9% in Tulsa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#13 in OK, #4,058 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment D-.
  • Tulsa (urban): math 7% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #250 of 270 in OK (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 113 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 10d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,818 units permitted in Tulsa County in 2024 (518 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,940/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($46k/yr) (locally 782% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tulsa County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $85k; list at $190k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,600 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.59%
Cash-on-cash
8.21%
DSCR
1.37
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$159,936
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1815 W Reconciliation Way 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,144 (-3%) 4mo $70,000 $61 74
1407 W Admiral Blvd 0.16mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+7%) 7mo $84,000 $67 66
1812 W Reconciliation Way 0.37mi 3/3.0 1,264 (+8%) 1mo $245,000 $194 62
1720 W Easton Pl 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,218 (+4%) 15mo $275,000 $226 54
582 N Xenophon Ave 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,130 (-4%) 2mo $146,000 $129 53
148 N Union Ave 0.29mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,334 (+13%) 3mo $73,000 $55 53
715 S Quanah Ave 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,024 (-13%) 8mo $303,000 $296 51
1308 W Easton St 0.45mi 3/1.0 1,295 (+10%) 16mo $110,000 $85 49
127 N Xenophon Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,046 (-11%) 12mo $142,000 $136 48
1801 W Easton Ct 0.63mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,234 (+5%) 16mo $180,000 $146 42
511 N Rosedale Ave 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,052 (-10%) 13mo $244,000 $232 40
1906 W Easton Ct 0.63mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,333 (+13%) 14mo $132,500 $99 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.4%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-8,747
Equity at exit
$28,330
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$17,642
Equity at exit
$16,428

Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74127

Home prices YoY
-20.4%
Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
113
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,940 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$996
Tax from tax record
$93 /mo · $1,119/yr
Insurance
$79
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$364

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,479
Max offer price $190,000
Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,500
Closing costs
$5,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
209 N Xenophon Ave Unit B Tulsa, OK 3.0 2.0 1150 $1,500 $1.30 23d 1 0.46mi
1303 S Lawton Ave Tulsa, OK 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,575 $1.26 3d 1 0.73mi
2521 W Cameron St Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.5 1161 $1,295 $1.12 19d 1 0.76mi
1312 S Jackson Ave Unit 3 Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0 775 $1,050 $1.35 14d 1 0.77mi
2333 W Easton Pl Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0 846 $700 $0.83 23d 1 0.78mi
1309 S Jackson Ave Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0 775 $1,050 $1.35 1d 1 0.80mi
424 N Boulder Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1220 $3,699 $3.03 1d 62 0.94mi
1703 S Jackson Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $1,409 $1.89 23d 28 0.94mi
1703 S Jackson Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 745 $1,375 $1.84 15d 1 0.94mi
403 S Cheyenne Ave Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $1,799 $2.40 1d 8 0.97mi
406 S Boulder Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1082 $2,906 $2.69 15d 3 1.01mi
1000 S Denver Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 940 $1,546 $1.64 1d 19 1.04mi
324 S Main St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 757 $1,807 $2.39 1d 6 1.06mi
420 S Main St Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 1291 $2,700 $2.09 1d 13 1.09mi
9 E 4th St Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0–2.0 894 $2,499 $2.80 1d 5 1.10mi
6 E 5th St Unit 703 Tulsa, OK 2.0 2.0 962 $1,731 $1.80 21d 1 1.14mi
6 E 5th St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1103 $2,500 $2.27 15d 4 1.14mi
6 E 5th St Unit 105 Tulsa, OK 2.0 2.0 1361 $2,450 $1.80 21d 1 1.14mi
1401 S Elwood Ave Tulsa, OK 3.0 1.0 1373 $1,850 $1.35 23d 1 1.15mi
7125 N 220th RD Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 750 $2,800 $3.73 10d 37 1.21mi
310 E 1st St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1226 $2,870 $2.34 1d 4 1.27mi
310 E 1st St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1110 $2,870 $2.58 19d 5 1.27mi
415 E 2nd St S Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 807 $2,180 $2.70 1d 28 1.33mi
420 E Archer St Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.5 1159 $3,646 $3.15 1d 30 1.35mi
1515 S Carson Ave Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 23d 1 1.36mi
401 S Elgin Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 770 $1,499 $1.95 23d 3 1.37mi
505 E 2nd St S Tulsa, OK 2.0 2.0 1087 $2,180 $2.01 2d 1 1.42mi
1717 Riverside Dr Tulsa, OK 2.0 1.0–2.0 910 $2,201 $2.42 1d 22 1.43mi
211 S Greenwood Ave Tulsa, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 933 $2,344 $2.51 1d 3 1.49mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    price $190,000 Active 64 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $195,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $195,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $195,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $195,000 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $195,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $195,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $195,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $195,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-05-04
    price $195,000
  17. 2026-04-15
    listed $200,000 Active
  18. 2025-12-05
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,119 · $93/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,710 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$591/yr (+$49/mo · 52.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,279
− Mortgage interest
−$10,643
− Property taxes
−$1,119
− Insurance
−$950
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,862
− Management
−$1,862
− Depreciation
−$5,527
Taxable income
$1,315
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$316
After-tax cash flow
$4,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tulsa
NCES district ID
4030240
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$37,895
Composite
8.04/100
National rank
#9919
State rank
#250 of 270 in OK

Livability — Tulsa

Score
75/100
State rank
#13
US rank
#4058

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tulsa, OK
County
Osage County · 26,244 people
City population
389,418
Metro
Tulsa, OK
Population (ZIP)
16,324
Household income
$46,373
Rent vs Own
42.5% rent · 57.5% own
Severe rent burden
782.0

Population outlook (Tulsa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
723,846 people
By 2030
766,033 · +5.8%
By 2040
851,386 · +17.6%
By 2050
938,389 · +29.6%
By 2075
1,166,011 · +61.1%
By 2100
1,350,277 · +86.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 28% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Tulsa

2024 margin
R (+15.2) · D 41.3% · R 56.5% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
+9.2pp toward D · 2008: -24.5pp · 2024: -15.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.2 2020: R+15.6 2016: R+22.9 2012: R+27.4 2008: R+24.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.31%
Current HPI
231.5994
Rent YoY
▲ 2.45%
Metro
Tulsa, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+129.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $195,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $200,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-05 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,119 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…