Triplex
34 Saint James Pl · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$389,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity to own a 3 unit property on one of Buffalo's most desirable streets! Located steps away from the breathtaking and historic Frederick Law Olmstead's Chapin Parkway, this home is a perfect project for any savvy investor looking to add to their portfolio or owner- occupant who wants to live in one unit and rent out the others. With tremendous potential for value and cash flow, bring your vision to bring this beauty back to life! Each unit features classic Buffalo charm with large layouts, tall ceilings, and plenty of natural light. Enjoy having unique basement parking as well as one off street parking spot. Take comfort in knowing that this home has a BRAND NEW ROOF, new radia
Key facts
- 3 unit property
- Off street parking
- Brand new roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Three total units; Three separate electric meters; One separate gas meter
- Financial info: Owner pays heat; Rent includes heat; Operating expenses include water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car); See remarks for additional parking details
- Utilities: Electricity connected (circuit breakers); Public water connected; Sewer connected; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Three-story building; Resale property
- Construction: Composite siding; Wood siding; Asphalt architectural shingle roof; Block foundation; Copper plumbing
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Rectangular residential lot (35 x 120); City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Oven/range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One 1-bedroom unit; Two 2-bedroom units
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms (one per unit)
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Attic; Skylights; Ceiling fans
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 5-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $390k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6k ($69k/yr) — positive. Per door: $2k/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($10k rent vs $390k).
- Recommended offer: $378k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 63 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $10,238/mo this rent would consume 150% of the median local household income ($82k/yr) (locally 978% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $109k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($378k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 63.01%
- DSCR
- 3.80
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $948,943
- List price
- $389,900
- Delta
- -58.91%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 723 W Delavan Ave | 0.12mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 3,216 (-11%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $101 | 66 |
| 1042 Elmwood Ave | 0.46mi | 3/4.0 (-1) | 3,501 (-3%) | 2mo | $435,000 | $124 | 62 |
| 89 Highland Ave | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 3,871 (+7%) | 2mo | $520,000 | $134 | 55 |
| 39 Granger Pl | 0.48mi | 4/3.5 | 3,077 (-15%) | 3mo | $620,000 | $201 | 49 |
| 189 Saint James Pl | 0.30mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 4,123 (+14%) | 10mo | $520,000 | $126 | 46 |
| 433 Norwood Ave | 0.57mi | 5/4.0 (+1) | 3,957 (+10%) | 22mo | $580,000 | $147 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.69% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 63.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.93×
- Total profit
- $319,594
- Equity at exit
- $58,135
- IRR
- 68.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.54×
- Total profit
- $823,425
- Equity at exit
- $33,711
Cash invested: $109,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14222
- Home prices YoY
- -31.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 63
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $10,238 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,045
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,777/yr
- Insurance
- −$162
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,150
- Net cashflow
- $5,733
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 5 | 3 | $10,236 |
| #1 | 5 | 3 | $3,412 |
| #2 | 5 | 3 | $3,412 |
| #3 | 5 | 3 | $3,412 |
| Total (3 units) | $10,238 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $97,475
- Closing costs
- $11,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 664 Auburn Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3500 | $5,000 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 7 Berkley Pl Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2879 | $1,250 | $0.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 83 Baynes St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2550 | $1,850 | $0.73 | 14d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 98 E Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3105 | $2,000 | $0.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 11 Hoyt St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2848 | $1,775 | $0.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 405 W Ferry St Unit Lower Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2480 | $1,500 | $0.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 28 Lonsdale Rd Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2735 | $1,725 | $0.63 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 91 W Humboldt Pkwy Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 3017 | $3,400 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 82 Butler Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2752 | $1,300 | $0.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 501 West Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2552 | $1,850 | $0.72 | 20d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 501 West Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2552 | $1,700 | $0.67 | 14d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $389,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $389,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $389,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $389,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $389,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $389,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $389,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $389,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $389,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $389,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $389,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $389,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $389,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-28$389,900 Active 975-char remark
-
2025-12-10price $450,000
-
2025-10-24$485,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,777 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,183 · $349/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,406/yr (+$201/mo · 135.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $122,856
- − Mortgage interest
- −$21,840
- − Property taxes
- −$1,777
- − Insurance
- −$1,950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$9,828
- − Management
- −$9,828
- − Depreciation
- −$11,343
- Taxable income
- $66,290
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$15,910
- After-tax cash flow
- $52,884/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,311
- Household income
- $81,652
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 978.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 13% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -205.10%
- Current HPI
- 448.3711
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.69%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
-19.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $389,900 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $450,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $485,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+17.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,777 · -24.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…