412 Normandy Rd · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.7/30.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- ARV discount +4.0/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$205,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, situated on a beautiful lot in a highly desirable location. Featuring an open floor plan, the home feels bright and spacious, with a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining.Step outside to enjoy the generous yard, perfect for relaxing, gardening, or hosting gatherings with family and friends. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property checks all the boxes.With its inviting layout, great outdoor space, and prime location close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home is a must-see. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Generous yard
- Prime location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $205k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $90 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (17.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $169k (17.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: J. Wallace James Elementary School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade D, #147 of 646 statewide, top 23%, 939 students, 64% FRL); L.J. Alleman Middle School (math 48% / reading 56%, grade C+, #23 of 218 statewide, top 10%, 952 students, 54% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 57% / reading 51%, grade C-, #28 of 265 statewide, top 11%, 1,852 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 237 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($193k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.88%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $190,016
- List price
- $205,000
- Delta
- 7.89%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 Normandy Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,112 (-12%) | 5mo | $185,000 | $166 | 67 |
| 425 Normandy Rd | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-13%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $145 | 64 |
| 304 Rena Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+3%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $165 | 61 |
| 202 Rena Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,377 (+9%) | 3mo | $179,900 | $131 | 58 |
| 605 Dutton Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,263 (+0%) | 10mo | $183,000 | $145 | 58 |
| 302 Newcastle Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,250 (-1%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $144 | 54 |
| 233 Normandy Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,103 (-13%) | 8mo | $163,500 | $148 | 54 |
| 109 Normandy Rd | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,329 (+5%) | 12mo | $205,000 | $154 | 48 |
| 495 Mount Vernon Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,178 (-7%) | 6mo | $135,000 | $115 | 46 |
| 305 Halcott Dr #122 | 0.50mi | 2/2.5 | 1,440 (+14%) | 2mo | $205,000 | $142 | 46 |
| 316 Kim Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,350 (+7%) | 10mo | $130,000 | $96 | 45 |
| 202 Dryades Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,450 (+15%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $121 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-31,949
- Equity at exit
- $30,566
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-37,796
- Equity at exit
- $17,725
Cash invested: $57,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70503
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Rents YoY
- 0.4%
- Active inventory
- 237
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,689 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,075
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,011/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $90
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $206 | -5% $148 | +0% $90 | +5% $32 | +10% $-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-44 | -5% $23 | +0% $90 | +5% $157 | +10% $223 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $193 | -0.5pp $142 | base $90 | +0.5pp $37 | +1.0pp $-17 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,250
- Closing costs
- $6,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 443 Normandy Rd Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1348 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 108 Beaulac Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,950 | $2.03 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1042 Camellia Blvd Lafayette, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 880 | $1,941 | $2.21 | 15d | 10 | 0.74mi |
| 220 Steiner Rd Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $3,200 | $2.67 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 110 Claymore Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 302 Richland Ave Unit 103C Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1409 | $4,200 | $2.98 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 302 Richland Ave Unit 103C Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1049 | $4,200 | $4.00 | 23d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 104 shirekeep Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1311 | $1,985 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 104 shirekeep Ln Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1311 | $2,075 | $1.58 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 220 Doucet Rd Unit 211B Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,050 | $1.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 101 Glouchester Rd Lafayette, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 840 | $979 | $1.17 | 15d | 10 | 1.08mi |
| 304 Renwood Cir Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1761 | $3,300 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 106 Maple Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $2,100 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 107 Antoinette St Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,015 | $1.01 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 201 Castle Row Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1595 | $1,800 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 206 Steiner Oaks Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,975 | $2.48 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 214 Steiner Oaks Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1190 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 105 Steiner Rd Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1190 | $2,900 | $2.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 102 Perth PL Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $1,595 | $1.39 | 23d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 201 Settlers Trace Blvd Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1024 | $1,476 | $1.44 | 15d | 12 | 1.23mi |
| 3121 Johnston St #121 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 317 Guilbeau Rd Lafayette, LA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 833 | $988 | $1.19 | 15d | 14 | 1.30mi |
| 1510 Kaliste Saloom Rd #404 Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1398 | $4,000 | $2.86 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 326 Guilbeau Rd #248 Lafayette, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 950 | $1,085 | $1.14 | 45d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 107 Papwood Cir Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1805 | $2,000 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 123 Highland Dr Lafayette, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1550 | $1,700 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 710 S College Rd Lafayette, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1050 | $895 | $0.85 | 15d | 12 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $205,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $205,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $205,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $205,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $205,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $205,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $205,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $215,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $215,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $215,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $215,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $215,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $215,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $215,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $215,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $215,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $215,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, situated on a beautiful lot in a highly desirable location. Featuring an open floor plan, the home feels bright and spacious, with a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining.Step outside to enjoy the generous yard, perfect for relaxing, gardening, or hosting gatherings with family and friends. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property checks all the boxes.With its inviting layout, great outdoor space, and prime location close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home is a must-see. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2026-04-24status Pending 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, situated on a beautiful lot in a highly desirable location. Featuring an open floor plan, the home feels bright and spacious, with a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining.Step outside to enjoy the generous yard, perfect for relaxing, gardening, or hosting gatherings with family and friends. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property checks all the boxes.With its inviting layout, great outdoor space, and prime location close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home is a must-see. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
-
2026-03-25$215,000 Active 759-char remark
Show marketing remark (759 chars)
This charming two-bedroom, one-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience, situated on a beautiful lot in a highly desirable location. Featuring an open floor plan, the home feels bright and spacious, with a natural flow between the living, dining, and kitchen areas--ideal for both everyday living and entertaining.Step outside to enjoy the generous yard, perfect for relaxing, gardening, or hosting gatherings with family and friends. Whether you're a first-time buyer, downsizing, or looking for an investment opportunity, this property checks all the boxes.With its inviting layout, great outdoor space, and prime location close to shopping, dining, and local amenities, this home is a must-see. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,011 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,128 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$116/yr (+$10/mo · 11.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,272
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,483
- − Property taxes
- −$1,011
- − Insurance
- −$1,025
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,622
- − Management
- −$1,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,964
- Taxable loss
- −$2,455
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$589
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,667/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,643
- Household income
- $94,688
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 769.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 23% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -81.65%
- Current HPI
- 158.7094
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.36%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-24 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listed $215,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+24.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,011 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…