585 14th St N · Naples, FL
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$649,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location, Location, Location, rarely available waterfront property in downtown Naples. Three bedrooms 2 bath single family home situated at the end of the street on a pie shaped completely fenced lot, offering wide water views. Home has newer roof, and windows and its ready to move in or take advantage of the vacation short term rental. Walk to everything Downtown Naples has to offer and whats more to come to come to this area.
Key facts
- Seawall to fill-in
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Build boat dock
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is in the River Park development; Lot is approximately 0.14 acres; Canal width approximately 31–80 feet
- Financial info: No additional financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA maintenance; Community park; Non-gated community
Exterior
- Parking: No parking information provided
- Security: Impact resistant windows and sliding glass; Impact resistant doors
- Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Residential single-family home; 1 story (ranch); Rear exposure faces north; Located on a cul-de-sac
- Construction: Concrete block construction; Stucco exterior; Shingle roof; Built in 1968
- Exterior features: Patio; Canal view; Gulf access via bridges
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Master bath with shower only
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: High speed internet available; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; Window coverings; Eat-in kitchen; Screened lanai/porch; Great room floor plan
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $649k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $854 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $649k).
- Recommended offer: $571k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#126 in FL, #1,903 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, employment A+; Watch: commute D+, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.8%/yr); 614 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,658/mo this rent would consume 61% of the median local household income ($131k/yr) (locally 333% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $31k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $27k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
- Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$50k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 165 days — a 12% lower offer ($571k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $500k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 165 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.46%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.08% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $205,792
- Equity at exit
- $332,225
- IRR
- 21.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.73×
- Total profit
- $677,297
- Equity at exit
- $545,926
Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34102
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Rents YoY
- 8.8%
- Active inventory
- 614
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,658 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,403
- Tax from tax record
- −$306 /mo · $3,670/yr
- Insurance
- −$270
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,398
- Net cashflow
- $854
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $162,250
- Closing costs
- $19,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 766 Central Ave Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 943 | $6,500 | $6.89 | 14d | 4 | 0.82mi |
| 766 Central Ave Naples, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 855 | $6,500 | $7.60 | 21d | 3 | 0.82mi |
| 410 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1242 | $9,750 | $7.85 | 23d | 6 | 0.83mi |
| 450 Bayfront Pl Naples, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1324 | $12,000 | $9.06 | 23d | 6 | 0.86mi |
| 1334 Crayton Rd #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $6,800 | $6.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1100 8th Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1218 | $9,000 | $7.39 | 14d | 5 | 1.17mi |
| 290 4th St S #202 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $10,000 | $9.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 284 4th St S #103 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $9,000 | $9.19 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 286 4th St S #203 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $10,000 | $9.45 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 282 4th St S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1058 | $11,000 | $10.40 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1100 Gulf Shore Blvd N Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 945 | $6,000 | $6.35 | 23d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 1395 Curlew Ave Unit 4-3 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $7,000 | $7.18 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1435 Curlew Ave #1 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 975 | $2,850 | $2.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 388 4th Ave S #388 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 965 | $13,000 | $13.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1300 Gulf Shore Blvd N #205 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $5,900 | $6.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1300 Gulf Shore Blvd N #406 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $6,500 | $7.65 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1300 Gulf Shore Blvd N #700 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $6,250 | $7.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1300 Gulf Shore Blvd N #304 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 850 | $5,500 | $6.47 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 365 5th Ave S #303 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $13,000 | $11.93 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 230 3rd Ave S #4 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 978 | $12,000 | $12.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 296 4th Ave S #296 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1120 | $2,950 | $2.63 | 21d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1950 Mayfair St Naples, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–3.5 | 1514 | $11,999 | $7.92 | 14d | 109 | 1.37mi |
| 1950 Mayfair ST Unit 901 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1025 | $4,560 | $4.45 | 14d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 175 5th Ave S Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 732 | $14,000 | $19.13 | 23d | 2 | 1.42mi |
| 351 8th Ave S #351 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 930 | $4,000 | $4.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 666 3rd St S Naples, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 932 | $8,000 | $8.58 | 14d | 2 | 1.47mi |
| 250 7th Ave S #301 Naples, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $10,000 | $10.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $649,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $649,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $649,000 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $649,000 Active 162 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $649,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $649,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $649,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $649,000 Active 154 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $649,000 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $649,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $649,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $649,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $649,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-01-04$649,000 Active
-
2022-04-14soldstatus $500,000 Sold 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Location, Location, Location, rarely available waterfront property in downtown Naples. Three bedrooms 2 bath single family home situated at the end of the street on a pie shaped completely fenced lot, offering wide water views. Home has newer roof, and windows and its ready to move in or take advantage of the vacation short term rental. Walk to everything Downtown Naples has to offer and whats more to come to come to this area.
-
2022-01-25status Pending 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Location, Location, Location, rarely available waterfront property in downtown Naples. Three bedrooms 2 bath single family home situated at the end of the street on a pie shaped completely fenced lot, offering wide water views. Home has newer roof, and windows and its ready to move in or take advantage of the vacation short term rental. Walk to everything Downtown Naples has to offer and whats more to come to come to this area.
-
2022-01-20$699,000 Active 431-char remark
Show marketing remark (431 chars)
Location, Location, Location, rarely available waterfront property in downtown Naples. Three bedrooms 2 bath single family home situated at the end of the street on a pie shaped completely fenced lot, offering wide water views. Home has newer roof, and windows and its ready to move in or take advantage of the vacation short term rental. Walk to everything Downtown Naples has to offer and whats more to come to come to this area.
-
2021-04-13historical
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2021-04-06status Pending With Contingencies
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2021-03-31status Active
-
2021-01-19historical
-
2020-11-18$369,000 Active
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $240,000
-
2014-04-30price $87,900
-
2014-04-25soldstatus $102,000
-
2014-04-07$102,000
-
2011-08-29$74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,670 · $306/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,387 · $449/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,717/yr (+$143/mo · 46.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $79,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$36,354
- − Property taxes
- −$3,670
- − Insurance
- −$8,364
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,392
- − Management
- −$6,392
- − Depreciation
- −$18,880
- Taxable loss
- −$151
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$36
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,284/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Naples
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #1903
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Naples, FL
- County
- Collier County · 396,295 people
- City population
- 344,941
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,179
- Household income
- $130,929
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 333.0
Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,858 people
- By 2030
- 450,054 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 502,232 · +19.3%
- By 2050
- 544,932 · +29.5%
- By 2075
- 627,203 · +49.0%
- By 2100
- 659,015 · +56.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 6%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Collier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.08%
- Current HPI
- 328.2755
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.75%
- Metro
- Naples-Marco Island, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+766.5% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-04 Listed $649,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2022-04-14 Sold (MLS) $500,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2022-01-25 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2022-01-20 Listed $699,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2021-04-13 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2021-04-06 Pending — NAPLESMLS
- 2021-03-31 Relisted — NAPLESMLS
- 2021-01-19 Listing Removed — NAPLESMLS
- 2020-11-18 Listed $369,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2014-04-30 Price Changed $87,900 NAPLESMLS
- 2014-04-25 Sold (MLS) $102,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2014-04-07 Listed $102,000 NAPLESMLS
- 2011-08-29 Listed $74,900 NAPLESMLS
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $3,670 · +20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…