103 E South St · Prairie City, IA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2-bed, 1-bath ranch in Prairie City with 1,008 sq ft on the main level and a full unfinished basement with shower and toilet. Detached 3-car garage, spacious 0.19-acre lot, and public utilities. Located in PCM School District, just 25 minutes from Des Moines. Perfect for first-time buyers or investors. Show anytime!
Key facts
- 8,184 sq ft lot
- Built 1976
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $175 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#280 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Pcm Community School District (rural): math 65% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #124 of 289 in IA (top 43%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Prairie City Elementary School (math 72% / reading 77%, grade A, #131 of 616 statewide, top 27%, 320 students, 25% FRL); Pcm Middle School (math 65% / reading 72%, grade A, #126 of 246 statewide, top 53%, 247 students, 29% FRL); Pcm High School (math 64% / reading 83%, grade B+, #108 of 336 statewide, top 33%, 357 students, 21% FRL).
- Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 16 units permitted in Jasper County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jasper County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$42k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.84%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $211,680
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 E South St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 4mo | $131,000 | $130 | 97 |
| 402 S Main St | 0.02mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-10%) | 7mo | $204,900 | $225 | 77 |
| 108 E Steenhoek St Unit A | 0.15mi | 2/1.5 | 1,080 (+7%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $153 | 74 |
| 106 S East St | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,040 (+3%) | 2mo | $245,000 | $236 | 71 |
| 304 W Mcmurray St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,044 (+4%) | 14mo | $230,000 | $220 | 65 |
| 803 W James St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,058 (+5%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $208 | 60 |
| 405 S Clark Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,044 (+4%) | 9mo | $208,000 | $199 | 55 |
| 102 E South St | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 868 (-14%) | 20mo | $160,000 | $184 | 54 |
| 205 W North St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,132 (+12%) | 10mo | $237,500 | $210 | 42 |
| 405 N Orchard St | 0.45mi | 2/2.0 | 884 (-12%) | 23mo | $190,000 | $215 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $71,068
- Equity at exit
- $99,007
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.52×
- Total profit
- $200,574
- Equity at exit
- $213,512
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50228
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 10
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,042/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $175
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $238 | -5% $207 | +0% $175 | +5% $144 | +10% $113 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $79 | -5% $127 | +0% $175 | +5% $224 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $231 | -0.5pp $203 | base $175 | +0.5pp $147 | +1.0pp $118 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 W Steenhoek St Prairie City, IA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,225 | $1.02 | 25d | 1 | 0.15mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-03-03soldstatus $147,875
-
2026-02-12soldstatus $85,500
-
2025-11-10status Pending
-
2025-11-04$109,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,042 · $170/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,700
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$2,042
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,176
- − Management
- −$1,176
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $403
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$97
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,009/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pcm Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1999017
- Math proficiency
- 65% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 75% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,380
- Composite
- 60.32/100
- National rank
- #851
- State rank
- #124 of 289 in IA
Livability — Prairie City
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #280
- US rank
- #5388
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Prairie City, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,345
Population outlook (Jasper County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,216 people
- By 2030
- 35,730 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 34,727 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 33,802 · -6.7%
- By 2075
- 33,382 · -7.8%
- By 2100
- 32,761 · -9.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 18% Portuguese 7% Italian 6%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jasper
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.6) · D 35.4% · R 63.0% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.1pp toward R · 2008: 7.5pp · 2024: -27.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.6 2020: R+21.5 2016: R+18.4 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+7.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.25%
- Current HPI
- 283.118
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+34.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Sold (Public Records) $147,875 Public Records
- 2026-02-12 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
- 2025-11-10 Pending — DMMLS
- 2025-11-04 Listed $109,900 DMMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,042 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…