806 Grant Ave · Eveleth, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,785
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
Key facts
- Eat-in dining area
- Front deck
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $321 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($938 rent vs $67k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 7.0% in Eveleth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#506 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, health & safety D.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $462 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $44k; list at $67k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.62%
- DSCR
- 1.92
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $113,484
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 Douglas Ave | 0.12mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (+1%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $147 | 84 |
| 1117 Lincoln Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 836 (+8%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $173 | 73 |
| 703 N Court Ct | 0.34mi | 2/0.8 | 740 (-4%) | 13mo | $95,900 | $130 | 66 |
| 202 Fayal Rd | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-7%) | 20mo | $140,000 | $194 | 49 |
| 108 S Elba Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.2 | 804 (+4%) | 18mo | $95,000 | $118 | 45 |
| 510 Jackson St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 886 (+15%) | 22mo | $84,500 | $95 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $9,632
- Equity at exit
- $9,958
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.86×
- Total profit
- $34,692
- Equity at exit
- $5,774
Cash invested: $18,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55734
- Home prices YoY
- -29.1%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $938 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$350
- Tax from tax record
- −$42 /mo · $500/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$197
- Net cashflow
- $321
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,696
- Closing costs
- $2,004
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-22status Pending 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-04-22status Pending
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-04-17price $66,785
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-04-17price $66,785 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-02-15price $70,300
-
2026-02-14price $70,300 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-01-07price $74,000
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2026-01-07price $74,000 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2025-12-03price $77,900
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2025-12-03price $77,900 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2025-10-28$81,900 Active 414-char remark
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
-
2025-10-28$81,900 Active
Show marketing remark (414 chars)
PRICE IMPROVEMENT: Charming 2 bedroom 1 bath one level home with detached single stall garage is ready for its new owner. The home has a nice size kitchen with eat-in dining area and a large living room. There is a deck and a privacy fence in the back yard where you will find a detached single stall garage and parking area. There is a front deck with steps leading down to Grant. Walking distance to nearby park.
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2007-06-29soldstatus $44,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $500 · $42/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $624 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$124/yr (+$10/mo · 24.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,256
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,741
- − Property taxes
- −$500
- − Insurance
- −$334
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$901
- − Management
- −$901
- − Depreciation
- −$1,943
- Taxable income
- $2,938
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$705
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,151/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Eveleth
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #506
- US rank
- #12213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eveleth, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,332
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 13% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.98%
- Current HPI
- 209.7614
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
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Price history
+51.8% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Pending — RAOR
- 2026-04-22 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $66,785 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $66,785 RAOR
- 2026-02-15 Price Changed $70,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $70,300 RAOR
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $74,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed $74,000 RAOR
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $77,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-03 Price Changed $77,900 RAOR
- 2025-10-28 Listed $81,900 RAOR
- 2025-10-28 Listed $81,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-06-29 Sold (Public Records) $44,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.4%/yrLatest (2025): $500 · -18.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…