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225 Little Florida Rd
D+ Composite 48.84
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • Schools +7.5/10.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$319,900

225 Little Florida Rd · Poquoson, VA 23662
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,484 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1984 Est $349k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautifully refreshed, turn-key colonial home with an expansive half-acre lot in the heart of Poquoson. This move-in-ready 4-bedroom home shines with brand new paint and plush new carpet throughout the entire house. The bright kitchen showcases newly painted cabinets, a brand new refrigerator, and a clear sideline to a massive, clear backyard oasis perfect for entertaining. Curb appeal and piece of mine are elevated by a newly installed door on the attached garage. This home is less than a half a mile from Poquoson primary, middle, and high school. Commuters will love the quick access to Langley AFB and NASA, while water enthusiasts are just minutes from local marinas. Prope

Key facts

  • Newly installed door
  • Half acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

HALF ACRE LOTBRAND NEW REFRIGERATORMASSIVE BACKYARD OASISNEWLY INSTALLED DOORQUICK ACCESS TO LANGLEY AFBMINUTES FROM LOCAL MARINAS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA fees indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Driveway parking
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached traditional home; Two stories; Crawl foundation; Simple ownership
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Back chain-link fence

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom with ensuite; Master bedroom with bath
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Attic fan; Cable hookup; Ceiling fan; Pull-down attic stairs; Scuttle access; One fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-383 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $252k (21.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (15.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $252k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 2.8% in Poquoson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#276 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Poquoson City Public School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 91% proficiency, ranked #2 of 131 in VA (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 12% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Poquoson Elementary (math 81% / reading 92%, grade A+, #47 of 1,108 statewide, top 5%, 444 students, 21% FRL); Poquoson Middle (math 79% / reading 87%, grade A+, #17 of 342 statewide, top 5%, 451 students, 23% FRL); Poquoson High (math 67% / reading 92%, grade A-, #63 of 319 statewide, top 22%, 690 students, 19% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 133 units permitted in Poquoson city in 2024 (36 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Poquoson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $252,192 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.85%
Cap rate
6.46%
Cash-on-cash
0.58%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$348,740
Comps found
6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
197 Cedar Rd 0.38mi 4/2.0 1,512 (+2%) 2mo $345,000 $228 76
106 Cedar Rd 0.12mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (+8%) 12mo $385,000 $241 65
1 Berwick St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,539 (+4%) 14mo $380,000 $247 52
100 Hudgins Rd 0.62mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,487 (+0%) 12mo $335,000 $225 52
13 Jean Mar Dr 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,684 (+14%) 13mo $395,000 $235 32
13 Jean Mar Dr 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,684 (+14%) 13mo $395,000 $235 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.9%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-76,016
Equity at exit
$47,698
10-year hold
IRR
-20.5%
Equity multiple
-0.08×
Total profit
$-96,682
Equity at exit
$27,659

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23662

Active inventory
166
Price-to-rent
9.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,708 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$285 /mo · $3,422/yr
Insurance
$133
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$569
Net cashflow
$-383

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,193
Max offer price $252,192
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-202 -5% $-293 +0% $-383 +5% $-474 +10% $-564
Rent -10% $-597 -5% $-490 +0% $-383 +5% $-276 +10% $-169
Rate -1.0pp $-222 -0.5pp $-302 base $-383 +0.5pp $-466 +1.0pp $-551

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
106 Rowe Dr Poquoson, VA 4.0 2.5 1650 $2,550 $1.55 9d 1 1.16mi
87 Charles Parish Dr Unit 87 Poquoson, VA 3.0 2.0 1368 $1,950 $1.43 19d 1 1.19mi
104 Pocosin Path Poquoson, VA 3.0 3.5 1765 $2,495 $1.41 45d 1 1.32mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-21
    listed $319,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,422 · $285/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,422 · $285/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,496
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$3,422
− Insurance
−$6,718
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,600
− Management
−$2,600
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$10,069
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,417
After-tax cash flow
$-2,183/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Poquoson City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102980
Math proficiency
78% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
91% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$83,895
Composite
74.58/100
National rank
#154
State rank
#2 of 131 in VA

Livability — Poquoson

Score
68/100
State rank
#276
US rank
#9903

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Poquoson, VA
County
Poquoson City · 12,639 people
City population
12,639
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
12,639
Household income
$120,972
Rent vs Own
15.4% rent · 84.6% own
Severe rent burden
89.0

Population outlook (Poquoson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
12,348 people
By 2030
12,611 · +2.1%
By 2040
12,894 · +4.4%
By 2050
12,779 · +3.5%
By 2075
13,020 · +5.4%
By 2100
11,925 · -3.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 6% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Poquoson

2024 margin
Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.4% · R 72.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+3.4pp toward D · 2008: -49.3pp · 2024: -45.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+45.9 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+49.1 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+49.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -275.55%
Current HPI
267.5479
Rent YoY
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-19 Listed $319,900 REINMLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,422 · +3.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…