1323 Fulton Sts · Keokuk, IA
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$84,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath fixer-upper home in a quiet neighborhood in Keokuk, IA. This cozy, inviting home features a spacious main level with ample family room space, a full bathroom, beautiful hardwood features, and an upstairs with 4 nice-sized bedrooms. This property, with a little love and care, could make a great family home or a potential investment property. so whether you are a first-time homebuyer or investor, or look for a quiet community close to local schools and stores, this property is a must-see!
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1870
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $84k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $84k).
- Recommended offer: $74k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 8.2% in Keokuk — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#166 in IA, #3,002 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute F, employment F.
- Keokuk Community School District (town): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #282 of 289 in IA (top 98%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 71 active listings in the ZIP; 15 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $581 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $84k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1870 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1870 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.59%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $113,848
- List price
- $84,000
- Delta
- -26.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 Leighton St | 0.37mi | 4/1.5 | 1,982 (+3%) | 2mo | $172,500 | $87 | 76 |
| 1002 Orleans Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,856 (-3%) | 6mo | $133,000 | $72 | 67 |
| 1004 & 1008 High St S | 0.30mi | 4/1.5 | 2,120 (+10%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $24 | 66 |
| 1821 Johnson St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 | 1,960 (+2%) | 7mo | $24,000 | $12 | 64 |
| 1613 Des Moines St | 0.73mi | 4/1.0 | 1,899 (-1%) | 5mo | $17,500 | $9 | 58 |
| 906 Morgan St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 1,664 (-13%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $19 | 57 |
| 1322 Blondeau St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,648 (-14%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 1228 Grand Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,138 (+11%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $101 | 54 |
| 1818 Grand Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,775 (-8%) | 2mo | $192,000 | $108 | 53 |
| 2210 Grand Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,827 (-5%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $129 | 48 |
| 825 Bank St | 0.66mi | 4/1.5 | 1,640 (-15%) | 3mo | $134,000 | $82 | 42 |
| 1409 Des Moines St | 0.70mi | 4/2.5 | 1,708 (-11%) | 4mo | $85,000 | $50 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-1,344
- Equity at exit
- $12,525
- IRR
- 8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.63×
- Total profit
- $14,885
- Equity at exit
- $7,263
Cash invested: $23,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52632
- Home prices YoY
- -25.5%
- Active inventory
- 71
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,133 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$441
- Tax from tax record
- −$173 /mo · $2,076/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$238
- Net cashflow
- $191
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,000
- Closing costs
- $2,520
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $84,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $84,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $84,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $84,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $84,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $84,000 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $84,000 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $84,000 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $84,000 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $84,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $84,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $84,000 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $84,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-04-08price $84,000 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath fixer-upper home in a quiet neighborhood in Keokuk, IA. This cozy, inviting home features a spacious main level with ample family room space, a full bathroom, beautiful hardwood features, and an upstairs with 4 nice-sized bedrooms. This property, with a little love and care, could make a great family home or a potential investment property. so whether you are a first-time homebuyer or investor, or look for a quiet community close to local schools and stores, this property is a must-see!
-
2026-02-12$87,000 Active 536-char remark
Show marketing remark (536 chars)
Welcome to this charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath fixer-upper home in a quiet neighborhood in Keokuk, IA. This cozy, inviting home features a spacious main level with ample family room space, a full bathroom, beautiful hardwood features, and an upstairs with 4 nice-sized bedrooms. This property, with a little love and care, could make a great family home or a potential investment property. so whether you are a first-time homebuyer or investor, or look for a quiet community close to local schools and stores, this property is a must-see!
-
2023-03-06soldstatus $29,695 Closed 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 1921 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 2.25 bathrooms. This home is located at 1323 Fulton St, Keokuk, IA 52632.
-
2023-01-05status Pending 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 1921 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 2.25 bathrooms. This home is located at 1323 Fulton St, Keokuk, IA 52632.
-
2022-12-15$29,695 Active 133-char remark
Show marketing remark (133 chars)
This 1921 square foot single family home has 4 bedrooms and 2.25 bathrooms. This home is located at 1323 Fulton St, Keokuk, IA 52632.
-
2010-10-26soldstatus $62,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,076 · $173/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,076 · $173/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,598
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,705
- − Property taxes
- −$2,076
- − Insurance
- −$1,086
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,088
- − Management
- −$1,088
- − Depreciation
- −$2,444
- Taxable income
- $1,111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$267
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,027/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Keokuk Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1915630
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,973
- Composite
- 42.35/100
- National rank
- #3249
- State rank
- #282 of 289 in IA
Livability — Keokuk
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #3002
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Keokuk, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,904
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 33,813 people
- By 2030
- 32,835 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 30,690 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 28,777 · -14.9%
- By 2075
- 25,568 · -24.4%
- By 2100
- 21,983 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.8) · D 35.0% · R 62.9% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: 16.0pp · 2024: -27.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.8 2020: R+19.3 2016: R+16.1 2012: D+16.0 2008: D+16.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.80%
- Current HPI
- 122.2866
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+34.4% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $84,000 IAR
- 2026-02-12 Listed $87,000 IAR
- 2023-03-06 Sold (MLS) $29,695 IAR
- 2023-01-05 Pending — IAR
- 2022-12-15 Listed $29,695 IAR
- 2010-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,076 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…