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408 Washington St W
D Composite 40.88
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

408 Washington St W · Fayetteville, TN 37334
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,850 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 31 Days on market
Built 1930 7,840 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Updated and adorable! 2 Bedroom, 1 bath home in town features new flooring throughout, tiled shower, and a private, level backyard. Perfect investment property or starter home!

Key facts

  • New flooring
  • Tiled shower
  • 7,840 sq ft lot

Tags

NEW FLOORINGTILED SHOWERPRIVATE LEVEL BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount listed (see broker for details)

Exterior

  • Parking: No covered or designated parking spaces listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story home
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Existing home
  • Exterior features: Lot approximately 0.18 acre (60 x 140 irregular); Public water and sewer available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space with exterior entry; Electric range, refrigerator, washer and dryer included
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $63 ($762/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $116k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 2.9% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#204 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fayetteville (town): math 18% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #114 of 139 in TN (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Ralph Askins School (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #369 of 952 statewide, top 42%, 555 students, 0% FRL); Fayetteville High School (math 8% / reading 37%, grade F, #156 of 332 statewide, top 49%, 383 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 58% district-wide (58 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 173 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lincoln County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $48k; list at $145k implies a 202% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,082 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.82%
Cash-on-cash
1.88%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.4%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-19,527
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-4.5%
Equity multiple
0.70×
Total profit
$-12,096
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37334

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,161 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$33 /mo · $393/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$63

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,080
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $145,000 Active 30 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $145,000 Active 29 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $145,000 Active 28 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $145,000 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $145,000 Active 25 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $145,000 Active 22 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $145,000 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 15 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 14 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 13 DOM
  15. 2026-05-18
    listed $145,000 Active
  16. 2012-02-17
    soldstatus $48,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$393 · $33/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$636/yr (+$53/mo · 162.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,930
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$393
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$1,757
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$422
After-tax cash flow
$1,184/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayetteville
NCES district ID
4701200
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,291
Composite
16.93/100
National rank
#9138
State rank
#114 of 139 in TN

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
63/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#16029

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, TN
City population
24,168
Population (ZIP)
24,168

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
34,400 people
By 2030
34,550 · +0.4%
By 2040
34,345 · -0.2%
By 2050
33,310 · -3.2%
By 2075
30,199 · -12.2%
By 2100
24,960 · -27.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 8% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.2% · R 81.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -64.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.6 2020: R+60.0 2016: R+59.0 2012: R+49.1 2008: R+42.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.76%
Current HPI
288.9104
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+202.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $145,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $393 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…