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322 Bellevue Dr 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 75.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

322 Bellevue Dr · Round Lake Park, IL 60073
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 766 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 47 Days on market
Built 1941 4,356 sqft lot $170/sqft · 28% below area Est $181k · 28% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this inviting home offering both comfortable living and strong rental potential. The interior features a functional layout with spacious living areas that provide flexibility for everyday living entertaining or long term rental use. The kitchen and main living spaces offer a solid foundation ready for updates or tenant occupancy. Outside you will find a nice yard with room for outdoor enjoyment gardening or gatherings. Conveniently located near parks schools shopping and transportation this property is well positioned for consistent rental demand making it a great opportunity for both investors and buyers looking to build equity and long term value.

Key facts

  • Near schools
  • Outdoor enjoyment
  • Near parks

Tags

FUNCTIONAL LAYOUTSPACIOUS LIVING AREASNICE YARDOUTDOOR ENJOYMENTNEAR PARKSNEAR SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $130,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$181,424) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $547 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.5% in Round Lake Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#422 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Round Lake CUSD 116 (suburban): math 7% / reading 14% proficiency, ranked #560 of 620 in IL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 948 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (424 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 47 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 47 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
11.34%
Cash-on-cash
18.03%
DSCR
1.80
GRM
5.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$181,424
List price
$130,000
Delta
-28.34%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
302 Elder Dr 0.13mi 1/1.0 (-1) 759 (-1%) 4mo $125,000 $165 84
221 Kenwood Dr 0.19mi 2/1.0 771 (+1%) 8mo $150,000 $195 84
324 Highmoor Dr 0.05mi 2/1.0 838 (+9%) 15mo $175,000 $209 70
114 Clifton Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 800 (+4%) 5mo $175,000 $219 68
123 E Pineview Dr 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 788 (+3%) 8mo $190,000 $241 67
420 E Washington St 0.32mi 2/1.0 812 (+6%) 11mo $70,000 $86 66
515 Catalpa Dr 0.40mi 2/1.0 716 (-6%) 6mo $180,000 $251 66
414 Fairlawn Dr 0.11mi 3/2.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 9mo $275,000 $318 57
324 N Prospect Dr 0.17mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 11mo $240,000 $278 57
423 Bellevue Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 850 (+11%) 13mo $200,000 $235 56
411 Bellevue Dr 0.08mi 3/2.0 (+1) 850 (+11%) 19mo $192,000 $226 53
536 Arbor Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 864 (+13%) 8mo $260,000 $301 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$13,620
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
18.6%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$56,089
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60073

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
5.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,986 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$286 /mo · $3,432/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$417
Net cashflow
$547

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,294
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $621 -5% $584 +0% $547 +5% $510 +10% $473
Rent -10% $390 -5% $469 +0% $547 +5% $625 +10% $704
Rate -1.0pp $612 -0.5pp $580 base $547 +0.5pp $513 +1.0pp $479

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
426 Alpine Dr Round Lake, IL 3.0 1.0 957 $2,000 $2.09 5d 1 0.60mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active 45 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
  5. 2026-05-08
    price $130,000 668-char remark
    Show marketing remark (668 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering both comfortable living and strong rental potential. The interior features a functional layout with spacious living areas that provide flexibility for everyday living entertaining or long term rental use. The kitchen and main living spaces offer a solid foundation ready for updates or tenant occupancy. Outside you will find a nice yard with room for outdoor enjoyment gardening or gatherings. Conveniently located near parks schools shopping and transportation this property is well positioned for consistent rental demand making it a great opportunity for both investors and buyers looking to build equity and long term value.

  6. 2026-04-17
    listed $135,000 Active 668-char remark
    Show marketing remark (668 chars)

    Welcome to this inviting home offering both comfortable living and strong rental potential. The interior features a functional layout with spacious living areas that provide flexibility for everyday living entertaining or long term rental use. The kitchen and main living spaces offer a solid foundation ready for updates or tenant occupancy. Outside you will find a nice yard with room for outdoor enjoyment gardening or gatherings. Conveniently located near parks schools shopping and transportation this property is well positioned for consistent rental demand making it a great opportunity for both investors and buyers looking to build equity and long term value.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,432 · $286/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,432 · $286/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 72% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,832
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$3,432
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,907
− Management
−$1,907
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$4,873
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,169
After-tax cash flow
$5,395/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Round Lake CUSD 116
NCES district ID
1734990
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
14% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$53,477
Composite
10.35/100
National rank
#9789
State rank
#560 of 620 in IL

Livability — Round Lake Park

Score
69/100
State rank
#422
US rank
#8626

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Round Lake Park, IL
County
Lake County · 591,991 people
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
62,868
Household income
$98,514
Rent vs Own
21.9% rent · 78.1% own
Severe rent burden
1225.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
700,217 people
By 2030
693,290 · -1.0%
By 2040
673,588 · -3.8%
By 2050
643,556 · -8.1%
By 2075
562,792 · -19.6%
By 2100
457,715 · -34.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 45% White 40% Two or more races 20% Asian 7% Black 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 37% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, South Korea, Vietnam
Languages at home
56% English-only · Spanish 35% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.8) · D 59.7% · R 38.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: 19.6pp · 2024: 20.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.8 2020: D+24.1 2016: D+20.3 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+19.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.95%
Current HPI
229.1762
Rent YoY
▲ 2.87%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $130,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $135,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+2.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $3,432 · +12.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…