🏗️ New Construction
30 Crooked Ct · Ellijay, GA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Cash flow +3.4/30.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Appreciation +2.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -2.1
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this brand new 3-bedroom, 2 full bath single-wide home at 30 Crooked Ct, perfect for a young family or full-time living. This home features upgraded finishes throughout and a bright, open-concept layout that connects the beautiful kitchen to the spacious living area-ideal for everyday life and entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and modern touches that make it both functional and stylish. The primary suite offers a relaxing retreat with a large en-suite bathroom featuring a soaking tub and a separate shower. With its thoughtful design, modern upgrades, and comfortable layout, this move-in ready home is a great opportunity for anyone looking for affordable, quality living.
Key facts
- Ample cabinetry
- Soaking tub
- Separate shower
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-794 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $145k (27.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (36.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (36.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 2.6% vs local median 1.7% in Ellijay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#85 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Gilmer County (rural): math 39% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #56 of 174 in GA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mountain View Elementary (math 47% / reading 29%, grade F, #469 of 1,228 statewide, top 38%, 668 students, 67% FRL); Clear Creek Middle School (math 39% / reading 39%, grade F, #155 of 470 statewide, top 33%, 917 students, 63% FRL); Gilmer High School (math 12% / reading 38%, grade F, #181 of 424 statewide, top 43%, 1,174 students, 51% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 1223 active listings in the ZIP; 176 units permitted in Gilmer County in 2024 (74 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Gilmer County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.49% ✗
- Cap rate
- 2.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- -13.09%
- DSCR
- 0.42
- GRM
- 17.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $259,927
- List price
- $199,999
- Delta
- -23.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 465 Spring Creek Trl | 1.36mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (0%) | 7mo | $55,000 | $45 | 54 |
| 485 Banner Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,164 (-4%) | 8mo | $390,000 | $335 | 54 |
| 104 Nugget Ln | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-5%) | 6mo | $252,000 | $219 | 50 |
| 870 Morton Dr | 1.26mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,208 (-1%) | 12mo | $357,000 | $296 | 47 |
| 1765 Nugget Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+18%) | 2mo | $254,900 | $177 | 43 |
| 9503 Tails Creek Rd | 1.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+18%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $69 | 39 |
| 144 Banner Cir | 0.84mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,396 (+15%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $197 | 33 |
| 140 Jetty Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+21%) | 11mo | $259,000 | $176 | 32 |
| 220 Jetty Dr | 0.76mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,475 (+21%) | 5mo | $250,000 | $169 | 31 |
| 140 Jetty Dr | 0.76mi | 3/2.0 | 1,475 (+21%) | 11mo | $259,000 | $176 | 31 |
| 328 Morton Dr | 1.09mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-21%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $182 | 28 |
| 300 Cameron Dr | 0.77mi | 3/3.5 | 1,498 (+23%) | 10mo | $440,000 | $294 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -40.8%
- Equity multiple
- -0.27×
- Total profit
- $-92,684
- Equity at exit
- $38,756
- IRR
- -66.6%
- Equity multiple
- -1.00×
- Total profit
- $-145,764
- Equity at exit
- $22,474
Cash invested: $72,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30540
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 1223
- Price-to-rent
- 13.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,268 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$325 /mo · $3,899/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $-794
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-615 | -5% $-704 | +0% $-794 | +5% $-884 | +10% $-974 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-894 | -5% $-844 | +0% $-794 | +5% $-744 | +10% $-694 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-663 | -0.5pp $-728 | base $-794 | +0.5pp $-862 | +1.0pp $-930 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,982
- Closing costs
- $7,798
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Driveway with available open parking
- Utilities
- Well waterSeptic tankElectricity available (electric service: other)
- Home design
- Single-wide mobile/manufactured homeOne levelNew constructionFee simple ownership
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingComposition roofBlock foundation
- Exterior features
- Front porchOther exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen
- Breakfast barKitchen islandDishwasherElectric ovenElectric rangeRefrigerator
- Bedrooms
- Three main-level bedroomsSplit bedroom plan
- Flooring
- Laminate
- Bathrooms
- Two full bathroomsMaster bathroom with separate tub and shower and a soaking tub
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air conditioning
- Interior features
- Walk-in closet(s)No shared/common wallsAttic and other bonus room(s)
- Laundry & utility
- Mud room
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $199,999 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $199,999 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $199,999 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $199,999 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $199,999 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $199,999 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $199,999 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $199,999 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $199,999 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $199,999 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $199,999 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $199,999 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $199,999 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $199,999 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $199,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-07-18statusdays on market $199,999 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 84 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 83 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 82 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 81 DOM
-
2026-07-12days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 80 DOM
-
2026-07-11days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 79 DOM
-
2026-07-10days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 78 DOM
-
2026-07-09days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 77 DOM
-
2026-07-07days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 75 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 74 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 73 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 72 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 71 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 70 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 69 DOM
-
2026-06-30days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 68 DOM
-
2026-06-29days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 67 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 66 DOM
-
2026-06-28days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 65 DOM
-
2026-06-27days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 64 DOM
-
2026-06-25days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 62 DOM
-
2026-06-23days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 60 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $199,999 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,222
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,560
- − Property taxes
- −$3,899
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,218
- − Management
- −$1,218
- − Depreciation
- −$7,562
- Taxable loss
- −$14,534
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$3,488
- After-tax cash flow
- $-6,042/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This move-in ready home features a modern kitchen, two bathrooms, and a good condition exterior and interior. It has a good condition roof, siding, and foundation. The home is in good condition and ready for a new owner or tenant.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping and adding curb appeal features — Enhanced landscaping can improve the home's curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Adding smart home features — Smart home features can increase the home's value by making it more energy-efficient and convenient for potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Upgrading to more modern or energy-efficient appliances can increase the home's value and appeal to potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Adding a small shed or storage unit — A small shed or storage unit can provide additional storage space and increase the home's value by adding functionality and appeal to potential buyers or renters. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gilmer County
- NCES district ID
- 1302340
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,473
- Composite
- 31.53/100
- National rank
- #5961
- State rank
- #56 of 174 in GA
Livability — Ellijay
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #7087
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Gilmer · 31,466 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,145
- Household income
- $73,771
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 20% of renters
Population outlook (Gilmer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,466 people
- By 2030
- 32,199 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 33,034 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 33,266 · +5.7%
- By 2075
- 33,686 · +7.1%
- By 2100
- 33,792 · +7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 6% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Gilmer
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+62.6) · D 18.5% · R 81.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.0pp · 2024: -62.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+62.6 2020: R+63.5 2016: R+66.9 2012: R+63.3 2008: R+52.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.49%
- Current HPI
- 270.796
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-06-04 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-06-04 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — NEGBOR
- 2026-05-17 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2026-05-17 Pending — NEGBOR
- 2026-05-17 Contingent — FMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $199,999 FMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listed $199,999 NEGBOR
- 2026-03-23 Listed $199,999 GAMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…