111 Racine Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$133,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated 5 bedroom / 2 bath spacious home that is located for easy access to shopping, schools and entertainment. Priced to sell !
Key facts
- 6,534 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1860
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $133k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $133k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,638/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $920 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.3% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.98% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.68%
- DSCR
- 2.77
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $255,161
- List price
- $133,000
- Delta
- -47.88%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 Bur Oak Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,786 (-0%) | 22mo | $231,500 | $130 | 68 |
| 108 Bur Oak Dr | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,874 (+5%) | 21mo | $251,500 | $134 | 59 |
| 113 Pine Peak Dr | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,874 (+5%) | 17mo | $250,000 | $133 | 55 |
| 116 Pine Peak Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-5%) | 20mo | $241,000 | $141 | 54 |
| 102 Pine Peak Dr | 0.63mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,704 (-5%) | 23mo | $229,500 | $135 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.85×
- Total profit
- $68,931
- Equity at exit
- $19,831
- IRR
- 49.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.78×
- Total profit
- $215,117
- Equity at exit
- $11,499
Cash invested: $37,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,638 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$697
- Tax from tax record
- −$100 /mo · $1,196/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$554
- Net cashflow
- $1,231
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,250
- Closing costs
- $3,990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Starlight Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $3,500 | $1.87 | 13d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 423 Sampson St Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $950 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 109 Red Pine Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2087 | $3,500 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 816 Martin Luther King Jr Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,450 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $133,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $133,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $133,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $133,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $133,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $133,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $133,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $133,000 Contingent (No Show) 84 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $133,000 Contingent (No Show) 83 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $133,000 Contingent (No Show) 82 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $133,000 Contingent (No Show) 79 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $133,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $133,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $137,500 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $137,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $137,500 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-04-22price $137,500 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Updated 5 bedroom / 2 bath spacious home that is located for easy access to shopping, schools and entertainment. Priced to sell !
-
2026-03-15$139,500 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Updated 5 bedroom / 2 bath spacious home that is located for easy access to shopping, schools and entertainment. Priced to sell !
-
2022-11-02soldstatus $125,000
-
2018-12-07soldstatus $65,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great spacious, home boasting of 5 bedrooms, 2 baths with a large covered patio. This home as all you need in a great location, minutes from anything in Lafayette. Priced to sell. Property will not last long. Come by to truly appreciate.
-
2018-10-31$85,000 237-char remark
Show marketing remark (237 chars)
Great spacious, home boasting of 5 bedrooms, 2 baths with a large covered patio. This home as all you need in a great location, minutes from anything in Lafayette. Priced to sell. Property will not last long. Come by to truly appreciate.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,196 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,656
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,450
- − Property taxes
- −$1,196
- − Insurance
- −$665
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,532
- − Management
- −$2,532
- − Depreciation
- −$3,869
- Taxable income
- $13,411
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,219
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,559/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+61.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Price Changed $137,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-15 Listed $139,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2022-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2018-12-07 Sold (MLS) $65,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2018-10-31 Listed $85,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+29.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,196 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…