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22548 Lakeshore Dr
D Composite 44.43
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.1/15.0
  • DSCR +5.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

22548 Lakeshore Dr · Richton Park, IL 60471
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,289 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 1972 Est $223k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Come see this well-maintained ranch with a basement. Property has a partially finished basement with a fireplace and plenty of storage space. The living room has bay windows with a relaxing view onto the front manicured lawn. The deck in the back yard has a working hot tub for added relaxation and pleasure. This property is PRICED TO SELL Seller offering credit 5000.00 towards closing cost or upgrades. This wonderful property is in a nice community. It has curb appeal and locates near a grammar school for those wanting walking distance to school. Garage has a heater in it and plenty of cabinets for tools and storage. Property located near retail shopping and restaurants. Near I-57 and Metr

Key facts

  • Heated garage
  • Hot tub
  • Near grammar school

Tags

NEAR GRAMMAR SCHOOLHEATED GARAGEPLENTY OF CABINETSPATIOHOT TUB

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Take Cicero South to Sauk Trail to Lakeshore Dr, turn right to address
  • HOA & community: No master association fees required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Vinyl siding with frame construction; Estimated age: 51–60 years
  • Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 8125

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen approximately 12 x 9
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) with full bath, approximately 16 x 9; Bedroom (Main) approximately 12 x 14; Bedroom (Main) approximately 12 x 10
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Partially finished basement; Seven total rooms; School bus service
  • Laundry & utility: Basement laundry room approximately 9 x 5; Gas dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $201k (8.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $201k (8.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 4.3% in Richton Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#415 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rich Twp Hsd 227 (suburban): math 5% / reading 12% proficiency, ranked #577 of 620 in IL (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Colin Powell Middle Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #592 of 665 statewide, top 90%, 586 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $220k implies a 194% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $200,826 (8.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.20%
Cash-on-cash
3.23%
DSCR
1.14
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$222,997
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5110 Arquilla Dr 0.19mi 3/2.0 1,244 (-4%) 1mo $241,000 $194 81
22621 Mission Dr 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,252 (-3%) 5mo $217,000 $173 81
5208 Keith Dr 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,280 (-1%) 0mo $192,194 $150 79
22607 Mission Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,163 (-10%) 2mo $228,000 $196 72
4611 Jefferson Dr 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+1%) 6mo $249,900 $192 72
22500 Pleasant Dr 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,168 (-9%) 4mo $201,500 $173 69
4827 Imperial Dr 0.23mi 3/1.5 1,410 (+9%) 5mo $179,900 $128 67
22526 Clarendon Ave 0.31mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,325 (+3%) 4mo $239,000 $180 65
22810 East Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,175 (-9%) 5mo $167,000 $142 62
4559 Saratoga Rd 0.59mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,250 (-3%) 1mo $195,000 $156 60
22444 Adams Dr 0.40mi 3/1.5 1,415 (+10%) 5mo $184,000 $130 59
4921 Lakeshore Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,212 (-6%) 2mo $240,000 $198 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.2%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-25,129
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
-2.0%
Equity multiple
0.86×
Total profit
$-8,420
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60471

Home prices YoY
-17.5%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,008 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$175 /mo · $2,106/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$422
Net cashflow
$166

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,799
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 87%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $228 +0% $166 +5% $103 +10% $41
Rent -10% $7 -5% $86 +0% $166 +5% $245 +10% $324
Rate -1.0pp $276 -0.5pp $222 base $166 +0.5pp $109 +1.0pp $51

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
22600 Amy Dr Richton Park, IL 4.0 2.5 1721 $2,581 $1.50 4d 1 0.13mi
5051 Imperial Dr Richton Park, IL 3.0 1.5 1342 $1,800 $1.34 0d 1 0.20mi
4561 Heartland Dr Unit 3F Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 26d 1 0.42mi
5265 Arquilla Dr Richton Park, IL 3.0 2.0 1810 $1,989 $1.10 16d 1 0.42mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22400-311 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,360 $1.54 9d 1 0.95mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-514 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 1021 $1,365 $1.34 9d 1 0.95mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22411-506 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.0 882 $1,325 $1.50 9d 1 0.95mi
22501 Butterfield Rd Unit 22415-207 Richton Park, IL 2.0 1.5 944 $1,360 $1.44 9d 1 0.95mi
22015 E Churchill Dr Richton Park, IL 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,300 $1.92 26d 1 0.98mi
4200 Arlington Dr Richton Park, IL 3.0 2.0 1595 $2,061 $1.29 22d 1 1.04mi
3905 Tower Dr Richton Park, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 905 $1,795 $1.98 0d 19 1.42mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $220,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $220,000 Active 13 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 525-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    price $220,000 Active 9 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $231,000 Active 9 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $231,000 Active 8 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $231,000 Active 7 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $231,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-06-03
    days on market $231,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $231,000 Active 2 DOM
  16. 2026-06-02
    remarks 423-char remark
  17. 2026-06-01
    remarks 395-char remark
  18. 2026-06-01
    listed $231,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,106 · $175/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,550 · $296/mo
Expected delta
+$1,444/yr (+$120/mo · 68.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,099
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$2,106
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,928
− Management
−$1,928
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$1,686
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$405
After-tax cash flow
$2,393/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rich Twp Hsd 227
NCES district ID
1733420
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
12% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$56,056
Composite
8.93/100
National rank
#9885
State rank
#577 of 620 in IL

Livability — Richton Park

Score
69/100
State rank
#415
US rank
#8530

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Richton Park, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
12,848
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
12,848
Household income
$64,494
Rent vs Own
50.1% rent · 49.9% own
Severe rent burden
799.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.01%
Current HPI
226.6786
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+208.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Listed $231,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1986-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,106 · -26.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…