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17926 Hermosa Rd Fourplex
C+ Composite 64.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.8/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0

$624,999

17926 Hermosa Rd · Adelanto, CA 92301
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,224 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 117 Days on market
Built 1985 7,102 sqft lot Est $629k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

Key facts

  • 7,102 sq ft lot
  • 4 garage spots
  • Built 1985

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: No assessments detail (listed as Unknown)
  • Financial info: Total of 4 residential units; Total building area reported as 3,224 (units not displayed); Gross scheduled income listed as $4,099; Individual unit rents reported: $800; $999; $1,150; $1,150
  • HOA & community: Suburban community

Exterior

  • Parking: Total of 4 parking spaces; Four garage spaces (1 garage space allocated per unit)
  • Security: No security features provided
  • Utilities: Public/District water; Septic system (type unknown); One separate water meter; Four separate gas meters; Four separate electric meters
  • Home design: Attached property; Two-story building; 2+ shared/common walls
  • Construction: One building; Year built source: Assessor
  • Exterior features: No pool; Lot size in the 6,500–9,999 sq ft range

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliance details provided
  • Bedrooms: Units include 2-bedroom layouts
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: Each unit has 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating or cooling details provided
  • Interior features: Two levels; Second-floor entry
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry features listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $625k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $281/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $625k).
  • Recommended offer: $569k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.2% in Adelanto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 47/100 on livability (#1,250 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Victor Valley Union High (urban): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #407 of 517 in CA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 615 active listings in the ZIP; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $6,330/mo this rent would consume 111% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 1345% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $67k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $62k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $175k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$107k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($569k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $310k; list at $625k implies a 102% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $568,749 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
8.45%
Cash-on-cash
7.69%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$628,680
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
10943 Aztec Ln 0.04mi 8/4.0 3,224 (0%) 19mo $643,500 $200 83
18140 Poinciana Rd 0.25mi 8/5.0 3,338 (+4%) 6mo $650,000 $195 73
18202 Casaba Rd 0.34mi 8/6.0 3,312 (+3%) 24mo $570,000 $172 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 4.68% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.5%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$422,566
Equity at exit
$563,049
10-year hold
IRR
26.9%
Equity multiple
7.92×
Total profit
$1,211,470
Equity at exit
$1,214,236

Cash invested: $175,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92301

Home prices YoY
10.0%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
615
Price-to-rent
32.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,330 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,278
Tax from tax record
$341 /mo · $4,087/yr
Insurance
$260
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,329
Net cashflow
$1,122

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,910
Max offer price $624,999
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,476 -5% $1,299 +0% $1,122 +5% $945 +10% $768
Rent -10% $622 -5% $872 +0% $1,122 +5% $1,372 +10% $1,622
Rate -1.0pp $1,437 -0.5pp $1,281 base $1,122 +0.5pp $960 +1.0pp $795

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $6,330

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$156,250
Closing costs
$18,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $624,999 Active 117 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $624,999 Active 116 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $624,999 Active 115 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $624,999 Active 114 DOM
  5. 2026-02-06
    listed $624,999 Active
  6. 2018-10-10
    soldstatus $310,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  7. 2018-10-10
    soldstatus $310,000 Closed Sale 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  8. 2018-10-10
    soldstatus $310,000
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  9. 2018-08-31
    status Pending Sale 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  10. 2018-06-18
    price $335,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  11. 2018-04-13
    price $325,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  12. 2018-03-16
    listed $335,000 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  13. 2018-03-16
    listed $345,000 Active 194-char remark
    Show marketing remark (194 chars)

    GREAT INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY. TWO BUILDINGS, 17926 , 17928 HERMOSA ROAD, EACH BUILDING HAS 4 UNITS, TOTAL 8 UNITS, PRICE TO BE $670000. ALL 2 BEDROOM, 1 BATH, 1 CAR GARAGE. HAS TO SOLD TOGETHER.

  14. 2016-02-19
    soldstatus $370,000
  15. 2016-02-18
    historical
  16. 2016-02-18
    soldstatus $185,000 Closed Sale
  17. 2016-02-18
    soldstatus $185,000
  18. 2016-01-29
    status Pending Sale
  19. 2015-12-08
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2015-10-19
    listed $200,000 Active
  21. 2015-10-18
    listed $200,000
  22. 2014-06-06
    historical
  23. 2014-05-23
    soldstatus $146,000
  24. 2014-03-11
    listed $139,950 Active
  25. 2013-12-04
    historical Hold
  26. 2013-10-04
    status Active
  27. 2013-10-04
    historical Hold
  28. 2013-09-13
    listed $165,000 Active
  29. 2008-01-01
    historical
  30. 2008-01-01
    historical
  31. 2007-07-27
    listed $469,900
  32. 2007-07-27
    listed $469,900
  33. 2004-12-20
    soldstatus $249,900
  34. 2004-12-20
    soldstatus $250,000
  35. 2004-12-20
    soldstatus $250,000
  36. 2004-09-02
    listed $249,900
  37. 2000-12-22
    soldstatus $53,000
  38. 2000-12-22
    soldstatus $53,000
  39. 1989-06-23
    soldstatus $145,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,087 · $341/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,750 · $396/mo
Expected delta
+$663/yr (+$55/mo · 16.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 8/10 Severe 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$75,960
− Mortgage interest
−$35,010
− Property taxes
−$4,087
− Insurance
−$3,125
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,077
− Management
−$6,077
− Depreciation
−$18,182
Taxable income
$3,403
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$817
After-tax cash flow
$12,649/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Victor Valley Union High
NCES district ID
0636972
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 6.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$45,112
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8296
State rank
#407 of 517 in CA

Livability — Adelanto

Score
47/100
State rank
#1250
US rank
#26338

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Adelanto, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
38,577
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
38,577
Household income
$68,676
Rent vs Own
37.8% rent · 62.2% own
Severe rent burden
1345.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (69%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 69% Two or more races 34% Black 15% White 9% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 58%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada
Languages at home
52% English-only · Spanish 46%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 41.09%
Current HPI
453.6071
Rent YoY
▲ 4.68%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+331.0% since first listed
35 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $624,999 CRMLS
  • 2018-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $310,000 Public Records
  • 2018-10-10 Sold (MLS) $310,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-10-10 Sold (MLS) $310,000 SDMLS
  • 2018-08-31 Pending CRMLS
  • 2018-06-18 Price Changed $335,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-04-13 Price Changed $325,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-03-16 Listed $345,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-03-16 Listed $335,000 SDMLS
  • 2016-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
  • 2016-02-18 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2016-02-18 Sold (MLS) $185,000 SDMLS
  • 2016-02-18 Sold (MLS) $185,000 CRMLS
  • 2016-01-29 Pending CRMLS
  • 2015-12-08 Contingent CRMLS
  • 2015-10-19 Listed $200,000 CRMLS
  • 2015-10-18 Listed $200,000 SDMLS
  • 2014-06-06 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2014-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $146,000 Public Records
  • 2014-03-11 Listed $139,950 CRMLS
  • 2013-12-04 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2013-10-04 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2013-10-04 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2013-09-13 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
  • 2008-01-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2008-01-01 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Listed $469,900 CRMLS
  • 2007-07-27 Listed $469,900 CRMLS
  • 2004-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2004-12-20 Sold (MLS) $250,000 CRMLS
  • 2004-12-20 Sold (MLS) $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2004-09-02 Listed $249,900 CRMLS
  • 2000-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
  • 2000-12-22 Sold (MLS) $53,000 CRMLS
  • 1989-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $145,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,087 · +7.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…