104 Beavers Bend Dr · Gunter, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.9/30.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.3/10.0
- DSCR +0.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$1,075,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!
Key facts
- One acre lot
- Peaceful pond views
- Gourmet kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
- HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association; HOA managed by Woods of Preston; Annual association fee of $350 (includes grounds maintenance)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Additional parking available
- Utilities: Aerobic septic; City water; Propane; Not in a municipal utility district
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
- Construction: Built in 2021
- Exterior features: Private pool; 1.0-acre lot; Subdivision: Woodlands Of Preston
Interior
- Kitchen: Built-in coffee maker; Built-in gas range; Built-in refrigerator; Gas cooktop
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with dual sinks, ensuite bath, garden tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet(s)
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Smart home features (app or pass supported)
- Interior features: Built-in features; Two living areas; Two dining areas; Three total rooms (not including bedrooms/bathrooms)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $1.07M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $703k (34.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $680k (36.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $680k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 1.9% in Gunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Gunter ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #103 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Gunter El (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 414 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $115k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $108k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$185k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.63% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.39%
- DSCR
- 0.63
- GRM
- 13.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $857,856
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 325 Waterview Dr | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 | 3,402 (+2%) | 10mo | $834,888 | $245 | 75 |
| 130 Meadow Ln | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 | 3,382 (+1%) | 1mo | $875,000 | $259 | 70 |
| 115 Knoll Trl | 0.33mi | 4/3.5 | 3,132 (-6%) | 3mo | $849,900 | $271 | 68 |
| 170 Meadow Ln | 0.48mi | 4/3.0 | 3,441 (+3%) | 2mo | $885,544 | $257 | 66 |
| 335 Waterview Dr | 0.21mi | 4/3.0 | 3,014 (-10%) | 2mo | $800,199 | $265 | 66 |
| 111 Whispering Winds Dr | 0.62mi | 4/4.0 | 3,246 (-3%) | 1mo | $724,900 | $223 | 63 |
| 136 Whispering Winds Dr | 0.28mi | 4/3.0 | 3,691 (+10%) | 6mo | $824,950 | $224 | 58 |
| 150 Waterview Dr | 0.44mi | 4/3.0 | 3,021 (-10%) | 2mo | $774,789 | $256 | 55 |
| 170 Waterview Dr | 0.33mi | 4/3.0 | 3,009 (-10%) | 11mo | $749,888 | $249 | 53 |
| 105 Knoll Trl | 0.35mi | 5/4.5 (+1) | 3,715 (+11%) | 12mo | $949,000 | $255 | 50 |
| 160 Waterview Dr | 0.44mi | 4/2.5 | 2,862 (-15%) | 2mo | $684,999 | $239 | 45 |
| 1264 Mackey Rd | 0.53mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,009 (-10%) | 3mo | $2,475,000 | $823 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.50×
- Total profit
- $451,565
- Equity at exit
- $968,445
- IRR
- 17.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.77×
- Total profit
- $1,435,455
- Equity at exit
- $2,088,489
Cash invested: $301,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75058
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Active inventory
- 201
- Price-to-rent
- 13.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$5,637
- Tax from tax record
- −$1,362 /mo · $16,347/yr
- Insurance
- −$448
- HOA
- −$29
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,428
- Net cashflow
- $-2,105
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $268,750
- Closing costs
- $32,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 300 Waterview Dr Gunter, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2784 | $6,800 | $2.44 | 15d | 1 | 0.14mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $29 · $348/yr
- Likely covers
- internetpool
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $1,075,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $1,075,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $1,075,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $1,075,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $1,075,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $1,075,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $1,075,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $1,075,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $1,075,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,075,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $1,075,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,075,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,075,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-22$1,075,000 Active
-
2020-09-03soldstatus
-
2012-10-03soldstatus
-
2012-10-02soldstatus Closed 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!
-
2012-09-12status Pending 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!
-
2012-01-23$14,900 Active 365-char remark
Show marketing remark (365 chars)
Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!
-
2012-01-01historical
-
2011-03-12$19,900 Active
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2011-01-01historical
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2010-03-14$29,950 Active
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2004-01-12historical
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2003-02-19$29,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $16,347 · $1,362/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $19,672 · $1,639/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,326/yr (+$277/mo · 20.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $81,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$60,217
- − Property taxes
- −$16,347
- − Insurance
- −$5,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,528
- − Management
- −$6,528
- − HOA
- −$348
- − Depreciation
- −$31,273
- Taxable loss
- −$45,015
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$10,804
- After-tax cash flow
- $-14,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gunter ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4821960
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,375
- Composite
- 47.63/100
- National rank
- #2254
- State rank
- #103 of 826 in TX
Livability — Gunter
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #236
- US rank
- #5729
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gunter, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,614
Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 134,540 people
- By 2030
- 138,653 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 145,958 · +8.5%
- By 2050
- 151,218 · +12.4%
- By 2075
- 161,802 · +20.3%
- By 2100
- 159,036 · +18.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 18% Black 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 18%
Political lean MEDSL · Grayson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 18.56%
- Current HPI
- 309.3751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+3495.3% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $1,075,000 NTREIS
- 2020-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-10-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-10-02 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2012-09-12 Pending — NTREIS
- 2012-01-23 Listed $14,900 NTREIS
- 2012-01-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2011-03-12 Listed $19,900 NTREIS
- 2011-01-01 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2010-03-14 Listed $29,950 NTREIS
- 2004-01-12 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2003-02-19 Listed $29,900 NTREIS
Property tax history
+22.9%/yrLatest (2025): $16,347 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…