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104 Beavers Bend Dr
F Composite 30.85
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.3/10.0
  • DSCR +0.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$1,075,000

104 Beavers Bend Dr · Gunter, TX 75058
4 bd · 4.5 ba · 3,351 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 21 Days on market
Built 2021 1.00 ac lot Est $858k · 25% over $29/mo HOA

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!

Key facts

  • One acre lot
  • Peaceful pond views
  • Gourmet kitchen

Tags

CUSTOM BUILT HOMEONE ACRE LOTPEACEFUL POND VIEWSGOURMET KITCHENPRIVATE ENSUITE BATHROOMOVERSIZED BACK PATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage indicated
  • HOA & community: Mandatory homeowners association; HOA managed by Woods of Preston; Annual association fee of $350 (includes grounds maintenance)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Covered parking for 2 vehicles; Additional parking available
  • Utilities: Aerobic septic; City water; Propane; Not in a municipal utility district
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half story
  • Construction: Built in 2021
  • Exterior features: Private pool; 1.0-acre lot; Subdivision: Woodlands Of Preston

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in coffee maker; Built-in gas range; Built-in refrigerator; Gas cooktop
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on level 1 with dual sinks, ensuite bath, garden tub, separate shower, and walk-in closet(s)
  • Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Smart home features (app or pass supported)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Two living areas; Two dining areas; Three total rooms (not including bedrooms/bathrooms)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/4.5-bath single-family listed at $1.07M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2k ($-25k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $703k (34.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $680k (36.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $680k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.9% vs local median 1.9% in Gunter — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#236 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Gunter ISD (rural): math 47% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #103 of 826 in TX (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Gunter El (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #621 of 4,322 statewide, top 15%, 414 students, 23% FRL) — zoned schools at 23% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 201 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,272 units permitted in Grayson County in 2024 (750 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $115k of equity ($7k loan paydown + $108k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Grayson County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$185k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($1.06M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $680,000 (36.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.63%
Cap rate
3.94%
Cash-on-cash
-8.39%
DSCR
0.63
GRM
13.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$857,856
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
325 Waterview Dr 0.18mi 4/3.0 3,402 (+2%) 10mo $834,888 $245 75
130 Meadow Ln 0.48mi 4/3.0 3,382 (+1%) 1mo $875,000 $259 70
115 Knoll Trl 0.33mi 4/3.5 3,132 (-6%) 3mo $849,900 $271 68
170 Meadow Ln 0.48mi 4/3.0 3,441 (+3%) 2mo $885,544 $257 66
335 Waterview Dr 0.21mi 4/3.0 3,014 (-10%) 2mo $800,199 $265 66
111 Whispering Winds Dr 0.62mi 4/4.0 3,246 (-3%) 1mo $724,900 $223 63
136 Whispering Winds Dr 0.28mi 4/3.0 3,691 (+10%) 6mo $824,950 $224 58
150 Waterview Dr 0.44mi 4/3.0 3,021 (-10%) 2mo $774,789 $256 55
170 Waterview Dr 0.33mi 4/3.0 3,009 (-10%) 11mo $749,888 $249 53
105 Knoll Trl 0.35mi 5/4.5 (+1) 3,715 (+11%) 12mo $949,000 $255 50
160 Waterview Dr 0.44mi 4/2.5 2,862 (-15%) 2mo $684,999 $239 45
1264 Mackey Rd 0.53mi 5/3.0 (+1) 3,009 (-10%) 3mo $2,475,000 $823 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$451,565
Equity at exit
$968,445
10-year hold
IRR
17.1%
Equity multiple
5.77×
Total profit
$1,435,455
Equity at exit
$2,088,489

Cash invested: $301,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75058

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Active inventory
201
Price-to-rent
13.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$6,800 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$5,637
Tax from tax record
$1,362 /mo · $16,347/yr
Insurance
$448
HOA
$29
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,428
Net cashflow
$-2,105

Break-even live

Break-even rent $9,464
Max offer price $703,221
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$268,750
Closing costs
$32,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Waterview Dr Gunter, TX 4.0 3.0 2784 $6,800 $2.44 15d 1 0.14mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$29 · $348/yr
Likely covers
internetpool

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 12 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 11 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 10 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 7 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 6 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 5 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 4 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,075,000 Active 3 DOM
  14. 2026-05-22
    listed $1,075,000 Active
  15. 2020-09-03
    soldstatus
  16. 2012-10-03
    soldstatus
  17. 2012-10-02
    soldstatus Closed 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!

  18. 2012-09-12
    status Pending 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!

  19. 2012-01-23
    listed $14,900 Active 365-char remark
    Show marketing remark (365 chars)

    Beautiful building lot, an ideal spot for your dream home. Located on a limited traffic street, nice buffer of trees creates private feel. Several very nice custom homes in immediate area. This is one of the last remaining opportunities to buy a one acre homesite as all new developments will be much smaller lots. Community pool and clubhouse. High speed internet!

  20. 2012-01-01
    historical
  21. 2011-03-12
    listed $19,900 Active
  22. 2011-01-01
    historical
  23. 2010-03-14
    listed $29,950 Active
  24. 2004-01-12
    historical
  25. 2003-02-19
    listed $29,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$16,347 · $1,362/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$19,672 · $1,639/mo
Expected delta
+$3,326/yr (+$277/mo · 20.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$81,600
− Mortgage interest
−$60,217
− Property taxes
−$16,347
− Insurance
−$5,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$6,528
− Management
−$6,528
− HOA
−$348
− Depreciation
−$31,273
Taxable loss
−$45,015
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$10,804
After-tax cash flow
$-14,451/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gunter ISD
NCES district ID
4821960
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
58% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$79,375
Composite
47.63/100
National rank
#2254
State rank
#103 of 826 in TX

Livability — Gunter

Score
72/100
State rank
#236
US rank
#5729

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gunter, TX
Population (ZIP)
3,614

Population outlook (Grayson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
134,540 people
By 2030
138,653 · +3.1%
By 2040
145,958 · +8.5%
By 2050
151,218 · +12.4%
By 2075
161,802 · +20.3%
By 2100
159,036 · +18.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Hispanic / Latino 21% Two or more races 18% Black 1% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 18%

Political lean MEDSL · Grayson

2024 margin
Solid R (+54.3) · D 22.5% · R 76.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.4pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -54.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+54.3 2020: R+49.9 2016: R+53.1 2012: R+48.0 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 18.56%
Current HPI
309.3751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3495.3% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $1,075,000 NTREIS
  • 2020-09-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2012-10-02 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2012-09-12 Pending NTREIS
  • 2012-01-23 Listed $14,900 NTREIS
  • 2012-01-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2011-03-12 Listed $19,900 NTREIS
  • 2011-01-01 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2010-03-14 Listed $29,950 NTREIS
  • 2004-01-12 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2003-02-19 Listed $29,900 NTREIS

Property tax history

+22.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $16,347 · -1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…