3531 Glenn Ave · Sioux City, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.9/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Up/Down duplex with 2 car detached garage for main floor renter. Large lot for parking. Driveway from Glenn Ave plus alley access.
Key facts
- Large lot
- Driveway access
- Detached garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $115 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (5.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (5.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 3.7% in Sioux City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#138 in IA, #2,544 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F.
- Sioux City Community School District (urban): math 54% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #264 of 289 in IA (top 91%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Morningside Elementary (math 63% / reading 57%, grade B-, #388 of 616 statewide, top 63%, 652 students, 68% FRL); East Middle School (math 60% / reading 67%, grade B+, #169 of 246 statewide, top 69%, 1,067 students, 65% FRL); East High School (math 53% / reading 63%, grade C, #275 of 336 statewide, top 83%, 1,495 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: 204 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 170 units permitted in Woodbury County in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.81%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $208,800
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2540 S Glass St | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,370 (-2%) | 4mo | $177,300 | $129 | 83 |
| 3324 5th Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,393 (+0%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $144 | 80 |
| 2521 S Cornelia St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,468 (+6%) | 0mo | $220,000 | $150 | 77 |
| 2307 S Saint Aubin | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,357 (-2%) | 1mo | $205,000 | $151 | 75 |
| 2111 S Newton St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,497 (+8%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $150 | 68 |
| 3207 Glenn Ave | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,226 (-12%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $106 | 61 |
| 3209 6th Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,537 (+10%) | 3mo | $232,500 | $151 | 59 |
| 3415 4th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-14%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $126 | 52 |
| 2933 S Coral St | 0.60mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,518 (+9%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $142 | 47 |
| 4416 Cherrywood Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,567 (+13%) | 3mo | $279,950 | $179 | 44 |
| 1604 S Royce St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-10%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $244 | 42 |
| 2933 S Saint Marys St | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,575 (+13%) | 6mo | $240,000 | $152 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-21,042
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-8,873
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 51106
- Active inventory
- 204
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,647 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax from tax record
- −$196 /mo · $2,348/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$346
- Net cashflow
- $115
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $214 | -5% $164 | +0% $115 | +5% $65 | +10% $16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-15 | -5% $50 | +0% $115 | +5% $180 | +10% $245 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $203 | -0.5pp $159 | base $115 | +0.5pp $69 | +1.0pp $23 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2807 Lincoln Way Sioux City, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,245 | $1.13 | 45d | 4 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-19$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,348 · $196/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,548 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$200/yr (+$17/mo · 8.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,762
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,348
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,581
- − Management
- −$1,581
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$1,517
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$364
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,740/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux City Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1926400
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,967
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2371
- State rank
- #264 of 289 in IA
Livability — Sioux City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #2544
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux City, IA
- County
- Woodbury County · 51,789 people
- City population
- 51,789
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,592
- Household income
- $78,434
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 891.0
Population outlook (Woodbury County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 103,226 people
- By 2030
- 103,060 · -0.2%
- By 2040
- 102,533 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 102,788 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 107,227 · +3.9%
- By 2100
- 113,980 · +10.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Black 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Iranian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 8% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Woodbury
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+23.0) · D 37.8% · R 60.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.5pp toward R · 2008: -0.5pp · 2024: -23.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+23.0 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+19.9 2012: R+0.2 2008: R+0.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.61%
- Current HPI
- 229.6733
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Sioux City, IA-NE-SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NWIA
- 2026-04-19 Listed $175,000 NWIA
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,348 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…