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309 John St
B Composite 74.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • Schools +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$155,000

309 John St · Decorah, IA 52101
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,439 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1880 0.26 ac lot $108/sqft · 32% below area Est $229k · 32% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Bring your ideas and unlock the potential at 309 John St in Decorah! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers ready to invest some TLC and make it their own. With cement board siding and vinyl replacement windows already in place, some of the heavy lifting has been started. Inside, you’ll find hardwood floors waiting to be refreshed, a practical main floor bedroom and laundry; a flexible layout with room to grow. The home features both a welcoming covered front porch and a relaxing rear screened porch—perfect for enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Situated on a generous, wooded lot of over a quarter acre, the setting feels private and park-like, yet you're just blocks from schools and downtown Decorah. A solid opportunity for renovation, customization, and building long-term value. Call today!

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Cement board siding
  • Rear screened porch

Tags

CEMENT BOARD SIDINGVINYL REPLACEMENT WINDOWSHARDWOOD FLOORSMAIN FLOOR BEDROOMCOVERED FRONT PORCHREAR SCREENED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $427 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 3.4% in Decorah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#16 in IA, #499 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Decorah Community School District (town): math 80% / reading 84% proficiency, ranked #21 of 289 in IA (top 7%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 49 units permitted in Winneshiek County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Winneshiek County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $155k implies a 69% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $145,700 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
9.60%
Cash-on-cash
11.81%
DSCR
1.53
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$229,254
List price
$155,000
Delta
-32.39%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
401 William St 0.09mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,326 (-8%) 2mo $160,000 $121 72
405 Washington St 0.18mi 4/1.5 1,279 (-11%) 1mo $199,000 $156 70
608 Day St. St 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,354 (-6%) 14mo $280,000 $207 66
201 Hollihan St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,407 (-2%) 10mo $222,000 $158 64
602 Center Ave 0.43mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,451 (+1%) 10mo $242,000 $167 63
111 N Mill St St 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-3%) 3mo $265,000 $189 63
818 E Main St 0.39mi 4/2.0 1,600 (+11%) 1mo $270,000 $169 62
510 W Main St 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,482 (+3%) 14mo $330,000 $223 61
110 Monroe St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,521 (+6%) 4mo $247,000 $162 50
509 Center Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,608 (+12%) 10mo $255,000 $159 49
610 E Broadway St 0.22mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,242 (-14%) 13mo $202,900 $163 47
609 Winneshiek Ave 0.48mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,650 (+15%) 14mo $285,000 $173 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,133
Equity at exit
$23,111
10-year hold
IRR
10.9%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$37,084
Equity at exit
$13,402

Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52101

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
6.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,939 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$813
Tax from tax record
$228 /mo · $2,732/yr
Insurance
$65
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$407
Net cashflow
$427

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,399
Max offer price $155,000
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $515 -5% $471 +0% $427 +5% $383 +10% $339
Rent -10% $274 -5% $350 +0% $427 +5% $504 +10% $580
Rate -1.0pp $505 -0.5pp $466 base $427 +0.5pp $387 +1.0pp $346

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$38,750
Closing costs
$4,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
405 Washington St Decorah, IA 4.0 1.5 1279 $1,800 $1.41 3d 1 0.16mi
510 W Main St Decorah, IA 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,200 $1.48 24d 1 0.48mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $155,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $155,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $155,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $155,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $155,000 Active 75 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $155,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $155,000 Active 71 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $155,000 Active 70 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $155,000 Active 69 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $155,000 Active 65 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $155,000 Active 64 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $155,000 Active 63 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 62 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
  15. 2026-04-16
    price $155,000 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    Bring your ideas and unlock the potential at 309 John St in Decorah! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers ready to invest some TLC and make it their own. With cement board siding and vinyl replacement windows already in place, some of the heavy lifting has been started. Inside, you’ll find hardwood floors waiting to be refreshed, a practical main floor bedroom and laundry; a flexible layout with room to grow. The home features both a welcoming covered front porch and a relaxing rear screened porch—perfect for enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Situated on a generous, wooded lot of over a quarter acre, the setting feels private and park-like, yet you're just blocks from schools and downtown Decorah. A solid opportunity for renovation, customization, and building long-term value. Call today!

  16. 2026-03-30
    listed $165,000 Active 851-char remark
    Show marketing remark (851 chars)

    Bring your ideas and unlock the potential at 309 John St in Decorah! This spacious 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers a great opportunity for buyers ready to invest some TLC and make it their own. With cement board siding and vinyl replacement windows already in place, some of the heavy lifting has been started. Inside, you’ll find hardwood floors waiting to be refreshed, a practical main floor bedroom and laundry; a flexible layout with room to grow. The home features both a welcoming covered front porch and a relaxing rear screened porch—perfect for enjoying the peaceful surroundings. Situated on a generous, wooded lot of over a quarter acre, the setting feels private and park-like, yet you're just blocks from schools and downtown Decorah. A solid opportunity for renovation, customization, and building long-term value. Call today!

  17. 2017-07-20
    soldstatus $91,500
  18. 2017-06-15
    soldstatus $91,854 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Fantastic downtown Decorah location! You can have a lot of space with this 3 bedroom home, 2 bathrooms, an office, as well as two large living spaces on the main level. Recent renovations have made a nice impact on this home, continue upgrading this home to make it yours. Affordable housing or investment opportunity. Nice yard and walking distance to many things including downtown, parks, and schools.

  19. 2017-04-07
    listed $85,000 405-char remark
    Show marketing remark (405 chars)

    Fantastic downtown Decorah location! You can have a lot of space with this 3 bedroom home, 2 bathrooms, an office, as well as two large living spaces on the main level. Recent renovations have made a nice impact on this home, continue upgrading this home to make it yours. Affordable housing or investment opportunity. Nice yard and walking distance to many things including downtown, parks, and schools.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,732 · $228/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,732 · $228/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,273
− Mortgage interest
−$8,682
− Property taxes
−$2,732
− Insurance
−$775
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,862
− Management
−$1,862
− Depreciation
−$4,509
Taxable income
$2,851
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$684
After-tax cash flow
$4,440/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decorah Community School District
NCES district ID
1908730
Math proficiency
80% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
84% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$54,304
Composite
69.72/100
National rank
#294
State rank
#21 of 289 in IA

Livability — Decorah

Score
85/100
State rank
#16
US rank
#499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decorah, IA
County
Winneshiek County · 12,706 people
City population
12,706
Metro
nan
Population (ZIP)
12,706
Household income
$73,484
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
207.0

Population outlook (Winneshiek County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,379 people
By 2030
19,937 · -2.2%
By 2040
18,697 · -8.3%
By 2050
17,392 · -14.7%
By 2075
14,921 · -26.8%
By 2100
12,836 · -37.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (95%)
Race & ethnicity
White 95% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 25% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winneshiek

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.3) · D 44.6% · R 53.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.9pp toward R · 2008: 22.7pp · 2024: -9.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.3 2020: R+5.1 2016: R+0.8 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+22.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -69.20%
Current HPI
189.63
Rent YoY
Metro
nan
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+82.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $155,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $165,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2017-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $91,500 Public Records
  • 2017-06-15 Sold (MLS) $91,854 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2017-04-07 Listed $85,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,732 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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