749 Chambers Rd · Commerce, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Country Living Potential: Fixer-Upper on 2 Acres Bring Your Toolbox! 2-Acre Homestead with Unlimited Potential! Description: Discover the serenity of country living on this private 2-acre parcel, offering the perfect canvas for your dream homestead! Situated far from the hustle and bustle, this property features a 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home that is ready for a complete transformation. The Land: Enjoy total privacy with a mix of open, grassy areas and mature trees, providing ample space for gardening, livestock, a new shop, or an oversized chicken coop. The property has excellent, versatile space for all your outdoor aspirations. The Home: This fixer-upper is a “hand
Key facts
- Instant living space
- 2 acre lot
- Parking
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Cable available; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Phone available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Double-wide mobile home; Single-level (one story); Habitable residence; Suitable for agricultural, mobile home, or residential use
- Construction: Property listed as fixer condition
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Deck; Front porch; Side porch; Outbuilding and shed(s); Mixed timber; Grassed, open, and partially wooded vegetation; Paved road frontage on a county road
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen (appliances not specified)
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Interior features: Separate tub and shower in master bathroom; Living room; Kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (15.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (15.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.3% in Commerce — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#271 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Banks County (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #75 of 174 in GA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Banks County Primary School (706 students, 56% FRL); Banks County Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 641 students, 54% FRL); Banks County High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 857 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Banks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Banks County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask is 14% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $85k; list at $200k implies a 135% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.08%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.11×
- Total profit
- $117,940
- Equity at exit
- $180,086
- IRR
- 23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.07×
- Total profit
- $339,941
- Equity at exit
- $388,362
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30530
- Home prices YoY
- 12.5%
- Active inventory
- 74
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,698 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $797/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $257 | -5% $200 | +0% $144 | +5% $87 | +10% $31 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $10 | -5% $77 | +0% $144 | +5% $211 | +10% $278 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $244 | -0.5pp $195 | base $144 | +0.5pp $92 | +1.0pp $39 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $199,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $219,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $219,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $219,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $219,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $219,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricestatusdays on market $219,900 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 49 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 47 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 43 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 42 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 41 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active Under Contract 39 DOM
-
2026-04-28status Active Under Contract
-
2026-04-15$175,000 Active
-
2026-04-14historical $175,000
-
2005-03-01soldstatus $85,000
-
2004-09-01soldstatus $74,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $797 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,839 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,043/yr (+$87/mo · 130.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,381
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$797
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,630
- − Management
- −$1,630
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$1,689
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$405
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,131/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Banks County
- NCES district ID
- 1300240
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,507
- Composite
- 27.85/100
- National rank
- #6878
- State rank
- #75 of 174 in GA
Livability — Commerce
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #271
- US rank
- #14693
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 12,874
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,360
Population outlook (Banks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,448 people
- By 2030
- 18,157 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 17,193 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 15,951 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 13,472 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 11,562 · -37.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Black 4% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Banks
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+78.2) · D 10.8% · R 89.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: -65.6pp · 2024: -78.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+78.2 2020: R+78.0 2016: R+78.4 2012: R+73.9 2008: R+65.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 40.98%
- Current HPI
- 367.9851
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+133.6% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Relisted — FMLS
- 2026-04-15 Listed $175,000 FMLS
- 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $175,000 FMLS
- 2005-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $797 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…