2208 Emma Ln · Jasper, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment Opportunity! Jasper City Limits. Don't miss out on this 2 bedroom/1 bath home + 2 bedroom/1 bath mobile home. With a little TLC you could use both as a rental, live in one & rent the other or live in one and have a guest house. Property is being sold as-is/where is.
Key facts
- 1.6 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1940
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $311 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($831 rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Jasper City (town): math 27% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #23 of 129 in AL (top 18%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.63%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,728
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -44.28%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1506 W 21st St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 1,016 (+6%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $30 | 52 |
| 1311 Vineland Drive Dr | 0.35mi | 2/1.5 | 1,036 (+8%) | 23mo | $126,000 | $122 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.84×
- Total profit
- $11,699
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.55×
- Total profit
- $35,720
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35501
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $831 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $750/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$174
- Net cashflow
- $311
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2202 12th Ave W Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 663 | $800 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 2206 12th Ave W Jasper, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $950 | $1.01 | 11d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1201 22nd St W Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $875 | $1.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 2112 Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 6 Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $900 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1209 Cherokee Rd Jasper, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1125 | $1,000 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1408 8th Ave Unit 1B Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $875 | $0.88 | 10d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1610 6th Ave S Apt 5 Jasper, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $475 | $0.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1610 6th Ave S Unit 12 Jasper, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 695 | $400 | $0.58 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1507 7th Ave Apt 1 Jasper, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $700 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-03status $50,000 Pending 167 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-03-12price $50,000 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Investment Opportunity! Jasper City Limits. Don't miss out on this 2 bedroom/1 bath home + 2 bedroom/1 bath mobile home. With a little TLC you could use both as a rental, live in one & rent the other or live in one and have a guest house. Property is being sold as-is/where is.
-
2025-12-17$60,000 Active 283-char remark
Show marketing remark (283 chars)
Investment Opportunity! Jasper City Limits. Don't miss out on this 2 bedroom/1 bath home + 2 bedroom/1 bath mobile home. With a little TLC you could use both as a rental, live in one & rent the other or live in one and have a guest house. Property is being sold as-is/where is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,968
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$750
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$797
- − Management
- −$797
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $3,118
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$748
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,980/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jasper City
- NCES district ID
- 0101890
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,476
- Composite
- 34.4/100
- National rank
- #5204
- State rank
- #23 of 129 in AL
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #17152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jasper, AL
- County
- Walker County · 9,927 people
- City population
- 9,927
- Metro
- Jasper, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,927
- Household income
- $54,726
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 192.0
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.31%
- Current HPI
- 180.8506
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jasper, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-16.7% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $50,000 Walker County Area MLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $60,000 Walker County Area MLS
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2014): $72 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…