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2501 Emerson Ave S Triplex
D- Composite 35.58
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.3/30.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.1/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$565,000

2501 Emerson Ave S · Minneapolis, MN 55405
6 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,214 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 10 Days on market
Built 1900 Est $485k · 17% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Wedge Neighborhood Tri-plex with R5 zoning. Currently used as a short term rental property. Turn key business opportunity or excellent owner occupant option. Hardwood floors, lots of storage in the basement and large 3 car garage. Conveniently located near Downtown, the Lakes and countless bike/running trails, dining and entertainment options!

Key facts

  • Proximity to uptown
  • Wedge neighborhood
  • Built 1900

Tags

MULTI-FAMILY PROPERTYLOWRY HILL EAST NEIGHBORHOODWEDGE NEIGHBORHOODPROXIMITY TO THE LAKESPROXIMITY TO UPTOWNPROXIMITY TO DOWNTOWN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1900
  • Construction: Historic property constructed in 1900
  • Exterior features: Located in the Lowry Hill East neighborhood

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×4.0bd/2.0ba + 2×2.0bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $565k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $100 ($1k/yr) — positive. Per door: $33/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $510k (9.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $510k (9.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.1% in Minneapolis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#110 in MN, #2,525 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, crime F.
  • Minneapolis Public School District (urban): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #217 of 301 in MN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,651 units permitted in Hennepin County in 2024 (2,443 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,103/mo this rent would consume 84% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 985% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $17k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hennepin County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $510,300 (9.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.90%
Cap rate
6.51%
Cash-on-cash
0.76%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$484,866
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2417 Lyndale Ave S 0.33mi 5/5.0 (-1) 2,228 (+1%) 13mo $487,500 $219 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.93% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.3%
Equity multiple
0.43×
Total profit
$-90,515
Equity at exit
$84,243
10-year hold
IRR
-10.0%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-92,052
Equity at exit
$48,851

Cash invested: $158,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
34 Tenant-Leaning
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City Minneapolis
34 Tenant-Leaning · D+50
Tenant Opportunity to Purchase; renter's protections.

ZIP-level market 55405

Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
18.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,103 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,963
Tax from tax record
$733 /mo · $8,794/yr
Insurance
$235
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,072
Net cashflow
$100

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,976
Max offer price $565,000
Occupancy floor 93%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 4.0 2 $2,596
Total (3 units) $5,103

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$141,250
Closing costs
$16,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2808 Colfax Ave S Unit 1250755P Minneapolis, MN 5.0 3.5 2088 $6,923 $3.32 3d 1 0.39mi
911 W 31st St Unit 1 Minneapolis, MN 6.0 3.0 2200 $3,895 $1.77 43d 1 0.75mi
911 W 31st St Minneapolis, MN 6.0 3.0 2200 $3,850 $1.75 43d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $565,000 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $565,000 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $565,000 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $565,000 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $565,000 Active 5 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    listed $565,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,794 · $733/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,794 · $733/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$61,236
− Mortgage interest
−$31,649
− Property taxes
−$8,794
− Insurance
−$2,825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,899
− Management
−$4,899
− Depreciation
−$16,436
Taxable loss
−$8,266
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,984
After-tax cash flow
$3,186/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Minneapolis Public School District
NCES district ID
2721240
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$50,521
Composite
34.92/100
National rank
#5067
State rank
#217 of 301 in MN

Livability — Minneapolis

Score
78/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#2525

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime F Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Minneapolis, MN
County
Hennepin County · 1,150,272 people
City population
417,555
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
17,198
Household income
$73,053
Rent vs Own
63.7% rent · 36.3% own
Severe rent burden
985.0

Population outlook (Hennepin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,405,227 people
By 2030
1,492,650 · +6.2%
By 2040
1,660,157 · +18.1%
By 2050
1,823,498 · +29.8%
By 2075
2,221,283 · +58.1%
By 2100
2,509,976 · +78.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 25% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hennepin

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.6) · D 70.2% · R 27.5% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+14.0pp toward D · 2008: 28.6pp · 2024: 42.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.6 2020: D+43.2 2016: D+35.3 2012: D+27.1 2008: D+28.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -282.04%
Current HPI
242.8961
Rent YoY
▲ 1.93%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+534.8% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $565,000 FSBO.com
  • 2021-10-21 Sold (Public Records) $530,000 Public Records
  • 2021-06-03 Sold (MLS) $515,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-23 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-17 Price Changed $514,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-03-08 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-01-30 Price Changed $524,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-28 Price Changed $539,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-09 Price Changed $574,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-09-03 Listed $599,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-12-22 Sold (Public Records) $80,000 Public Records
  • 1998-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $160,000 Public Records
  • 1992-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $89,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,794 · +13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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