401 Kerr St · Edna, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Looking for space, potential, and a project you can make your own? This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a beautiful corner lot and offers an abundance of square footage for a growing family. With solid bones and plenty of room to customize, this property is truly a handyman's dream. Years ago, the original garage was converted into a beauty salon, creating a versatile space that could easily serve as a fourth bedroom, second living area, game room, home office, or hobby space. To accommodate the conversion, a spacious two-car garage was added, providing ample parking and storage. The home's generous layout offers endless possibilities for updating and creating the perfect space to fit your f
Key facts
- 0.4 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1956
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water (not connected at lot); Public sewer (not connected at lot)
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per assessor)
- Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Screened porch; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; City lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Some gas appliances
- Bedrooms: Bonus room
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Tub with shower; Breakfast area; See remarks
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $33k (63.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $33k (63.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.8% in Edna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#254 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Edna ISD (town): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #335 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $89k implies a 5462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.37%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,600
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 Carver St | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,135 (-5%) | 17mo | $43,900 | $39 | 50 |
| 816 Erie St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+13%) | 4mo | $174,000 | $128 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -49.5%
- Equity multiple
- -0.48×
- Total profit
- $-36,845
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- -92.7%
- Equity multiple
- -1.41×
- Total profit
- $-60,147
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77957
- Home prices YoY
- -25.8%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $-357
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-306 | -5% $-331 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-382 | +10% $-407 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-428 | -5% $-392 | +0% $-357 | +5% $-321 | +10% $-286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-312 | -0.5pp $-334 | base $-357 | +0.5pp $-380 | +1.0pp $-403 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1400 N Wells St Unit 3103 Edna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $1,025 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1400 N Wells St Unit 2207 Edna, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1189 | $920 | $0.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1400 N Wells St Unit 3307 Edna, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 935 | $825 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1400 N Wells St Unit 2304 Edna, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 885 | $785 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$89,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,649 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,801
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,649
- − Insurance
- −$5,564
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable loss
- −$5,713
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,371
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,909/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edna ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818210
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,887
- Composite
- 35.99/100
- National rank
- #4793
- State rank
- #335 of 826 in TX
Livability — Edna
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #5996
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edna, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,919
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 16,579 people
- By 2030
- 17,480 · +5.4%
- By 2040
- 19,328 · +16.6%
- By 2050
- 21,182 · +27.8%
- By 2075
- 25,781 · +55.5%
- By 2100
- 28,184 · +70.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 10% Black 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.8) · D 14.3% · R 85.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -70.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.8 2020: R+66.2 2016: R+63.7 2012: R+56.5 2008: R+47.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.92%
- Current HPI
- 169.9334
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+5462.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $89,000 CTXMLS
- 2025-03-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2014-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,649 · +35.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…