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401 Kerr St
C Composite 55.4
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

401 Kerr St · Edna, TX 77957
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1956 0.40 ac lot Est $154k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for space, potential, and a project you can make your own? This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home sits on a beautiful corner lot and offers an abundance of square footage for a growing family. With solid bones and plenty of room to customize, this property is truly a handyman's dream. Years ago, the original garage was converted into a beauty salon, creating a versatile space that could easily serve as a fourth bedroom, second living area, game room, home office, or hobby space. To accommodate the conversion, a spacious two-car garage was added, providing ample parking and storage. The home's generous layout offers endless possibilities for updating and creating the perfect space to fit your f

Key facts

  • 0.4 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1956

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water (not connected at lot); Public sewer (not connected at lot)
  • Home design: Single-story; Resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Composition/shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built (year per assessor)
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Screened porch; Chain link fencing; Corner lot; City lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Some gas appliances
  • Bedrooms: Bonus room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Tub with shower; Breakfast area; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-357 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $33k (63.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $33k (63.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.8% in Edna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#254 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Edna ISD (town): math 45% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #335 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Jackson County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $2k; list at $89k implies a 5462% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $32,973 (63.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.24%
Cash-on-cash
3.37%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$153,600
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
510 Carver St 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,135 (-5%) 17mo $43,900 $39 50
816 Erie St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,360 (+13%) 4mo $174,000 $128 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-49.5%
Equity multiple
-0.48×
Total profit
$-36,845
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
-92.7%
Equity multiple
-1.41×
Total profit
$-60,147
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77957

Home prices YoY
-25.8%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$137 /mo · $1,649/yr
Insurance
$37
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$-357

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $32,973
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-306 -5% $-331 +0% $-357 +5% $-382 +10% $-407
Rent -10% $-428 -5% $-392 +0% $-357 +5% $-321 +10% $-286
Rate -1.0pp $-312 -0.5pp $-334 base $-357 +0.5pp $-380 +1.0pp $-403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1400 N Wells St Unit 3103 Edna, TX 3.0 2.0 1189 $1,025 $0.86 44d 1 1.39mi
1400 N Wells St Unit 2207 Edna, TX 3.0 2.0 1189 $920 $0.77 44d 1 1.39mi
1400 N Wells St Unit 3307 Edna, TX 2.0 1.5 935 $825 $0.88 44d 1 1.39mi
1400 N Wells St Unit 2304 Edna, TX 2.0 2.0 885 $785 $0.89 44d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-16
    listed $89,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,649 · $137/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,801
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,649
− Insurance
−$5,564
− Repairs & maintenance
−$864
− Management
−$864
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable loss
−$5,713
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,371
After-tax cash flow
$-2,909/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Edna ISD
NCES district ID
4818210
Math proficiency
45% ▲ 3.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,887
Composite
35.99/100
National rank
#4793
State rank
#335 of 826 in TX

Livability — Edna

Score
72/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#5996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edna, TX
Population (ZIP)
8,919

Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
16,579 people
By 2030
17,480 · +5.4%
By 2040
19,328 · +16.6%
By 2050
21,182 · +27.8%
By 2075
25,781 · +55.5%
By 2100
28,184 · +70.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (60%)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 10% Black 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
82% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jackson

2024 margin
Solid R (+70.8) · D 14.3% · R 85.1%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.9pp · 2024: -70.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+70.8 2020: R+66.2 2016: R+63.7 2012: R+56.5 2008: R+47.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.92%
Current HPI
169.9334
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+5462.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $89,000 CTXMLS
  • 2025-03-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $1,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,649 · +35.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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