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220 ELK St #118
B- Composite 69.26
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Livability +2.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$67,900

220 ELK St #118 · Hemet, CA 92543
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured · 312 Days on market
Built 1981 Good condition $93/sqft · 92% above area ↓ 1% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

? Charming & Move-In Ready! This beautifully updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath home combines comfort, convenience, and style. The exterior has been freshly painted and features a brand-new porch with brick steps, covered parking for two vehicles, and a spacious low-maintenance yard. Inside, enjoy fresh paint throughout and brand-new vinyl flooring. The bright, inviting living area is filled with natural light, while the kitchen offers generous cabinet and built-in storage space and comes equipped with an oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Additional highlights include central air and heat for year-round comfort, plus in-home washer and dryer hookups.

Key facts

  • Covered parking
  • Low maintenance yard
  • Brand new porch

Tags

FRESHLY PAINTED EXTERIORBRAND NEW PORCHCOVERED PARKINGLOW MAINTENANCE YARDBRAND NEW VINYL FLOORINGGENEROUS CABINET SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $709 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $68k).
  • Recommended offer: $60k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 4.9% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 264 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $469 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 312 days — a 12% lower offer ($60k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,752 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 312 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.20%
Cap rate
18.82%
Cash-on-cash
44.74%
DSCR
2.99
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$35,363
List price
$67,900
Delta
92.01%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1895 W Devonshire Ave #135 0.60mi 2/1.0 (+1) 696 (-4%) 5mo $26,000 $37 55
260 N Lyon Ave #12 0.35mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 14mo $75,000 $94 50
332 N Lyon Ave #25 0.48mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 8mo $30,000 $38 49
260 N Lyon Ave #120 0.36mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 16mo $44,000 $55 48
332 N Lyon Ave #17 0.55mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 8mo $26,000 $33 46
270 Santa Clara Cir 0.64mi 2/1.0 (+1) 672 (-8%) 9mo $103,000 $153 45
1895 W Devonshire Ave #93 0.52mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 13mo $35,000 $44 44
281 Santa Clara Cir 0.66mi 2/1.0 (+1) 684 (-6%) 13mo $139,000 $203 43
2205 W Acacia Ave #139 0.74mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 1mo $85,000 $106 43
430 N Palm Ave #103 0.62mi 2/1.0 (+1) 832 (+14%) 2mo $47,000 $56 40
810 San Ynez Dr 0.73mi 2/2.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 3mo $85,000 $106 38
1774 Santiago Way 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 800 (+10%) 11mo $125,000 $156 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.4%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$32,331
Equity at exit
$10,124
10-year hold
IRR
46.1%
Equity multiple
5.16×
Total profit
$79,025
Equity at exit
$5,871

Cash invested: $19,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92543

Home prices YoY
-26.7%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
264
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,491 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$356
Tax est. 1.5%
$85 /mo · $1,018/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$313
Net cashflow
$709

Break-even live

Break-even rent $594
Max offer price $67,900
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,975
Closing costs
$2,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
201 N Valley View Dr Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 552 $1,500 $2.72 43d 1 0.24mi
2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,595 $1.78 1d 1 0.55mi
233 N Alessandro St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 690 $1,400 $2.03 43d 1 0.64mi
199 N Inez St Apt D Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 650 $1,300 $2.00 7d 1 0.67mi
113 E Kimball Ave Unit 2 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 500 $1,295 $2.59 43d 1 0.74mi
893 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA 2.0 2.0 720 $1,375 $1.91 4d 1 0.90mi
2770 W Devonshire Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 707 $1,625 $2.30 1d 11 1.05mi
3030 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 892 $1,595 $1.79 1d 10 1.10mi
426 N Buena Vista St Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 3d 1 1.11mi
426 N Buena Vista St Apt 1 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 680 $1,550 $2.28 7d 1 1.11mi
1025 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 890 $1,820 $2.04 1d 8 1.13mi
560 E Oakland Ave Apt P Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,325 $2.41 16d 1 1.17mi
1000 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0 500 $1,170 $2.34 1d 4 1.18mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 43d 1 1.22mi
526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,600 $2.29 17d 1 1.22mi
526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $1,650 $2.36 43d 1 1.22mi
1150 S Palm Ave Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 670 $1,534 $2.29 24d 1 1.23mi
210 N Santa Fe St Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 600 $1,300 $2.17 3d 1 1.26mi
811 E Menlo Ave Apt 12 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 24d 1 1.40mi
811 E Menlo Ave Unit 02 Hemet, CA 1.0 1.0 550 $1,300 $2.36 43d 1 1.41mi
150 S San Jacinto St Hemet, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 834 $1,445 $1.73 23d 2 1.50mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $67,900 Active 312 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $67,900 Active 311 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $67,900 Active 310 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $67,900 Active 309 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $67,900 Active 307 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $67,900 Active 303 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $67,900 Active 302 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $67,900 Active 301 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $67,900 Active 298 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $67,900 Active 297 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $67,900 Active 296 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $67,900 Active 295 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $67,900 Active 294 DOM
  14. 2025-10-28
    price $67,900 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    ? Charming & Move-In Ready! This beautifully updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath home combines comfort, convenience, and style. The exterior has been freshly painted and features a brand-new porch with brick steps, covered parking for two vehicles, and a spacious low-maintenance yard. Inside, enjoy fresh paint throughout and brand-new vinyl flooring. The bright, inviting living area is filled with natural light, while the kitchen offers generous cabinet and built-in storage space and comes equipped with an oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Additional highlights include central air and heat for year-round comfort, plus in-home washer and dryer hookups.

  15. 2025-08-10
    listed $68,900 Active 661-char remark
    Show marketing remark (661 chars)

    ? Charming & Move-In Ready! This beautifully updated 1-bedroom, 1-bath home combines comfort, convenience, and style. The exterior has been freshly painted and features a brand-new porch with brick steps, covered parking for two vehicles, and a spacious low-maintenance yard. Inside, enjoy fresh paint throughout and brand-new vinyl flooring. The bright, inviting living area is filled with natural light, while the kitchen offers generous cabinet and built-in storage space and comes equipped with an oven, refrigerator, and dishwasher. Additional highlights include central air and heat for year-round comfort, plus in-home washer and dryer hookups.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,896
− Mortgage interest
−$3,803
− Property taxes
−$1,018
− Insurance
−$340
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,432
− Management
−$1,432
− Depreciation
−$1,975
Taxable income
$7,896
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,895
After-tax cash flow
$6,612/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This charming and move-in ready manufactured home is in good condition with fresh updates and a low-maintenance yard, making it an attractive investment.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both New flooring in common areas — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Enhances functionality and value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.
  • Both New flooring in common areas — Improves aesthetics and functionality.
  • Both Upgrading appliances — Enhances functionality and value.
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hemet Unified
NCES district ID
0616920
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$39,962
Composite
25.16/100
National rank
#7517
State rank
#360 of 517 in CA

Livability — Hemet

Score
51/100
State rank
#1056
US rank
#25208

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime D+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hemet, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
137,670
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
39,937
Household income
$49,396
Rent vs Own
42.8% rent · 57.2% own
Severe rent burden
2144.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada
Languages at home
59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -147.46%
Current HPI
405.1277
Rent YoY
▲ 1.76%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-1.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-10-28 Price Changed $67,900 CRMLS
  • 2025-08-10 Listed $68,900 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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