729 Kendrick St · Saginaw, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$36,400
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2 Bed, 1 bath Bungalow in City of Saginaw with dining room or office , nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Great opportunity, don't miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1924
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association present
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built with one above-grade finished level
- Exterior features: Front porch; Lot roughly 74 x 119 (approximately 0.2 acres)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
- Interior features: Basement with block foundation; unfinished
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
- Recommended offer: $34k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 7.8% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Thompson Middle School (math 6% / reading 13%, grade F, #479 of 493 statewide, top 97%, 397 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 76% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Saginaw School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $252 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.82% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 65.74%
- DSCR
- 3.92
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $67,904
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1013 Maple St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 | 1,034 (-2%) | 2mo | $66,000 | $64 | 87 |
| 1757 Burnham Dr | 0.20mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,097 (+3%) | 2mo | $63,000 | $57 | 78 |
| 2233 S Niagara St | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 972 (-8%) | 2mo | $44,000 | $45 | 73 |
| 1753 Kendrick St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 936 (-12%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $64 | 69 |
| 1 Southlawn Ct | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,090 (+3%) | 4mo | $116,900 | $107 | 68 |
| 1522 Gilbert St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,112 (+5%) | 1mo | $67,000 | $60 | 65 |
| 1514 Marquette St | 0.41mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 986 (-7%) | 2mo | $50,000 | $51 | 61 |
| 123 Vermont St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-5%) | 5mo | $78,000 | $77 | 59 |
| 1700 Marquette St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 963 (-9%) | 1mo | $80,000 | $83 | 59 |
| 1717 S Hamilton St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-10%) | 4mo | $42,000 | $44 | 57 |
| 2116 W Michigan Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,159 (+9%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $108 | 54 |
| 1618 Greenwich St | 0.54mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-10%) | 4mo | $79,900 | $83 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 66.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.01×
- Total profit
- $30,699
- Equity at exit
- $5,427
- IRR
- 70.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.54×
- Total profit
- $76,858
- Equity at exit
- $3,147
Cash invested: $10,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48602
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Rents YoY
- 4.0%
- Active inventory
- 253
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,025 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$191
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$46 /mo · $546/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$215
- Net cashflow
- $558
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $583 | -5% $571 | +0% $558 | +5% $546 | +10% $533 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $477 | -5% $518 | +0% $558 | +5% $599 | +10% $639 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $577 | -0.5pp $568 | base $558 | +0.5pp $549 | +1.0pp $539 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,100
- Closing costs
- $1,092
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1827 Gilbert St Saginaw, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $695 | $0.69 | 46d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2021 Grout St Saginaw, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $995 | $1.15 | 46d | 1 | 0.59mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $36,400 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $36,400 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $36,400 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $36,400 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $36,400 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $36,400 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $36,400 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $36,400 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $36,400 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $36,400 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $36,400 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $36,400 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $36,400 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $36,400 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $36,400 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $36,400 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $36,400 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-10$36,400 Active
-
2026-04-09$36,400 Active 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
2 bed, 1 bath bungalow in City of Saginaw with nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Dining room and basement. Natural gas, city water, sewer. Great opportunity, dont miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.
-
2026-04-09$36,400 Active 220-char remark
Show marketing remark (220 chars)
2 bed, 1 bath bungalow in City of Saginaw with nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Dining room and basement. Natural gas, city water, sewer. Great opportunity, dont miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.
-
2024-03-10historical
-
2024-03-10historical
-
2023-12-15price $59,900
-
2023-12-15price $59,900
-
2023-10-30$64,900 Active
-
2023-10-30$64,900 Active
-
2004-11-10soldstatus $70,000
-
2004-10-25historical
-
2004-10-22soldstatus $70,000
-
2004-10-22soldstatus $70,000
-
2004-06-21$69,500
-
2004-06-21$69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,302
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,039
- − Property taxes
- −$546
- − Insurance
- −$182
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$984
- − Management
- −$984
- − Depreciation
- −$1,059
- Taxable income
- $6,508
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,562
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,138/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Saginaw School District
- NCES district ID
- 2630390
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,940
- Composite
- 19.6/100
- National rank
- #8755
- State rank
- #444 of 540 in MI
Livability — Saginaw
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #15424
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Saginaw, MI
- County
- Saginaw County · 54,884 people
- City population
- 54,884
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,127
- Household income
- $46,984
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1416.0
Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 180,568 people
- By 2030
- 172,302 · -4.6%
- By 2040
- 153,919 · -14.8%
- By 2050
- 135,519 · -24.9%
- By 2075
- 97,199 · -46.2%
- By 2100
- 65,037 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.15%
- Current HPI
- 159.8807
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.98%
- Metro
- Saginaw, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
||
Price history
-47.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Listed $36,400 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-09 Listed $36,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-09 Listed $36,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-10 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-03-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2023-12-15 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-12-15 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
- 2023-10-30 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-10-30 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-25 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
- 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-06-21 Listed $69,500 REALCOMP
- 2004-06-21 Listed $69,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,906 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…