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729 Kendrick St
B+ Composite 76.11
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$36,400

729 Kendrick St · Saginaw, MI 48602
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,061 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1924 8,712 sqft lot Est $68k · 46% under ↓ 48% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

2 Bed, 1 bath Bungalow in City of Saginaw with dining room or office , nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Great opportunity, don't miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.

Key facts

  • 8,712 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1924

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block foundation; Built with one above-grade finished level
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Lot roughly 74 x 119 (approximately 0.2 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Basement with block foundation; unfinished

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $36k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $36k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 24.7% vs local median 7.8% in Saginaw — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#521 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Saginaw School District (urban): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #444 of 540 in MI (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Thompson Middle School (math 6% / reading 13%, grade F, #479 of 493 statewide, top 97%, 397 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 76% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 10% at this address vs 24% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Saginaw School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+4.0%/yr); 253 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 154 units permitted in Saginaw County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $252 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Saginaw County population projected at -25% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $34,216 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.82%
Cap rate
24.70%
Cash-on-cash
65.74%
DSCR
3.92
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$67,904
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1013 Maple St 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,034 (-2%) 2mo $66,000 $64 87
1757 Burnham Dr 0.20mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,097 (+3%) 2mo $63,000 $57 78
2233 S Niagara St 0.26mi 3/1.0 972 (-8%) 2mo $44,000 $45 73
1753 Kendrick St 0.16mi 3/1.5 936 (-12%) 2mo $60,000 $64 69
1 Southlawn Ct 0.51mi 3/1.0 1,090 (+3%) 4mo $116,900 $107 68
1522 Gilbert St 0.45mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,112 (+5%) 1mo $67,000 $60 65
1514 Marquette St 0.41mi 2/1.5 (-1) 986 (-7%) 2mo $50,000 $51 61
123 Vermont St 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,010 (-5%) 5mo $78,000 $77 59
1700 Marquette St 0.43mi 2/1.0 (-1) 963 (-9%) 1mo $80,000 $83 59
1717 S Hamilton St 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-10%) 4mo $42,000 $44 57
2116 W Michigan Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,159 (+9%) 4mo $125,000 $108 54
1618 Greenwich St 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-10%) 4mo $79,900 $83 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
66.1%
Equity multiple
4.01×
Total profit
$30,699
Equity at exit
$5,427
10-year hold
IRR
70.7%
Equity multiple
8.54×
Total profit
$76,858
Equity at exit
$3,147

Cash invested: $10,192 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48602

Home prices YoY
-19.7%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
253
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,025 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$191
Tax est. 1.5%
$46 /mo · $546/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$215
Net cashflow
$558

Break-even live

Break-even rent $318
Max offer price $36,400
Occupancy floor 41%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $583 -5% $571 +0% $558 +5% $546 +10% $533
Rent -10% $477 -5% $518 +0% $558 +5% $599 +10% $639
Rate -1.0pp $577 -0.5pp $568 base $558 +0.5pp $549 +1.0pp $539

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,100
Closing costs
$1,092
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1827 Gilbert St Saginaw, MI 3.0 2.0 1008 $695 $0.69 46d 1 0.49mi
2021 Grout St Saginaw, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 862 $995 $1.15 46d 1 0.59mi

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $36,400 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $36,400 Active 70 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $36,400 Active 69 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $36,400 Active 68 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $36,400 Active 67 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $36,400 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $36,400 Active 64 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $36,400 Active 63 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $36,400 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $36,400 Active 59 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $36,400 Active 58 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $36,400 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $36,400 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $36,400 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $36,400 Active 52 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $36,400 Active 51 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $36,400 Active 50 DOM
  18. 2026-04-10
    listed $36,400 Active
  19. 2026-04-09
    listed $36,400 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    2 bed, 1 bath bungalow in City of Saginaw with nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Dining room and basement. Natural gas, city water, sewer. Great opportunity, dont miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.

  20. 2026-04-09
    listed $36,400 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    2 bed, 1 bath bungalow in City of Saginaw with nice 2 car detached garage for storage. Dining room and basement. Natural gas, city water, sewer. Great opportunity, dont miss out! Some plumbing and electrical work needed.

  21. 2024-03-10
    historical
  22. 2024-03-10
    historical
  23. 2023-12-15
    price $59,900
  24. 2023-12-15
    price $59,900
  25. 2023-10-30
    listed $64,900 Active
  26. 2023-10-30
    listed $64,900 Active
  27. 2004-11-10
    soldstatus $70,000
  28. 2004-10-25
    historical
  29. 2004-10-22
    soldstatus $70,000
  30. 2004-10-22
    soldstatus $70,000
  31. 2004-06-21
    listed $69,500
  32. 2004-06-21
    listed $69,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,302
− Mortgage interest
−$2,039
− Property taxes
−$546
− Insurance
−$182
− Repairs & maintenance
−$984
− Management
−$984
− Depreciation
−$1,059
Taxable income
$6,508
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,562
After-tax cash flow
$5,138/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Saginaw School District
NCES district ID
2630390
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$28,940
Composite
19.6/100
National rank
#8755
State rank
#444 of 540 in MI

Livability — Saginaw

Score
63/100
State rank
#521
US rank
#15424

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Saginaw, MI
County
Saginaw County · 54,884 people
City population
54,884
Metro
Saginaw, MI
Population (ZIP)
27,127
Household income
$46,984
Rent vs Own
35.8% rent · 64.2% own
Severe rent burden
1416.0

Population outlook (Saginaw County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
180,568 people
By 2030
172,302 · -4.6%
By 2040
153,919 · -14.8%
By 2050
135,519 · -24.9%
By 2075
97,199 · -46.2%
By 2100
65,037 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 50% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 14% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Saginaw

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 51.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: 17.3pp · 2024: -3.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.3 2020: D+0.3 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+11.9 2008: D+17.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -39.15%
Current HPI
159.8807
Rent YoY
▲ 3.98%
Metro
Saginaw, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-47.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $36,400 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $36,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Listed $36,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-10 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2024-03-10 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2023-12-15 Price Changed $59,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-12-15 Price Changed $59,900 REALCOMP
  • 2023-10-30 Listed $64,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2023-10-30 Listed $64,900 REALCOMP
  • 2004-11-10 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 2004-10-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 REALCOMP
  • 2004-10-22 Sold (MLS) $70,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2004-06-21 Listed $69,500 REALCOMP
  • 2004-06-21 Listed $69,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,906 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…