142 Cherry St · Gate City, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +5.8/10.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Seller is motivated and seeking a quick cash sale. This Gate City property offers opportunity for an investor, rental portfolio buyer, flipper, or buyer looking for a project with potential. Cash offer preferred. Property is being sold as-is. Proof of funds or strong pre-approval requested with all offers. Buyer and buyer's agent to verify all information.
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $420 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 4.4% in Gate City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#400 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Scott County Public School District (rural): math 66% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #33 of 131 in VA (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 22 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $915 of equity ($691 loan paydown + $224 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Scott County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $58k; list at $100k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.33%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.01%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $133,470
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- -25.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 127 Promise St | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,144 (-0%) | 13mo | $20,000 | $17 | 76 |
| 568 Manville Rd | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 1,151 (+0%) | 10mo | $84,800 | $74 | 76 |
| 327 Walnut St | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,182 (+3%) | 19mo | $175,000 | $148 | 73 |
| 316 Manville Rd | 0.07mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,028 (-10%) | 11mo | $132,500 | $129 | 65 |
| 561 Manville Rd | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 1,250 (+9%) | 11mo | $131,000 | $105 | 61 |
| 274 Highland St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-12%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $144 | 43 |
| 153 Burnt Cabin Branch Dr | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (+14%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $122 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.22% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $24,853
- Equity at exit
- $30,133
- IRR
- 22.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.51×
- Total profit
- $70,315
- Equity at exit
- $37,131
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24251
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 50
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,333 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$68 /mo · $814/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$280
- Net cashflow
- $420
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $476 | -5% $448 | +0% $420 | +5% $391 | +10% $363 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $314 | -5% $367 | +0% $420 | +5% $472 | +10% $525 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $470 | -0.5pp $445 | base $420 | +0.5pp $394 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-13$99,900 Active 358-char remark
-
2001-06-28soldstatus $58,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $814 · $68/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $819 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$5/yr ($0/mo · 0.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,996
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$814
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,280
- − Management
- −$1,280
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $3,621
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$869
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,168/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Scott County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103480
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,567
- Composite
- 57.65/100
- National rank
- #1061
- State rank
- #33 of 131 in VA
Livability — Gate City
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #400
- US rank
- #16427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gate City, VA
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,976
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,405 people
- By 2030
- 19,379 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 17,325 · -15.1%
- By 2050
- 15,464 · -24.2%
- By 2075
- 11,845 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 8,516 · -58.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 4% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.3pp toward R · 2008: -43.1pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+67.8 2016: R+66.3 2012: R+50.6 2008: R+43.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.22%
- Current HPI
- 211.6519
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
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| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
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| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
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| Technology | 2 | $15B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2001-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $814 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…