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3370 Rocky Rd
B- Composite 67.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,900

3370 Rocky Rd · Gamewell, NC 28645
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1951 0.51 ac lot ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention Investors and Renovators! 3370 Rocky Road is a full rehab opportunity with tremendous potential. The home requires extensive repairs and updating and should be considered a complete renovation project. Property is being sold as-is, and seller will make no repairs (but is willing to consider anything needed for financing concerns). Exercise caution when touring the property. Bring your vision and transform this property into something special.

Key facts

  • 0.51 acre lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: City water (and other—see remarks); Septic system installed
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Site-built construction; One story; RA20 zoning
  • Construction: Site-built construction materials listed as 'Other - see remarks'; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Half-acre lot (approx. 0.51 acres); Lot dimensions approximately 176 x 127; Roads are gravel and paved; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating listed; No cooling listed
  • Interior features: Single-level home; Crawl space foundation; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hook-ups or room (none listed)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($950 rent vs $70k).
  • Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 1.3% in Gamewell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#518 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Caldwell County Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #106 of 178 in NC (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 465 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 217 units permitted in Caldwell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Caldwell County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
11.29%
Cash-on-cash
17.86%
DSCR
1.79
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$201,720
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3347 Sheely Rd 0.48mi 2/1.0 947 (-4%) 14mo $170,000 $180 60
3404 Sheely Rd 0.36mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,056 (+7%) 9mo $217,000 $205 56
3535 High West Dr 0.55mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,092 (+11%) 23mo $225,000 $206 28

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$7,222
Equity at exit
$10,422
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
2.54×
Total profit
$30,173
Equity at exit
$6,044

Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28645

Home prices YoY
-17.4%
Active inventory
465
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $765/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $582
Max offer price $69,900
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,475
Closing costs
$2,097
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3462 Smokehouse Ct Unit 9 Lenoir, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 13d 1 0.94mi
3465 Smokehouse Ct Unit 6 Lenoir, NC 2.0 1.0 800 $900 $1.12 13d 1 0.95mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,900 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,900 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 456-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$765 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$765 · $64/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,402
− Mortgage interest
−$3,915
− Property taxes
−$765
− Insurance
−$350
− Repairs & maintenance
−$912
− Management
−$912
− Depreciation
−$2,033
Taxable income
$2,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$604
After-tax cash flow
$2,891/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Caldwell County Schools
NCES district ID
3700580
Math proficiency
38% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$37,165
Composite
34.9/100
National rank
#5079
State rank
#106 of 178 in NC

Livability — Gamewell

Score
60/100
State rank
#518
US rank
#19047

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gamewell, NC
Population (ZIP)
46,237

Population outlook (Caldwell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
77,603 people
By 2030
74,714 · -3.7%
By 2040
67,732 · -12.7%
By 2050
59,938 · -22.8%
By 2075
43,232 · -44.3%
By 2100
28,894 · -62.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 6% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Caldwell

2024 margin
Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.4% · R 76.0%
2008→2024 swing
-22.9pp toward R · 2008: -29.7pp · 2024: -52.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+52.6 2020: R+51.1 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+35.7 2008: R+29.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -56.03%
Current HPI
265.0987
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-26.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $69,900 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Price Changed $78,999 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $94,990 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $765 · +116.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…